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Hamburg vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-74
22-18 17-15 22-16 25-25
Position#15
Record6-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game87.0
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game88.9
GermanyBBLRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayreuth
11 Feb 2023
HAM86
BAR74
17 Oct 2021
HAM77
BAR70
05 Feb 2021
HAM92
BAR95
30 Nov 2019
HAM81
BAR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#11
L
59-87
59
87
-28
45avg 77
H11/01
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 77
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 77
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
80avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 77
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
93-97
93
97
-4
93avg 77
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
103-105
103
105
-2
109avg 77
H31/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 77
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
56-90
56
90
-34
53avg 77
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 77
A08/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-23
16-22
10-22
18-19
19-16
19-25
26-31
19-19
20-29
22-22
13-28
18-25
23-23
29-22
13-22
21-20
29-14
31-15
19-15
32-21
22-19
18-26
21-31
26-24
22-30
30-29
25-22
32-24
14-20
20-26
15-21
18-25
15-24
19-10
4-31
16-19
14-23
21-20
15-21
169.5Avg total
79.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.387.0169.3-4.732%
Season at home (10)82.788.0170.7-5.330%
Season away (9)81.985.9167.8-4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.789.8169.5-10.110%
Last 5 (5)79.893.2173.0-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.389.6168.9-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.689.3170.9-7.614%
vs Weaker (3)89.077.3166.3+11.767%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 72
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 72
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
75avg 72
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 72
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 72
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
83-99
83
99
-16
76avg 72
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 72
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
67avg 72
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 72
H05/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
29-13
18-21
16-30
19-22
19-28
14-21
25-13
14-18
21-26
20-33
34-23
24-30
19-19
25-15
24-22
17-31
16-22
13-22
27-20
31-24
22-26
16-24
14-25
11-20
25-28
20-19
27-16
13-21
23-18
23-25
24-28
18-22
15-20
16-37
22-15
21-23
12-25
11-18
20-14
174.4Avg total
81.6Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.588.9169.4-8.417%
Season at home (10)80.387.7168.0-7.430%
Season away (8)80.890.4171.1-9.60%
Last 10 (10)81.692.8174.4-11.210%
Last 5 (5)80.494.4174.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)77.287.3164.5-10.18%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.085.2161.2-9.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -8.3-8.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -8.3-8.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
HamburgBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/01
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A29/01
BBL
Promitheas
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A08/02
Eurocup
84.8Avg total
41.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.885.1-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.944.286.2-2.335%-
Last 30 away (13)40.543.383.8-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.784.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.888.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.845.984.8-7.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.843.885.6-2.043%-
vs Weaker (3)48.036.084.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H08/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A15/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/01
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H05/02
BBL
85.2Avg total
38.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.782.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.643.482.0-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.983.0-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.946.385.2-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.483.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.943.382.2-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.845.684.4-6.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.1
50.7%
54.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.9
36.3%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
75.8%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.5
48.4%
54.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.517.7
72.2%
75.8%17.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLWLLLL
Bayreuth
LLLLLLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-13.5
Net rating
-15.5
105.3
Offensive rating
106.5
118.8
Defensive rating
122.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.3%
3-point %
36.1%
67.5%
Assist %
66.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 106.5Defence118.8 · 122.0Shooting52.2% · 51.1%3-point %36.3% · 36.1%Ball care19.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
5
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
08/10/22Bayreuth v Hamburg79-95
05/02/22Bayreuth v Hamburg90-71
17/10/21Hamburg v Bayreuth77-70
05/10/21Bayreuth v Hamburg93-84
29/04/21Bayreuth v Hamburg90-83
05/02/21Hamburg v Bayreuth92-95 OT
30/11/19Hamburg v Bayreuth81-95
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23ALondon Lions66-83
06/02/23AWurzburg56-90
03/02/23HRostock81-91
31/01/23HPromitheas103-105
29/01/23AFrankfurt93-97
25/01/23ASlask Wroclaw100-64
21/01/23HBasketball Braunschweig83-92
18/01/23ATurk Telekom74-98
15/01/23HGottingen82-91
11/01/23HBuducnost59-87
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HUlm64-80
29/01/23HBonn71-94
20/01/23HRostock83-92
15/01/23AHeidelberg101-107 OT
08/01/23HWurzburg83-99
29/12/22HGottingen73-95
26/12/22HBamberg92-86
22/12/22AGottingen89-100
16/12/22AChemnitz77-84
10/12/22AAlba Berlin83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game82.382.781.9
Allowed / game87.088.085.9
Point differential-4.7-5.3-4.0
Avg total169.3170.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %17%30%0%
Points / game80.580.380.8
Allowed / game88.987.790.4
Point differential-8.4-7.4-9.6
Avg total169.4168.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1716194%91.279.4+11.8
2 Bonn1816289%90.275.3+14.9
3 Bayern1813572%83.377.3+6.1
4 Oldenburg1812667%85.281.9+3.3
5 Gottingen1811761%86.885.6+1.2
6 Ludwigsburg1710759%87.584.1+3.4
7 Chemnitz1710759%86.182.8+3.2
8 Wurzburg1910953%84.483.6+0.8
9 Ulm189950%88.286.4+1.8
10 Rostock1991047%85.790.1-4.4
11 Bamberg1981142%85.786.7-1.1
12 Crailsheim Merlins1871139%88.291.2-3.1
13 Syntainics MBC1871139%83.088.3-5.3
14 Heidelberg1971237%87.191.1-4.0
15 Hamburg1961332%82.387.0-4.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig1951426%78.784.8-6.2
17 Frankfurt1951426%79.586.6-7.1
18 Bayreuth1831517%80.588.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2217222586
Bayreuth1815162574
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