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Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-90
14-21 32-16 20-29 15-24
Position#5
Record17-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record23-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game74.0
GermanyBBLRound 26· Tectake Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Wurzburg v Bayern
08 Nov 2026
WUR73
BAY94
23 Apr 2026
WUR81
BAY90
29 Mar 2025
WUR75
BAY81
02 Jun 2024
WUR61
BAY75
14 Apr 2024
WUR82
BAY90
10 Apr 2023
WUR49
BAY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
70avg 73
H06/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
68-71
68
71
-3
60avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 73
A10/03
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 73
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 73
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 73
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
90-102
90
102
-12
79avg 73
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 73
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 73
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 73
H17/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-19
24-19
18-16
21-16
22-21
15-22
10-12
19-34
15-15
28-17
22-25
16-18
19-24
27-21
19-24
26-19
21-26
17-19
20-17
18-20
21-25
23-18
23-16
17-21
22-24
25-37
26-20
17-27
30-21
14-26
25-29
24-16
19-12
24-20
20-21
17-26
20-9
23-14
20-17
164.4Avg total
82.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.280.7162.9+1.659%
Season at home (14)85.080.6165.6+4.471%
Season away (15)79.680.7160.3-1.147%
Last 10 (10)82.681.8164.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.683.8169.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.687.0167.6-6.412%
vs Similar (13)82.579.5162.0+2.954%
vs Weaker (9)87.376.9164.2+10.489%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
93-83
93
83
+10
89avg 79
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 79
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 79
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 79
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
85avg 79
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
95avg 79
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 79
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-59
93
59
+34
96avg 79
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
59avg 79
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
106avg 79
A20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-24
25-21
29-20
22-24
20-24
17-21
22-27
25-12
18-18
24-30
18-16
19-26
23-16
15-28
22-21
23-16
20-27
23-15
19-22
20-20
32-14
22-21
20-29
26-28
20-17
19-13
26-19
26-23
17-18
27-10
23-8
19-20
12-22
17-26
21-27
21-19
34-18
18-18
31-25
169.5Avg total
87.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.174.0162.1+14.082%
Season at home (13)88.375.1163.4+13.292%
Season away (15)87.973.1161.0+14.773%
Last 10 (10)87.482.1169.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)90.279.0169.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.580.3161.8+1.267%
vs Similar (9)81.984.4166.3-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.578.9170.4+12.767%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
WurzburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H06/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A08/03
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/03
Champions League
Bonn
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H14/03
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H17/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/04
BBL
81.1Avg total
40.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.080.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.080.6+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.980.5-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.881.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.281.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.044.884.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)39.339.979.2-0.646%-
vs Weaker (9)42.836.078.8+6.878%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A20/04
BBL
84.0Avg total
43.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.182.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.878.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.585.1+4.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.484.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.885.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.039.882.8+3.283%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.478.8+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.383.7+5.160%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
53.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.913.8
69.3%
73.5%13.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.917.7
63.4%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws9.77.4
76.3%
73.5%7.4
They take 53.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWLLWWLLLW
Bayern
WLWWWWLWLW
#5
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+6.3
97.9
Offensive rating
66.3
96.7
Defensive rating
60.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
59.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.3%
3-point %
36.5%
60.4%
Assist %
81.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 66.3Defence96.7 · 60.0Shooting54.8% · 59.3%3-point %36.3% · 36.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
10
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Bayern v Wurzburg98-79
29/03/25Wurzburg v Bayern75-81
27/10/24Bayern v Wurzburg70-69
02/06/24Wurzburg v Bayern61-75
31/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg99-75
29/05/24Bayern v Wurzburg91-76
14/04/24Wurzburg v Bayern82-90
29/10/23Bayern v Wurzburg87-64
10/04/23Wurzburg v Bayern49-67
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26HFrankfurt80-66
11/04/26AJena87-69
04/04/26HVechta86-103
01/04/26ATrier90-102
22/03/26AOldenburg85-79
17/03/26HChalon/Saone84-81
14/03/26HBonn81-87
10/03/26AJoventut Badalona84-91
08/03/26AAlba Berlin68-71
06/03/26HChemnitz81-69
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/26ATrier104-80
17/04/26ABarcelona69-95
14/04/26HLudwigsburg93-59
12/04/26HChemnitz91-77
09/04/26AOlimpia Milano94-84
07/04/26AVirtus Bologna85-80
04/04/26ASyntainics MBC79-91
01/04/26HFenerbahce85-76
29/03/26AHamburg81-96
26/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game82.285.079.6
Allowed / game80.780.680.7
Point differential+1.6+4.4-1.1
Avg total162.9165.6160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW82%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWLLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %82%92%73%
Points / game88.188.387.9
Allowed / game74.075.173.1
Point differential+14.0+13.2+14.7
Avg total162.1163.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%77%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%88.174.0+14.0
2 Alba Berlin3022873%86.278.4+7.8
3 Bamberg30201067%89.382.6+6.7
4 Bonn31191261%82.780.0+2.7
5 Wurzburg29171259%82.280.7+1.6
6 Ulm31171455%82.278.4+3.8
7 Ludwigsburg30161453%83.184.2-1.1
8 Trier30161453%90.793.0-2.3
9 Vechta30151550%89.288.1+1.1
10 Rostock29141548%84.283.0+1.2
11 Chemnitz30141647%83.985.2-1.3
12 Hamburg30131743%86.588.2-1.7
13 Oldenburg30131743%82.584.5-2.1
14 Frankfurt30121840%82.484.9-2.6
15 Syntainics MBC30121840%85.288.3-3.1
16 Jena30102033%81.089.3-8.3
17 Basketball Braunschweig3082227%81.289.0-7.8
18 Heidelberg3082227%78.586.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1432201581
Bayern2116292490
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