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Alba Berlin vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-93
24-21 25-19 19-27 27-26
Position#17
Record8-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#10
Record14-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes
31 Oct 2024
ABE70
EFS86
07 Dec 2023
ABE89
EFS97
23 Mar 2023
ABE95
EFS93
11 Nov 2021
ABE63
EFS90
13 Oct 2020
ABE72
EFS93
06 Mar 2013
ABE86
EFS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
A19/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
22-18
19-20
20-20
22-19
159.4Avg total
79.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.684.7164.3-5.028%
Season at home (15)80.084.9164.9-4.927%
Season away (14)79.284.4163.6-5.229%
Last 10 (10)79.380.1159.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)84.283.2167.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.888.1164.9-11.320%
vs Similar (9)79.277.8157.0+1.456%
vs Weaker (11)92.678.8171.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
75-94
75
94
-19
71avg 76
A08/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
64-86
64
86
-22
56avg 76
H10/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
no box
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
82avg 76
H14/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
97-98
97
98
-1
no box
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
20-19
24-19
26-18
23-18
22-31
27-12
18-28
18-21
25-19
21-14
23-28
22-17
17-12
23-14
20-20
25-20
20-29
22-19
8-26
20-33
13-21
15-14
16-18
19-20
19-13
19-10
16-19
18-24
24-15
35-21
13-29
23-11
14-28
27-24
20-34
31-30
30-25
20-18
16-25
166.5Avg total
82.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.181.3163.5+0.848%
Season at home (14)81.580.4161.9+1.157%
Season away (15)82.782.3165.0+0.540%
Last 10 (10)82.584.0166.5-1.560%
Last 5 (5)81.686.4168.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
vs Similar (13)81.585.2166.7-3.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.876.9161.7+7.881%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
Alba BerlinAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/03
BBL
80.1Avg total
38.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.984.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.284.9+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.041.583.5+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.280.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.245.186.3-3.940%-
vs Similar (9)40.342.482.8-2.122%-
vs Weaker (11)45.238.583.6+6.782%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H10/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
41.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.979.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.078.3+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.680.7-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.084.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.086.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)40.440.280.5+0.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.537.879.2+3.862%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.7
54.6%
53.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.4
35.7%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
78.5%14.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.5
40.1%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.113.2
82.0%
78.5%13.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWLLLLWL
Anadolu Efes
LLWWLLWWWW
#17
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
-7.0
107.0
Offensive rating
114.6
107.0
Defensive rating
121.5
54.2%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
22.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
40.1%
60.1%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 114.6Defence107.0 · 121.5Shooting54.2% · 56.8%3-point %35.7% · 40.1%Ball care22.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
7
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ALudwigsburg83-77
17/03/23ABayern76-75
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HBuyukcekmece97-98
16/03/23HPartizan84-97
14/03/23HReal Madrid90-89
12/03/23ABahcesehir Kol.73-62
10/03/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv64-86
08/03/23ACrvena zvezda75-94
05/03/23HBursaspor82-63
02/03/23APanathinaikos87-82
24/02/23ALyon-Villeurbanne90-89
05/02/23ADarussafaka83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW28%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %28%27%29%
Points / game79.680.079.2
Allowed / game84.784.984.4
Point differential-5.0-4.9-5.2
Avg total164.3164.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game82.181.582.7
Allowed / game81.380.482.3
Point differential+0.8+1.1+0.5
Avg total163.5161.9165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
5 Fenerbahce29171259%84.180.7+3.5
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%82.581.9+0.6
8 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
9 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
12 Olimpia Milano29131645%73.876.8-2.9
13 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
14 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin2982128%79.684.7-5.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2982128%75.080.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2425192795
Anadolu Efes2119272693
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