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Wurzburg vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 96-76
21-15 26-23 18-19 31-19
Position#4
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#10
Record12-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game87.3
GermanyBBLRound 24· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Hamburg
03 Apr 2027
WUR v HAM
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
WUR91
HAM88
18 Oct 2024
WUR91
HAM85
17 Mar 2024
WUR96
HAM76
06 Feb 2023
WUR90
HAM56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
69avg 69
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 69
A20/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 69
H28/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
89-100
89
100
-11
34avg 69
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
104-65
104
65
+39
101avg 69
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 69
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 69
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 69
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
85-60
85
60
+25
84avg 69
H13/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-22
24-24
25-22
17-17
20-25
14-22
31-26
23-13
23-27
22-14
23-24
14-19
23-20
22-15
17-21
20-23
20-24
23-25
26-28
32-14
25-21
23-14
24-16
24-24
16-24
28-21
26-22
28-23
17-18
15-21
26-18
31-17
24-18
18-13
23-28
19-9
17-17
28-16
21-18
172.6Avg total
91.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.178.4164.5+7.774%
Season at home (11)83.074.8157.8+8.273%
Season away (12)88.981.8170.7+7.275%
Last 10 (10)91.081.6172.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)93.074.4167.4+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.079.7149.7-9.70%
vs Similar (14)80.981.5162.4-0.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.876.5167.3+14.392%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
L
83-94 OT
83
94
-11
72avg 75
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 75
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
83-114
83
114
-31
73avg 75
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 75
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 75
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
79avg 75
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
105-89
105
89
+16
102avg 75
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
69avg 75
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 75
A10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
12-25
27-21
22-15
21-21
14-22
22-26
23-22
22-28
23-24
17-31
21-31
23-22
18-18
13-20
17-19
20-22
21-34
22-19
21-19
18-20
25-18
21-22
16-27
20-21
15-25
28-15
20-29
29-24
29-19
25-23
22-23
21-22
15-23
12-20
22-18
18-20
25-18
15-15
23-17
171.1Avg total
82.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.787.3174.0-0.657%
Season at home (9)83.986.4170.3-2.656%
Season away (12)88.887.9176.8+0.958%
Last 10 (10)82.089.1171.1-7.120%
Last 5 (5)83.883.8167.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.394.6176.9-12.217%
vs Similar (6)85.086.3171.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (6)101.392.0193.3+9.3100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
WurzburgHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/03
BBL
82.5Avg total
43.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.578.9+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.837.578.3+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.579.4+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.482.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.637.083.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.338.075.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (14)39.639.679.2-0.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.537.378.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/03
BBL
85.3Avg total
40.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.590.6-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.845.587.2-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)44.249.093.2-4.835%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.585.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.749.190.8-7.422%-
vs Similar (6)42.743.085.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (6)48.047.095.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.2
51.4%
54.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.5
39.7%
35.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
76.0%15.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.3
57.7%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
76.0%15.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWWWLWWLW
Hamburg
WLWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#10
+13.8
Net rating
-8.4
121.2
Offensive rating
108.5
107.4
Defensive rating
116.9
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
22.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.7%
3-point %
35.1%
56.0%
Assist %
58.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 108.5Defence107.4 · 116.9Shooting55.2% · 55.7%3-point %39.7% · 35.1%Ball care13.8% · 22.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Hamburg v Wurzburg58-88
06/02/23Wurzburg v Hamburg90-56
30/12/22Hamburg v Wurzburg96-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HGottingen85-60
09/03/24AOldenburg96-76
01/03/24HCrailsheim Merlins86-80
14/02/24ALudwigsburg94-91
09/02/24HBamberg104-65
04/02/24ABasketball Braunschweig89-100
28/01/24HAlba Berlin76-75
20/01/24ARostock91-78
14/01/24AAlba Berlin82-90
08/01/24ATubingen107-101 OT
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-70
13/02/24AUlm70-83
10/02/24HRostock105-89
06/02/24HVenezia83-90
03/02/24HBonn80-87
30/01/24ABC Wolves84-94
28/01/24AVechta71-79
24/01/24HCedevita Olimpija83-114
20/01/24HOldenburg80-91
17/01/24HBesiktas83-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game86.183.088.9
Allowed / game78.474.881.8
Point differential+7.7+8.2+7.2
Avg total164.5157.8170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%36%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %57%56%58%
Points / game86.783.988.8
Allowed / game87.386.487.9
Point differential-0.6-2.6+0.9
Avg total174.0170.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2319483%87.376.9+10.4
2 Bayern2218482%90.077.6+12.4
3 Alba Berlin2116576%92.883.0+9.8
4 Wurzburg2317674%86.178.4+7.7
5 Vechta2315865%89.781.9+7.7
6 Ulm2315865%91.587.8+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg2415962%89.180.9+8.2
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg2112957%86.787.3-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig24111346%83.985.8-1.9
11 Bamberg23101343%88.189.3-1.2
12 Oldenburg23101343%83.185.0-2.0
13 Syntainics MBC2481633%86.091.5-5.5
14 Gottingen2371630%88.496.9-8.5
15 Rostock2361726%90.093.9-4.0
16 Tubingen2461825%85.196.5-11.4
17 Heidelberg2451921%82.995.2-12.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins2442017%79.393.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2126183196
Hamburg1523191976
← all games of the day
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