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Baskonia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-87
25-24 19-24 24-19 25-20
Position#8
Record15-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#17
Record9-21
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2022
Meetings · Baskonia v Alba Berlin
24 Oct 2024
BAS80
ABE57
08 Mar 2024
BAS88
ABE71
28 Mar 2023
BAS93
ABE87
18 Mar 2022
BAS85
ABE68
22 Jan 2021
BAS77
ABE84
05 Nov 2008
BAS106
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
114-75
114
75
+39
120avg 81
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
105-81
105
81
+24
112avg 81
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
72avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
94avg 81
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
85avg 81
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 81
A16/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
83avg 81
A19/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
63-74
63
74
-11
63avg 81
A23/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 81
H26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
22-28
21-24
21-20
27-24
30-24
24-16
33-11
22-19
34-20
23-24
26-18
17-22
23-21
22-22
23-16
28-23
19-29
26-22
20-28
23-26
26-14
14-18
20-13
23-29
22-20
20-23
14-21
15-27
24-18
31-24
25-19
26-21
12-18
11-18
14-17
24-17
27-10
27-25
22-26
173.1Avg total
90.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.583.8169.3+1.750%
Season at home (14)94.983.6178.5+11.279%
Season away (16)77.483.9161.3-6.625%
Last 10 (10)90.083.1173.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)84.080.8164.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)85.388.4173.7-3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.882.5172.4+7.368%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
97avg 83
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 83
H26/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
22-18
19-20
20-20
22-19
24-21
25-19
19-27
27-26
13-16
15-18
31-11
25-22
161.4Avg total
80.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.184.9165.1-4.830%
Season at home (16)80.985.4166.3-4.431%
Season away (14)79.284.4163.6-5.229%
Last 10 (10)80.880.6161.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)85.077.8162.8+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.389.1168.4-9.830%
vs Similar (9)79.277.8157.0+1.456%
vs Weaker (11)90.377.4167.6+12.9100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
BaskoniaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H03/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A19/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
ACB
88.9Avg total
46.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.484.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.841.288.0+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.581.8-1.335%-
Last 10 (10)46.342.688.9+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.084.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)42.245.587.7-3.310%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.639.683.2+4.068%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/03
BBL
79.1Avg total
38.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.041.783.7+0.353%-
Last 30 away (13)40.541.982.4-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.279.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.275.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.445.186.5-3.740%-
vs Similar (9)40.342.482.8-2.122%-
vs Weaker (11)42.138.380.4+3.873%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.3
57.7%
53.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.4
38.4%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
78.5%14.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.8
39.0%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.313.2
81.0%
78.5%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLWLWWWL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#17
+8.4
Net rating
+0.5
118.8
Offensive rating
108.2
110.4
Defensive rating
107.7
57.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
22.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
39.0%
62.5%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 108.2Defence110.4 · 107.7Shooting57.6% · 55.5%3-point %38.4% · 39.0%Ball care16.2% · 22.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Alba Berlin v Baskonia85-84
18/03/22Baskonia v Alba Berlin85-68
14/10/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia76-80
22/01/21Baskonia v Alba Berlin77-84
05/01/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia95-91
18/12/08Alba Berlin v Baskonia68-73
05/11/08Baskonia v Alba Berlin106-65
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HBilbao100-78
23/03/23ACrvena zvezda63-74
19/03/23AReal Madrid95-88
16/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-93
12/03/23AReal Betis83-71
10/03/23HMonaco93-102
07/03/23AReal Madrid85-81
05/03/23HGranada105-81
03/03/23HValencia114-75
24/02/23AVirtus Bologna83-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HBamberg84-67
23/03/23HAnadolu Efes95-93
19/03/23ALudwigsburg83-77
17/03/23ABayern76-75
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%79%25%
Points / game85.594.977.4
Allowed / game83.883.683.9
Point differential+1.7+11.2-6.6
Avg total169.3178.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW30%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %30%31%29%
Points / game80.180.979.2
Allowed / game84.985.484.4
Point differential-4.8-4.4-5.2
Avg total165.1166.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3021970%84.376.2+8.2
2 Real Madrid3021970%85.278.5+6.7
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco30201067%84.181.5+2.6
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv31181358%83.581.4+2.1
7 Partizan30171357%84.782.2+2.5
8 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%75.577.8-2.3
10 Anadolu Efes31151648%82.781.4+1.3
11 Valencia30141647%82.885.7-2.8
12 Olimpia Milano31141745%74.577.1-2.6
13 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna31131842%78.482.7-4.4
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.382.6-3.3
16 Bayern31112035%76.780.4-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2519242593
Alba Berlin2424192087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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