PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-88
17-25 25-24 26-17 16-22
Position#15
Record11-21
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game82.6
Panathinaikos
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Position#17
Record9-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2022
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin
21 Mar 2025
PAO91
ABE81
11 Apr 2024
PAO84
ABE75
07 Apr 2023
PAO84
ABE88
10 Dec 2021
PAO82
ABE67
17 Dec 2020
PAO92
ABE69
02 Apr 2015
PAO66
ABE68
15 Mar 2013
PAO82
ABE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 75
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 75
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 75
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
58avg 75
H23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 75
A25/03
Basket League
Bayern
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 75
H28/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 75
A31/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
108-77
108
77
+31
108avg 75
H02/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 75
A04/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
20-25
23-13
23-11
18-13
22-25
21-23
12-20
20-26
32-17
18-19
16-20
21-21
17-25
20-13
16-17
25-22
11-21
24-25
14-20
19-15
15-22
22-23
17-17
21-27
27-16
23-11
15-22
17-16
21-17
10-24
25-24
29-24
29-9
28-23
22-21
23-10
29-19
20-11
24-19
158.1Avg total
81.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.182.6161.7-3.534%
Season at home (16)83.481.1164.4+2.350%
Season away (16)74.884.1158.9-9.219%
Last 10 (10)81.876.3158.1+5.550%
Last 5 (5)87.274.0161.2+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.285.5162.7-8.310%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.476.4154.9+2.043%
vs Weaker (12)87.173.2160.2+13.983%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
97avg 83
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 83
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
53avg 83
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 83
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
76-47
76
47
+29
84avg 83
H05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
22-18
19-20
20-20
22-19
24-21
25-19
19-27
27-26
13-16
15-18
31-11
25-22
24-25
24-19
19-24
20-25
21-19
14-15
7-16
14-22
17-9
25-24
23-12
14-16
19-9
22-9
15-14
20-15
157.7Avg total
82.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.684.8164.4-5.228%
Season at home (16)80.985.4166.3-4.431%
Season away (16)78.284.2162.4-5.925%
Last 10 (10)82.475.3157.7+7.180%
Last 5 (5)76.468.0144.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.488.4165.7-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.877.6155.4+0.150%
vs Weaker (11)87.575.0162.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
PanathinaikosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H10/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H19/03
Basket League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/03
Basket League
Bayern
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H28/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A31/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H02/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A04/04
Basket League
81.2Avg total
42.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.179.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.180.3+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.378.0-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.781.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.081.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.742.177.9-6.429%-
vs Weaker (12)46.033.379.3+12.783%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/04
BBL
77.2Avg total
40.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.781.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.982.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.580.7-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.477.2+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.671.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.343.784.0-3.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.541.681.1-2.125%-
vs Weaker (11)42.137.079.1+5.173%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.2
55.1%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.3
38.0%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
78.5%15.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.3
54.5%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.4
41.4%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.011.4
81.4%
78.5%11.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLWLLLWLW
Alba Berlin
WWLLWWWWWW
#15
League position
#17
+7.8
Net rating
+9.0
114.3
Offensive rating
112.8
106.5
Defensive rating
103.8
56.0%
Effective FG%
57.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.0%
3-point %
41.4%
63.6%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 112.8Defence106.5 · 103.8Shooting56.0% · 57.7%3-point %38.0% · 41.4%Ball care16.8% · 21.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos94-65
06/04/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos87-78
10/12/21Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-67
26/02/21Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos74-65
17/12/20Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin92-69
02/04/15Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin66-68
06/02/15Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos59-65
15/03/13Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-58
16/01/13Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos73-79
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23AKolossos Rhodes96-59
02/04/23HApollon Patras108-77
31/03/23AOlympiacos73-81
28/03/23HBayern86-76
25/03/23AAEK Athens73-77
23/03/23HBarcelona74-88
19/03/23HOlympiacos74-76
16/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne86-82
13/03/23APAOK73-81
10/03/23HCrvena zvezda75-66
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23HWurzburg76-47
02/04/23AFrankfurt79-61
30/03/23ABarcelona56-72
28/03/23ABaskonia87-93
26/03/23HBamberg84-67
23/03/23HAnadolu Efes95-93
19/03/23ALudwigsburg83-77
17/03/23ABayern76-75
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL34%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%50%19%
Points / game79.183.474.8
Allowed / game82.681.184.1
Point differential-3.5+2.3-9.2
Avg total161.7164.4158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %12%19%6%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL28%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %28%31%25%
Points / game79.680.978.2
Allowed / game84.885.484.2
Point differential-5.2-4.4-5.9
Avg total164.4166.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos33231070%84.075.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid33231070%85.378.8+6.5
3 Barcelona32221069%80.976.7+4.3
4 Monaco32211166%83.681.4+2.2
5 Fenerbahce33191458%84.181.4+2.7
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%83.180.5+2.5
7 Partizan32181456%85.282.7+2.5
8 Baskonia33181555%87.083.9+3.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas33181555%76.077.2-1.2
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%82.981.6+1.3
11 Crvena zvezda33161748%76.877.5-0.7
12 Valencia33151845%82.285.6-3.5
13 Olimpia Milano32141844%74.277.3-3.1
14 Virtus Bologna33132039%77.782.7-5.0
15 Panathinaikos32112134%79.182.6-3.5
16 Bayern33112233%76.580.5-4.0
17 Alba Berlin3292328%79.684.8-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%74.481.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1725261684
Alba Berlin2524172288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.