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Hamburg vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 68-66
16-21 18-18 17-10 17-17
Position#13
Record6-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game81.1
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record9-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.1
GermanyBBLRound 18· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Hamburg v Wurzburg
14 Nov 2026
HAM v WUR
upcoming
07 May 2026
HAM73
WUR90
26 Jan 2025
HAM68
WUR66
01 Oct 2023
HAM58
WUR88
30 Dec 2022
HAM96
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
69avg 72
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 72
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 72
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 72
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 72
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 72
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 72
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 72
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-69
60
69
-9
38avg 72
A17/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H21/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
17-20
22-16
15-22
20-30
23-20
15-21
20-21
24-22
20-25
26-27
16-17
22-30
13-15
21-37
27-22
13-15
16-19
35-15
19-31
17-30
19-27
29-19
12-14
24-19
15-24
25-18
27-23
11-23
20-23
19-11
15-20
12-15
11-16
16-22
21-16
19-29
23-18
13-16
29-14
161.0Avg total
77.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.981.1161.0-1.340%
Season at home (7)84.782.9167.6+1.957%
Season away (8)75.679.6155.2-4.025%
Last 10 (10)77.383.7161.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)75.479.4154.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.889.6166.4-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.280.2158.4-1.946%
vs Weaker (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
57avg 74
A30/11
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 74
A03/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-70
89
70
+19
92avg 74
H10/12
BBL
Igokea
#33
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 74
A18/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 74
H21/12
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
80avg 74
A26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 74
H30/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
79-78
79
78
+1
71avg 74
H03/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
85-96
85
96
-11
78avg 74
A11/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 74
H20/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
14-14
20-23
25-35
18-18
22-12
18-19
11-22
23-19
17-16
20-16
29-19
22-21
20-29
17-20
26-13
15-15
24-23
25-20
22-18
20-29
22-22
19-18
29-12
17-22
21-16
18-23
14-21
22-21
21-15
15-21
21-21
18-19
22-19
19-20
26-38
19-16
14-24
18-24
23-22
160.8Avg total
80.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.777.1157.9+3.660%
Season at home (7)79.975.7155.6+4.171%
Season away (8)81.578.4159.9+3.150%
Last 10 (10)80.480.4160.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.684.6164.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.583.2153.7-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.678.6159.2+1.967%
vs Weaker (5)85.678.4164.0+7.280%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
HamburgWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A17/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/01
Eurocup
78.6Avg total
35.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.382.5-6.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.845.985.7-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.979.8-6.112%-
Last 10 (10)35.143.578.6-8.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.879.0-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.947.186.1-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.641.377.9-4.715%-
vs Weaker (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A30/11
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A03/12
Champions League
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/12
BBL
Igokea
#33
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/12
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/01
BBL
76.8Avg total
38.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.237.577.7+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)37.038.075.0-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.976.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.839.271.0-7.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.437.477.8+3.072%-
vs Weaker (5)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.5%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
73.5%14.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.7
50.8%
52.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.9
33.0%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
73.5%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLLWLWLLLL
Wurzburg
LLWLWWWWLL
#13
League position
#5
-8.6
Net rating
+0.3
99.9
Offensive rating
108.8
108.5
Defensive rating
108.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
22.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.5%
3-point %
33.0%
62.8%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 108.8Defence108.5 · 108.5Shooting48.7% · 50.2%3-point %29.5% · 33.0%Ball care22.5% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
18/10/24Wurzburg v Hamburg91-85
17/03/24Wurzburg v Hamburg96-76
01/10/23Hamburg v Wurzburg58-88
06/02/23Wurzburg v Hamburg90-56
30/12/22Hamburg v Wurzburg96-73
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/25HLietkabelis84-77
17/01/25AChemnitz60-69
15/01/25ATurk Telekom65-77
10/01/25HBonn91-84
08/01/25HVenezia77-90
06/01/25ABamberg83-80
03/01/25ACluj-Napoca83-104
30/12/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-91
26/12/24ARostock78-92
21/12/24HLudwigsburg66-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HVechta74-86
11/01/25AOldenburg85-96
03/01/25HGottingen79-78
30/12/24HBamberg70-82
26/12/24ABonn90-81
21/12/24HSyntainics MBC86-76
18/12/24AIgokea85-83
10/12/24HFrankfurt89-70
03/12/24AHapoel Holon69-71
30/11/24AChemnitz77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game79.984.775.6
Allowed / game81.182.979.6
Point differential-1.3+1.9-4.0
Avg total161.0167.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game80.779.981.5
Allowed / game77.175.778.4
Point differential+3.6+4.1+3.1
Avg total157.9155.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1511473%82.475.1+7.3
2 Ulm1611569%85.079.6+5.4
3 Basketball Braunschweig1611569%81.578.1+3.4
4 Wurzburg159660%80.777.1+3.6
5 Vechta159660%83.381.9+1.4
6 Heidelberg159660%77.579.1-1.6
7 Chemnitz169756%78.478.9-0.5
8 Ludwigsburg179853%75.171.8+3.3
9 Syntainics MBC179853%85.083.5+1.5
10 Rostock168850%81.180.6+0.4
11 Bonn178947%84.083.6+0.4
12 Alba Berlin157847%84.781.7+3.1
13 Oldenburg167944%87.887.6+0.2
14 Hamburg156940%79.981.1-1.3
15 Bamberg1661038%80.683.6-2.9
16 Frankfurt1641225%75.883.2-7.4
17 Gottingen151147%79.796.6-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1618171768
Wurzburg2118101766
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