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Halcones de Obregon vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 70-73
18-18 12-16 17-24 23-15
Position#3
Record30-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game85.8
Halcones de Obregon
Mexico
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#1
Record35-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game86.2
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Semi-finals· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Astros
13 Jun 2025
HALC70
ASTR73
11 Jun 2025
HALC76
ASTR93
10 Jun 2025
HALC92
ASTR91
23 Apr 2025
HALC102
ASTR98
22 Apr 2025
HALC87
ASTR84
13 Mar 2024
HALC99
ASTR91
12 Mar 2024
HALC93
ASTR91
03 May 2023
HALC92
ASTR89
02 May 2023
HALC122
ASTR121
13 Apr 2022
HALC87
ASTR95
12 Apr 2022
HALC93
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
58avg 84
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
102avg 84
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 84
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 84
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 84
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
102-70
102
70
+32
99avg 84
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
53avg 84
A07/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 84
A08/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
84avg 84
H11/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
67avg 84
H12/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-23
18-22
24-25
30-12
18-24
32-17
27-31
23-30
19-18
21-18
29-13
29-16
16-21
22-24
20-16
24-17
23-18
22-30
26-20
17-24
33-19
30-14
22-13
18-18
18-22
18-18
19-25
24-9
16-22
26-20
20-33
23-19
14-28
24-15
31-29
12-29
12-18
19-24
33-22
172.5Avg total
88.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)90.685.8176.3+4.868%
Season at home (22)90.685.5176.1+5.173%
Season away (22)90.586.0176.5+4.564%
Last 10 (10)88.783.8172.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)85.884.2170.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)86.088.8174.8-2.867%
vs Similar (2)103.599.0202.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (22)93.882.0175.8+11.891%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
97avg 88
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 88
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
85avg 88
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 88
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
86avg 88
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 88
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 88
H07/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
70avg 88
H08/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 88
A11/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 88
A12/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
25-17
23-28
27-23
14-16
23-17
15-22
24-14
16-17
25-18
26-15
26-25
26-29
25-15
27-19
32-27
20-14
22-20
19-22
14-19
25-22
20-23
21-20
23-19
18-18
22-18
18-18
25-19
9-24
22-16
20-26
33-20
19-23
28-14
15-24
29-31
29-12
18-12
24-19
22-33
173.9Avg total
91.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)97.486.2183.6+11.280%
Season at home (22)99.784.9184.6+14.882%
Season away (22)95.287.5182.7+7.777%
Last 10 (10)91.982.0173.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)88.082.2170.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)107.8108.0215.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)95.384.0179.4+11.377%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
Halcones de ObregonAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H12/06
CIBACOPA
81.3Avg total
40.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.284.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.985.3+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.483.6+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.981.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.679.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.341.578.8-4.250%-
vs Similar (2)46.048.094.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (22)44.640.585.2+4.164%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H08/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A12/06
CIBACOPA
79.5Avg total
43.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.387.2+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.240.086.2+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)47.640.788.4+6.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.079.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)51.053.0104.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.238.484.6+7.869%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.723.1
49.5%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.0
40.0%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
73.3%14.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.0
50.6%
53.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.6
40.8%
35.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.1%
73.3%15.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
LWWLWWWWWL
Astros
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+6.0
Net rating
+12.6
114.1
Offensive rating
113.8
108.1
Defensive rating
101.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.0%
3-point %
40.8%
48.9%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 113.8Defence108.1 · 101.2Shooting52.9% · 54.5%3-point %40.0% · 40.8%Ball care14.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Halcones de Obregon wins
6
Astros wins
DateGameScore
12/06/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros76-93
11/06/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros92-91
08/06/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon84-86
07/06/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon83-73
24/04/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros102-98
23/04/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros87-84
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon92-84
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon108-81
19/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon104-100
18/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon103-85
Halcones de Obregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25HAstros76-93
11/06/25HAstros92-91
08/06/25AAstros86-84
07/06/25AAstros73-83
29/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas102-70
28/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas95-85
25/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas87-77
24/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas92-79
19/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan107-84
18/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan77-92
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25AHalcones de Obregon93-76
11/06/25AHalcones de Obregon91-92
08/06/25HHalcones de Obregon84-86
07/06/25HHalcones de Obregon83-73
29/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan89-84
28/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan96-92 OT
25/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan110-90
24/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan93-75
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo76-69
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game90.690.690.5
Allowed / game85.885.586.0
Point differential+4.8+5.1+4.5
Avg total176.3176.1176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (9)67% (3)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %80%82%77%
Points / game97.499.795.2
Allowed / game86.284.987.5
Point differential+11.2+14.8+7.7
Avg total183.6184.6182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)33% (3)62% (8)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros4435980%97.486.2+11.2
2 Angeles CDMX46321470%107.4100.6+6.8
3 Halcones de Obregon44301468%90.685.8+4.8
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana47222547%88.988.8+0.1
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas40182245%92.193.1-1.0
6 Caballeros de Culiacan40182245%89.090.2-1.2
7 Rayos de Hermosillo41172441%85.989.4-3.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis42172540%90.093.1-3.1
9 Venados de Mazatlan36142239%88.692.5-3.9
10 Frayles de Guasave3653114%84.599.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon1812172370
Astros1816241573
← all games of the day
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