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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 103-82
27-25 29-19 21-19 26-19
Position#2
Record23-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#9
Record21-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 38· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD105
CZV84
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 84
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 84
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 84
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 84
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 84
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
L
96-98
96
98
-2
95avg 84
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 84
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 84
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
73avg 84
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
98avg 84
A12/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
26-28
17-15
13-19
15-18
36-15
20-20
24-23
24-19
21-16
26-25
21-23
11-21
31-12
18-20
22-18
22-13
15-23
29-24
29-33
27-29
26-19
23-25
20-25
18-30
29-17
28-13
22-30
19-31
23-18
15-23
31-30
19-21
21-13
14-24
20-11
25-20
18-19
23-18
28-21
174.5Avg total
89.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)87.583.1170.6+4.562%
Season at home (18)91.879.9171.7+11.994%
Season away (19)83.586.1169.6-2.632%
Last 10 (10)89.884.7174.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)89.887.4177.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (8)87.682.0169.6+5.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.781.8173.5+9.986%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 85
A20/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 85
H22/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
104avg 85
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
80avg 85
A27/03
Euroleague
Dubai
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 85
H30/03
ABA League
Partizan
#15
L
82-89
82
89
-7
76avg 85
H02/04
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
86-73
86
73
+13
84avg 85
A04/04
ABA League
Paris
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
95avg 85
H07/04
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
106-93
106
93
+13
108avg 85
A10/04
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 85
H13/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
21-21
14-14
12-27
24-21
20-25
29-23
27-27
28-27
14-25
24-15
25-24
20-18
20-24
18-22
17-11
25-15
22-18
16-27
21-22
20-21
18-17
17-20
27-31
19-14
21-19
27-16
19-24
34-28
23-26
23-15
14-12
26-26
29-17
19-28
32-22
25-19
26-20
15-23
20-14
177.2Avg total
90.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)87.785.8173.5+1.957%
Season at home (19)86.681.7168.3+4.868%
Season away (18)88.990.1178.9-1.244%
Last 10 (10)90.886.4177.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)90.882.4173.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.096.0183.0-9.033%
vs Similar (14)88.088.3176.3-0.357%
vs Weaker (13)95.387.6182.9+7.785%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
ACB
86.2Avg total
45.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.684.8+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.037.384.3+9.786%-
Last 30 away (16)43.641.785.3+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.786.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.488.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (8)47.839.287.0+8.588%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.339.684.0+4.771%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H22/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A27/03
Euroleague
Dubai
#1
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/03
ABA League
Partizan
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H02/04
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A04/04
ABA League
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A10/04
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/04
ABA League
88.3Avg total
46.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.290.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.089.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)45.546.491.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.188.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.489.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.048.393.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (14)43.046.389.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker (13)48.443.391.7+5.169%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.814.9
62.6%
60.4%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.2
40.2%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws9.57.5
78.9%
78.2%7.5
They take 49.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.6 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.117.7
70.5%
60.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws7.15.6
78.9%
78.2%5.6
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWLWWWWL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLWLWWL
#2
League position
#9
+6.9
Net rating
+5.8
59.4
Offensive rating
52.9
52.5
Defensive rating
47.1
61.4%
Effective FG%
63.0%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.14
40.2%
3-point %
37.1%
79.7%
Assist %
83.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence59.4 · 52.9Defence52.5 · 47.1Shooting61.4% · 63.0%3-point %40.2% · 37.1%Ball care19.1% · 19.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos94-78
09/04/26AFenerbahce74-69
07/04/26AOlympiacos88-102
05/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-90
03/04/26ABaskonia96-98
28/03/26ABasquet Girona95-93
26/03/26HAnadolu Efes82-71
24/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-83
22/03/26ABarcelona95-76
20/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26HCluj-Napoca86-76
10/04/26ALyon-Villeurbanne106-93
07/04/26HParis94-81
04/04/26AIgokea86-73
02/04/26HPartizan82-89
30/03/26HDubai84-82
27/03/26ABarcelona88-92 OT
25/03/26ABaskonia108-100 OT
22/03/26HPartizan100-96
20/03/26APanathinaikos74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %62%94%32%
Points / game87.591.883.5
Allowed / game83.179.986.1
Point differential+4.5+11.9-2.6
Avg total170.6171.7169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%61%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %57%68%44%
Points / game87.786.688.9
Allowed / game85.881.790.1
Point differential+1.9+4.8-1.2
Avg total173.5168.3178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos38261268%90.383.8+6.5
2 Valencia37241365%90.886.4+4.4
3 Fenerbahce38241463%81.980.6+1.4
4 Real Madrid37231462%87.583.1+4.5
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv37231462%88.384.8+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas37221559%87.782.9+4.8
7 Monaco37211657%90.187.0+3.1
8 Crvena zvezda37211657%87.785.8+1.9
9 Panathinaikos37211657%86.985.6+1.4
10 Barcelona37201754%84.584.3+0.2
11 Dubai37191851%88.287.8+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Bayern37172046%81.183.4-2.3
14 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris37152241%90.491.1-0.8
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes37122532%80.684.0-3.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid27292126103
Crvena zvezda2519191982
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