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Heidelberg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-75
17-29 16-14 27-10 18-22
Position#10
Record11-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#8
Record13-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.9
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Heidelberg v Rostock
05 Apr 2026
HEI70
ROS101
30 Nov 2024
HEI86
ROS81
16 Mar 2024
HEI88
ROS86
14 Apr 2023
HEI78
ROS75
14 Feb 2021
HEI78
ROS75
27 Oct 2019
HEI78
ROS72
09 Dec 2018
HEI81
ROS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 75
H05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 75
A09/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
81avg 75
A11/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
71-90
71
90
-19
63avg 75
A15/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
87-111
87
111
-24
78avg 75
A05/03
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
75avg 75
H10/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 75
A19/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 75
H26/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
99-75
99
75
+24
96avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
110avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
20-22
22-26
30-28
24-17
14-24
18-24
25-22
20-24
25-20
25-22
14-26
23-23
17-24
14-19
17-24
22-31
27-27
14-28
24-25
12-19
23-18
25-12
24-25
19-25
24-30
19-14
20-20
22-30
23-16
24-21
24-15
27-18
25-20
29-14
18-23
24-22
27-34
26-19
32-25
177.0Avg total
87.6Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.690.5178.1-3.041%
Season at home (13)93.190.5183.5+2.662%
Season away (14)82.490.6173.0-8.121%
Last 10 (10)87.689.4177.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)93.484.0177.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.391.3176.7-6.022%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.490.1176.5-3.835%
vs Weaker (3)98.091.0189.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 75
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 75
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
20-14
26-20
21-15
18-15
19-18
19-23
17-24
20-26
14-20
5-13
23-18
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
161.3Avg total
79.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.687.9171.4-4.348%
Season at home (14)79.486.1165.5-6.636%
Season away (13)88.089.8177.8-1.862%
Last 10 (10)79.182.2161.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)80.082.2162.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.288.5167.7-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.385.5170.8-0.265%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
HeidelbergRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A05/03
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A19/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H26/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/04
BBL
89.4Avg total
43.2Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.445.187.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.344.787.0-2.423%-
Last 30 away (17)42.545.487.9-2.941%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.289.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.491.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.641.881.3-2.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.647.891.5-4.218%-
vs Weaker (3)44.742.787.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.284.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.179.8-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.388.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.547.287.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.240.882.0+0.547%-
vs Weaker (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
54.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.7
39.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.1
80.1%
75.8%16.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
75.8%16.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WWWLWLLLLL
Rostock
LWLWWLWLLW
#10
League position
#8
-2.7
Net rating
-4.4
117.7
Offensive rating
104.0
120.4
Defensive rating
108.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.2%
3-point %
32.8%
56.3%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 104.0Defence120.4 · 108.4Shooting56.7% · 51.1%3-point %39.2% · 32.8%Ball care16.4% · 19.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Heidelberg wins
3
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Rostock v Heidelberg84-91
14/02/21Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
09/12/20Rostock v Heidelberg91-88
27/10/19Heidelberg v Rostock78-72 OT
17/02/19Rostock v Heidelberg77-69
09/12/18Heidelberg v Rostock81-82
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HBamberg109-100
02/04/23AOldenburg99-75
26/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins93-82
19/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-89
10/03/23HGottingen84-74
05/03/23ALudwigsburg87-111
15/02/23AWurzburg71-90
11/02/23AUlm84-92
09/02/23AGottingen81-87
05/02/23HAlba Berlin86-94
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71
12/02/23HBonn62-77
05/02/23HOldenburg73-80
03/02/23AHamburg91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW41%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%62%21%
Points / game87.693.182.4
Allowed / game90.590.590.6
Point differential-3.0+2.6-8.1
Avg total178.1183.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %11%23%0%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%36%62%
Points / game83.679.488.0
Allowed / game87.986.189.8
Point differential-4.3-6.6-1.8
Avg total171.4165.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%7%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin2826293%88.577.1+11.4
2 Bonn2725293%89.373.6+15.6
3 Bayern2721678%81.474.0+7.5
4 Oldenburg27161159%85.082.8+2.2
5 Gottingen26151158%87.187.2-0.0
6 Ludwigsburg28161257%87.185.2+1.9
7 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
8 Wurzburg28141450%81.683.4-1.8
9 Bamberg29141548%87.787.4+0.2
10 Rostock27131448%83.687.9-4.3
11 Chemnitz27111641%82.783.0-0.4
12 Heidelberg27111641%87.690.5-3.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
14 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1716271878
Rostock2914102275
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