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Bayern vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 101-73
24-19 28-18 20-27 29-9
Position#1
Record27-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game76.1
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#15
Record9-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game92.8
GermanyBBLRound 34· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Rostock
13 Apr 2027
BAY v ROS
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
BAY86
ROS64
22 Mar 2025
BAY91
ROS66
12 May 2024
BAY101
ROS73
26 Apr 2023
BAY108
ROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 78
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
52avg 78
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
77-53
77
53
+24
81avg 78
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
70avg 78
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
44avg 78
A10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
14-17
30-25
13-21
25-26
21-13
22-27
24-17
25-16
19-20
18-16
27-13
17-25
16-17
30-5
13-15
18-16
27-16
22-25
15-17
21-22
17-12
11-18
20-9
5-20
155.3Avg total
81.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.576.1163.6+11.482%
Season at home (16)89.974.1164.0+15.894%
Season away (17)85.377.9163.2+7.471%
Last 10 (10)81.174.2155.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)77.667.8145.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.6161.6-7.60%
vs Similar (9)78.075.8153.8+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.376.4164.7+11.988%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 76
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 76
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 76
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 76
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 76
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
89-112
89
112
-23
64avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
58avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 76
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 76
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
24-27
20-31
23-26
22-28
20-14
22-18
20-21
29-32
22-15
20-25
14-20
14-16
24-18
5-18
25-27
16-22
171.0Avg total
80.7Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.292.8180.0-5.727%
Season at home (17)88.093.7181.7-5.735%
Season away (16)86.291.9178.1-5.619%
Last 10 (10)80.790.3171.0-9.630%
Last 5 (5)78.889.8168.6-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.693.2177.8-8.621%
vs Similar (6)90.792.2182.8-1.533%
vs Weaker (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -6.2-6.2
BayernRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A10/05
BBL
77.2Avg total
40.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.181.2+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.937.479.4+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.183.4+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.077.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.874.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.778.8+1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.837.883.6+8.194%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/05
BBL
82.8Avg total
41.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.788.2-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.544.487.9-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.088.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.382.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.681.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.445.988.4-3.526%-
vs Similar (6)46.847.294.0-0.333%-
vs Weaker (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.5
40.5%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws15.112.5
82.8%
76.0%12.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.3
53.0%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.3
30.5%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.515.5
83.8%
76.0%15.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWLWLWL
Rostock
LLWLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#15
+8.9
Net rating
-12.2
116.8
Offensive rating
101.5
107.9
Defensive rating
113.7
58.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.5%
3-point %
30.5%
58.2%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 101.5Defence107.9 · 113.7Shooting58.6% · 49.9%3-point %40.5% · 30.5%Ball care15.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Rostock v Bayern85-91
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24AAlba Berlin53-59
08/05/24ALudwigsburg85-80
05/05/24HAlba Berlin77-53
01/05/24AUlm81-74
28/04/24HTubingen92-73
21/04/24AHeidelberg82-89
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HCrailsheim Merlins70-85
05/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig70-76
30/04/24HLudwigsburg91-85
27/04/24ABonn89-112
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %82%94%71%
Points / game87.589.985.3
Allowed / game76.174.177.9
Point differential+11.4+15.8+7.4
Avg total163.6164.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLWL35%
AwayWWLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %27%35%19%
Points / game87.288.086.2
Allowed / game92.893.791.9
Point differential-5.7-5.7-5.6
Avg total180.0181.7178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %15%18%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3327682%87.576.1+11.4
2 Alba Berlin3326779%89.280.8+8.5
3 Chemnitz3325876%89.179.2+9.9
4 Wurzburg3324973%87.580.2+7.4
5 Ulm33231070%90.983.7+7.2
6 Vechta33201361%88.082.8+5.2
7 Bonn33191458%89.686.3+3.2
8 Ludwigsburg33181555%88.482.8+5.6
9 Oldenburg33171652%85.183.8+1.2
10 Hamburg33161748%85.886.8-1.1
11 Bamberg33151845%88.689.3-0.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig33151845%82.084.6-2.6
13 Syntainics MBC33112233%86.093.1-7.1
14 Gottingen33102330%85.993.0-7.1
15 Rostock3392427%87.292.8-5.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins3382524%81.292.2-11.1
17 Heidelberg3382524%82.593.8-11.3
18 Tubingen3362718%82.495.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern24282029101
Rostock191827973
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