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Chemnitz vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-60
15-12 16-11 22-16 16-21
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#13
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.0
GermanyBBLRound 17· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Hamburg
25 Apr 2027
CHE v HAM
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
CHE102
HAM78
17 Jan 2025
CHE69
HAM60
24 Nov 2023
CHE96
HAM87
29 Apr 2023
CHE87
HAM80
24 Mar 2022
CHE85
HAM89
19 Apr 2021
CHE98
HAM97
30 Apr 2019
CHE72
HAM78
26 Apr 2019
CHE84
HAM63
20 Apr 2019
CHE87
HAM81
11 Nov 2018
CHE90
HAM79
02 Mar 2018
CHE75
HAM69
19 Feb 2017
CHE77
HAM66
19 Feb 2016
CHE77
HAM81
28 Mar 2015
CHE85
HAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
86avg 77
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 77
H10/12
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 77
A15/12
BBL
Benfica
#30
L
68-79
68
79
-11
62avg 77
A17/12
Champions League
Bonn
#14
L
88-123
88
123
-35
76avg 77
H21/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
62avg 77
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 77
H30/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
83avg 77
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
L
86-87
86
87
-1
88avg 77
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 77
H14/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
14-14
23-20
35-25
12-19
14-19
15-20
20-19
15-14
20-20
13-19
17-16
14-20
17-25
23-14
14-20
19-38
25-32
19-25
25-28
15-17
22-25
20-14
23-25
21-22
18-11
19-13
24-26
22-13
26-14
21-16
16-23
20-21
21-16
22-24
23-26
21-26
23-17
21-25
19-19
159.8Avg total
78.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.079.6159.6+0.457%
Season at home (8)86.683.9170.5+2.875%
Season away (6)71.273.8145.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)78.081.8159.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)83.478.6162.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.683.4158.0-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.981.4164.3+1.560%
vs Weaker (2)90.577.0167.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 73
A14/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 73
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
69avg 73
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 73
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 73
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 73
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 73
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 73
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 73
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 73
A15/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-17
22-21
17-13
21-22
22-21
19-17
20-20
12-15
17-20
22-16
15-22
20-30
23-20
15-21
20-21
24-22
20-25
26-27
16-17
22-30
13-15
21-37
27-22
13-15
16-19
35-15
19-31
17-30
19-27
29-19
12-14
24-19
15-24
25-18
27-23
11-23
20-23
19-11
15-20
163.0Avg total
79.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.382.0163.3-0.743%
Season at home (7)84.782.9167.6+1.957%
Season away (7)77.981.1159.0-3.329%
Last 10 (10)79.084.0163.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)79.887.0166.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.089.0167.0-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.481.5160.8-2.145%
vs Weaker (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
ChemnitzHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H10/12
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
BBL
Benfica
#30
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A17/12
Champions League
Bonn
#14
L
44-70
44
70
-26
H21/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/01
Champions League
76.9Avg total
36.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.881.0+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.178.8-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.176.9-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.240.175.3-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.740.583.2+2.160%-
vs Weaker (2)48.534.082.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/01
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
36.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.683.4-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.245.785.9-5.529%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.681.2-6.012%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.580.4-6.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.045.079.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.546.986.4-7.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.441.779.1-4.418%-
vs Weaker (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.0
52.3%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
73.5%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
73.5%16.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLWWLLLLLW
Hamburg
LWLWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#13
-4.9
Net rating
-7.0
104.7
Offensive rating
101.6
109.6
Defensive rating
108.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
21.7%
Turnover %
22.1%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.5%
3-point %
29.9%
61.1%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 101.6Defence109.6 · 108.6Shooting51.5% · 48.8%3-point %33.5% · 29.9%Ball care21.7% · 22.1%Off. rebounds34.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chemnitz wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Hamburg v Chemnitz79-85
24/11/23Chemnitz v Hamburg96-87
29/04/23Chemnitz v Hamburg87-80
11/12/22Hamburg v Chemnitz81-104
24/03/22Chemnitz v Hamburg85-89
29/09/21Hamburg v Chemnitz82-90
19/04/21Chemnitz v Hamburg98-97
27/12/20Hamburg v Chemnitz75-95
30/04/19Chemnitz v Hamburg72-78
28/04/19Hamburg v Chemnitz98-96
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HManisa84-87
08/01/25AManisa86-87
04/01/25HFrankfurt85-66
30/12/24HSyntainics MBC82-72
27/12/24ABamberg80-81
21/12/24HBonn88-123
17/12/24ABenfica68-79
15/12/24ALudwigsburg65-69
10/12/24HTortona61-77
30/11/24HWurzburg81-77
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ATurk Telekom65-77
10/01/25HBonn91-84
08/01/25HVenezia77-90
06/01/25ABamberg83-80
03/01/25ACluj-Napoca83-104
30/12/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-91
26/12/24ARostock78-92
21/12/24HLudwigsburg66-73
17/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem82-80
14/12/24AVechta79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.086.671.2
Allowed / game79.683.973.8
Point differential+0.4+2.8-2.7
Avg total159.6170.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game81.384.777.9
Allowed / game82.082.981.1
Point differential-0.7+1.9-3.3
Avg total163.3167.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1410471%82.374.6+7.6
2 Ulm1410471%84.878.6+6.2
3 Wurzburg149564%81.276.5+4.7
4 Basketball Braunschweig149564%80.277.9+2.3
5 Heidelberg149564%78.478.1+0.2
6 Chemnitz148657%80.079.6+0.4
7 Ludwigsburg169756%75.471.1+4.4
8 Vechta137654%82.783.8-1.1
9 Bonn158753%85.584.0+1.5
10 Syntainics MBC157847%83.983.3+0.6
11 Oldenburg157847%85.785.3+0.5
12 Rostock157847%78.378.1+0.2
13 Alba Berlin146843%84.282.9+1.4
14 Hamburg146843%81.382.0-0.7
15 Bamberg156940%80.583.5-3.0
16 Frankfurt1531220%75.784.1-8.4
17 Gottingen131128%78.897.1-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1516221669
Hamburg1211162160
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