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Alba Berlin vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-47
19-9 22-9 15-14 20-15
Position#2
Record23-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#11
Record14-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game84.3
GermanyBBLRound 34
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Wurzburg
23 Apr 2027
ABE v WUR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
ABE71
WUR68
23 Mar 2025
ABE80
WUR84
14 Jan 2024
ABE90
WUR82
05 Apr 2023
ABE76
WUR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
97avg 83
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 83
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
53avg 83
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 83
A02/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
22-18
19-20
20-20
22-19
24-21
25-19
19-27
27-26
13-16
15-18
31-11
25-22
24-25
24-19
19-24
20-25
21-19
14-15
7-16
14-22
17-9
25-24
23-12
14-16
162.4Avg total
82.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.478.6168.0+10.892%
Season at home (12)88.377.0165.3+11.392%
Season away (13)90.580.1170.5+10.492%
Last 10 (10)82.280.2162.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)80.277.2157.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.088.0166.0-10.025%
vs Similar (8)77.877.6155.4+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.777.8166.5+10.9100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 72
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 72
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 72
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 72
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 72
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 72
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 72
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
no box
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
66avg 72
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
21-27
24-27
15-23
13-17
23-19
24-25
14-19
17-15
13-20
23-18
17-13
23-21
22-20
16-26
26-21
24-21
166.3Avg total
83.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.284.3168.6-0.154%
Season at home (13)85.182.2167.3+2.854%
Season away (13)83.486.5169.8-3.154%
Last 10 (10)83.582.8166.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.687.2169.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.085.0160.0-10.029%
vs Similar (17)86.583.9170.4+2.659%
vs Weaker (2)97.586.0183.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Alba BerlinWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/03
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/04
BBL
79.5Avg total
40.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.782.9-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.985.0-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.580.7-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.579.5+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.444.185.5-2.750%-
vs Similar (8)39.541.681.1-2.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.238.981.1+3.370%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/04
BBL
85.4Avg total
42.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.743.386.0-0.652%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.841.285.0+2.671%-
Last 30 away (13)41.645.587.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.985.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.283.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.944.685.4-3.743%-
vs Similar (17)42.842.284.9+0.653%-
vs Weaker (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
54.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.0
39.7%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.812.2
82.4%
75.8%12.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.0
51.3%
54.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.9
38.9%
35.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
75.8%11.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWWWWWWL
Wurzburg
WWWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#11
+1.9
Net rating
-0.6
112.0
Offensive rating
109.4
110.1
Defensive rating
110.0
56.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.7%
3-point %
38.9%
64.3%
Assist %
46.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 109.4Defence110.1 · 110.0Shooting56.0% · 53.6%3-point %39.7% · 38.9%Ball care20.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
0
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23AFrankfurt79-61
30/03/23ABarcelona56-72
28/03/23ABaskonia87-93
26/03/23HBamberg84-67
23/03/23HAnadolu Efes95-93
19/03/23ALudwigsburg83-77
17/03/23ABayern76-75
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23ABamberg106-99 OT
25/03/23ARostock76-72
17/03/23HBayreuth96-89 OT
11/03/23ABonn73-94
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game89.488.390.5
Allowed / game78.677.080.1
Point differential+10.8+11.3+10.4
Avg total168.0165.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayLLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%54%54%
Points / game84.285.183.4
Allowed / game84.382.286.5
Point differential-0.1+2.8-3.1
Avg total168.6167.3169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2624292%89.373.5+15.8
2 Alba Berlin2523292%89.478.6+10.8
3 Bayern2620677%82.074.9+7.1
4 Oldenburg2516964%84.981.7+3.2
5 Gottingen24141058%86.786.6+0.1
6 Ludwigsburg26151158%87.885.7+2.2
7 Ulm26141254%87.084.9+2.1
8 Wurzburg26141254%84.284.3-0.1
9 Rostock26131350%83.887.5-3.7
10 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
11 Chemnitz25101540%83.483.8-0.3
12 Heidelberg26101638%86.790.2-3.4
13 Hamburg27101737%81.784.4-2.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins2691735%86.590.6-4.0
15 Syntainics MBC2691735%82.988.5-5.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig2671927%79.084.5-5.5
17 Frankfurt2662023%78.287.0-8.8
18 Bayreuth2552020%82.389.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1922152076
Wurzburg99141547
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