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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-96
19-22 22-23 22-30 19-21
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record24-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game83.0
SpainACBRound 28· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 87
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
109avg 87
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 87
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 87
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 87
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 87
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
102avg 87
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 87
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 87
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 87
A19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-27
25-19
18-15
27-17
14-24
25-18
18-25
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
22-20
22-23
27-20
23-18
31-25
20-16
33-32
21-15
27-24
24-30
27-29
24-13
27-23
29-24
26-22
20-15
27-23
21-26
28-19
20-21
24-19
21-28
34-20
16-18
20-19
25-21
21-19
18-22
181.8Avg total
94.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)94.682.0176.6+12.678%
Season at home (13)98.879.7178.5+19.192%
Season away (14)90.884.1174.9+6.664%
Last 10 (10)94.687.2181.8+7.490%
Last 5 (5)95.887.0182.8+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.185.4172.5+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)95.185.1180.2+10.073%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 85
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 85
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 85
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
L
96-98
96
98
-2
95avg 85
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 85
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 85
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
73avg 85
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
98avg 85
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 85
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 85
H19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-16
26-25
21-23
11-21
31-12
18-20
22-18
22-13
15-23
29-24
29-33
27-29
26-19
23-25
20-25
18-30
29-17
28-13
22-30
19-31
23-18
15-23
31-30
19-21
21-13
14-24
20-11
25-20
18-19
23-18
28-21
27-25
29-19
21-19
26-19
21-26
20-19
19-23
30-27
177.2Avg total
91.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)92.783.0175.7+9.789%
Season at home (13)93.281.4174.6+11.885%
Season away (14)92.284.5176.7+7.793%
Last 10 (10)91.186.1177.2+5.070%
Last 5 (5)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (8)87.682.0169.6+5.662%
vs Weaker (21)92.482.9175.3+9.681%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
ACB
91.1Avg total
46.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.143.489.5+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.741.890.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (17)44.144.688.8-0.529%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.091.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.496.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.445.487.8-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.542.790.1+4.855%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
ACB
85.6Avg total
44.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.785.3+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.137.684.7+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.141.785.9+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.085.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (8)47.839.287.0+8.588%-
vs Weaker (21)45.039.784.6+5.371%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.5 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.015.4
81.1%
50.0%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.0
35.1%
42.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws7.75.5
71.4%
74.7%5.5
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 64% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.515.7
64.1%
50.0%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.6
37.6%
42.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws10.68.4
79.2%
74.7%8.4
They take 50.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWWWLW
Real Madrid
LWWWLWLWWW
#1
League position
#2
+5.0
Net rating
+3.1
53.3
Offensive rating
57.4
48.3
Defensive rating
54.4
62.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.1%
3-point %
37.6%
86.9%
Assist %
81.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence53.3 · 57.4Defence48.3 · 54.4Shooting62.8% · 60.2%3-point %35.1% · 37.6%Ball care17.6% · 19.0%Free throws0.14 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Real Madrid v Valencia96-79
18/01/26Real Madrid v Valencia94-79
11/11/25Valencia v Real Madrid89-76
28/09/25Real Madrid v Valencia94-98
25/06/25Valencia v Real Madrid70-81
22/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia102-96 OT
20/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia89-75
04/05/25Real Madrid v Valencia96-89
22/12/24Valencia v Real Madrid85-84
10/05/24Valencia v Real Madrid99-93
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26ABasquet Girona84-81
17/04/26ADubai95-85
12/04/26AUnicaja96-89
09/04/26HPanathinaikos102-84
07/04/26HOlimpia Milano102-96
05/04/26HBreogan105-88
03/04/26AVirtus Bologna94-81
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
27/03/26APartizan104-110 OT
24/03/26HOlympiacos85-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HTenerife90-95
16/04/26HCrvena zvezda103-82
12/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos94-78
09/04/26AFenerbahce74-69
07/04/26AOlympiacos88-102
05/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-90
03/04/26ABaskonia96-98
28/03/26ABasquet Girona95-93
26/03/26HAnadolu Efes82-71
24/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game94.698.890.8
Allowed / game82.079.784.1
Point differential+12.6+19.1+6.6
Avg total176.6178.5174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%85%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %89%85%93%
Points / game92.793.292.2
Allowed / game83.081.484.5
Point differential+9.7+11.8+7.7
Avg total175.7174.6176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%69%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)0% (2)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2724389%92.783.0+9.7
2 Valencia2721678%94.682.0+12.6
3 Murcia2821775%90.083.2+6.9
4 Baskonia2719870%92.587.0+5.5
5 Barcelona2718967%88.581.0+7.5
6 Joventut Badalona27171063%84.180.7+3.4
7 Tenerife28171161%88.684.4+4.2
8 Unicaja28161257%87.785.8+1.9
9 Bilbao28151354%84.786.4-1.7
10 Basquet Girona28121643%87.090.0-3.0
11 Breogan27111641%90.093.2-3.2
12 Manresa27111641%84.490.7-6.3
13 Forca Lleida28101836%83.289.2-6.0
14 Basket Zaragoza2891932%87.693.1-5.5
15 Gran Canaria2882029%80.785.4-4.7
16 San Pablo Burgos2772026%89.093.0-4.1
17 MoraBanc Andorra2772026%86.093.4-7.4
18 Granada2742315%81.791.3-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1922221982
Real Madrid2223302196
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