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Heidelberg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-81
14-18 21-21 23-24 28-18
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#12
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game74.8
GermanyBBLRound 10· SNP Dome
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Heidelberg v Rostock
05 Apr 2026
HEI70
ROS101
30 Nov 2024
HEI86
ROS81
16 Mar 2024
HEI88
ROS86
14 Apr 2023
HEI78
ROS75
14 Feb 2021
HEI78
ROS75
27 Oct 2019
HEI78
ROS72
09 Dec 2018
HEI81
ROS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
82-105
82
105
-23
70avg 70
A21/09
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
66avg 70
H29/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 70
A03/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 70
A05/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 70
H13/10
German Cup
Bonn
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
54avg 70
H20/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
99avg 70
A26/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 70
H02/11
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
95-73
95
73
+22
90avg 70
A09/11
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 70
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
20-29
20-25
20-24
27-21
20-24
13-17
20-12
30-15
29-26
25-25
24-27
19-15
19-16
13-17
21-17
19-10
23-25
15-15
21-23
22-29
22-16
16-24
16-26
20-16
23-23
28-12
24-21
19-11
8-20
23-26
17-15
23-20
18-17
21-18
33-18
26-10
11-22
11-22
25-14
161.6Avg total
82.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.179.7162.8+3.467%
Season at home (4)74.077.2151.2-3.250%
Season away (5)90.481.6172.0+8.880%
Last 10 (10)82.679.0161.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)81.276.0157.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.489.4169.8-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.189.1175.2-3.045%
vs Weaker (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
63avg 73
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
60avg 73
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
75avg 73
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
102-74
102
74
+28
108avg 73
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
61avg 73
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 73
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 73
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 73
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 73
H10/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
18-28
27-20
9-29
18-25
21-21
19-15
19-18
20-19
22-20
16-15
18-22
21-19
23-17
35-13
23-25
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
15-23
12-24
6-26
32-19
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
154.2Avg total
76.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.874.8151.5+2.050%
Season at home (5)74.873.8148.6+1.040%
Season away (3)80.076.3156.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)76.477.8154.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)72.274.0146.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.495.2177.6-12.813%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.882.7159.4-5.922%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
HeidelbergRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A21/09
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A03/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/10
German Cup
Bonn
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H20/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H02/11
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/11
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H15/11
BBL
81.2Avg total
42.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.385.9-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.083.9-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.687.9-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.281.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.544.384.9-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.744.390.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
77.1Avg total
37.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.984.0-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.041.681.6-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.444.386.6-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.377.1-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.274.0-0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.046.588.5-4.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.639.678.1-1.056%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
52.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.1
35.2%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.9
81.9%
73.5%14.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.2
50.4%
52.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.711.2
71.3%
73.5%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WWLWLWWWWL
Rostock
LWLWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#12
+4.8
Net rating
-2.2
109.8
Offensive rating
104.5
104.9
Defensive rating
106.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.2%
3-point %
34.4%
52.6%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 104.5Defence104.9 · 106.7Shooting53.4% · 50.9%3-point %35.2% · 34.4%Ball care17.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Heidelberg wins
4
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Heidelberg v Rostock88-86
01/10/23Rostock v Heidelberg122-113 OT
14/04/23Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
27/11/22Rostock v Heidelberg84-91
14/02/21Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
09/12/20Rostock v Heidelberg91-88
27/10/19Heidelberg v Rostock78-72 OT
17/02/19Rostock v Heidelberg77-69
09/12/18Heidelberg v Rostock81-82
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HHamburg73-68
09/11/24AGottingen95-73
02/11/24HWurzburg67-72
26/10/24AFrankfurt95-72
20/10/24HBonn76-95
13/10/24HChemnitz78-73
05/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig72-65
03/10/24ASyntainics MBC108-93
29/09/24HVechta80-74
21/09/24AOldenburg82-105
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
20/10/24ABamberg89-75
05/10/24HWurzburg65-92
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70
28/09/24HGottingen102-74
22/09/24ASyntainics MBC87-84 OT
14/09/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-79
12/05/24ABayern73-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game83.174.090.4
Allowed / game79.777.281.6
Point differential+3.4-3.2+8.8
Avg total162.8151.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game76.874.880.0
Allowed / game74.873.876.3
Point differential+2.0+1.0+3.7
Avg total151.5148.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern86275%80.973.9+7.0
2 Ulm86275%83.578.9+4.6
3 Wurzburg75271%80.172.4+7.7
4 Heidelberg96367%83.179.7+3.4
5 Syntainics MBC85362%87.885.0+2.8
6 Chemnitz85362%79.978.2+1.6
7 Bonn74357%82.481.7+0.7
8 Ludwigsburg84450%77.574.9+2.6
9 Rostock84450%76.874.8+2.0
10 Oldenburg84450%83.883.8+0.0
11 Vechta84450%82.584.5-2.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig73443%74.374.1+0.1
13 Alba Berlin83538%85.883.9+1.9
14 Hamburg72529%80.683.0-2.4
15 Frankfurt72529%76.781.6-4.9
16 Bamberg72529%79.484.6-5.1
17 Gottingen7070%74.398.3-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1421232886
Rostock1821241881
← all games of the day
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