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Rostock vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 60-68
17-16 20-19 12-12 11-21
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.5
GermanyBBLRound 6· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Chemnitz
11 Apr 2027
ROS v CHE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
ROS73
CHE78
27 Oct 2024
ROS60
CHE68
03 Feb 2024
ROS90
CHE94
18 Jan 2023
ROS81
CHE96
29 Dec 2019
ROS91
CHE101
28 Oct 2018
ROS76
CHE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
58avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 75
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
63avg 75
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
60avg 75
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
75avg 75
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
102-74
102
74
+28
108avg 75
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 75
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
61avg 75
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
22-18
20-21
29-32
22-15
20-25
14-20
14-16
24-18
5-18
25-27
16-22
19-24
18-28
27-20
9-29
18-25
21-21
19-15
19-18
20-19
22-20
16-15
18-22
21-19
23-17
35-13
23-25
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
15-23
12-24
6-26
32-19
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
160.9Avg total
78.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.479.0160.4+2.460%
Season at home (2)83.583.0166.5+0.550%
Season away (3)80.076.3156.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)78.882.1160.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)81.479.0160.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.294.4177.6-11.218%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.585.6169.1-2.138%
vs Weaker (4)87.580.5168.0+7.050%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
72avg 81
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 81
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
51avg 81
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 81
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 81
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 81
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 81
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 81
A20/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
28-27
23-16
17-22
17-31
28-30
25-18
20-26
11-23
16-16
12-20
18-26
13-11
18-24
20-23
21-22
27-21
17-22
25-25
18-21
21-19
24-16
20-18
21-17
23-26
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
164.7Avg total
82.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)87.083.5170.5+3.550%
Season away (2)70.075.5145.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.482.3164.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)85.279.0164.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.583.7169.2+1.953%
vs Weaker (10)91.380.7172.0+10.670%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
RostockChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A12/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
77.2Avg total
37.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.785.6-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.785.5-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)42.243.685.8-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.877.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.446.088.4-3.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.942.082.9-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)43.036.579.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.382.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.380.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.384.7+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.882.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.242.879.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.540.283.7+3.360%-
vs Weaker (10)44.339.283.5+5.170%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
52.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.613.0
78.3%
73.5%13.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.0
57.5%
52.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
73.5%11.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLLWWLLLLW
Chemnitz
WWLWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#7
-5.2
Net rating
+0.1
104.1
Offensive rating
107.3
109.3
Defensive rating
107.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
34.1%
59.8%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.3Defence109.3 · 107.2Shooting50.9% · 54.8%3-point %34.3% · 34.1%Ball care18.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
6
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Rostock v Chemnitz90-94
17/11/23Chemnitz v Rostock85-75
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ABamberg89-75
05/10/24HWurzburg65-92
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70
28/09/24HGottingen102-74
22/09/24ASyntainics MBC87-84 OT
14/09/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-79
12/05/24ABayern73-101
08/05/24HCrailsheim Merlins70-85
05/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig70-76
30/04/24HLudwigsburg91-85
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78
16/10/24HBenfica103-75
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
06/10/24HVechta88-77
02/10/24ATortona81-87
22/09/24HUlm86-90
20/09/24ABayern59-73
06/06/24AAlba Berlin84-97
04/06/24HAlba Berlin85-96
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game81.483.580.0
Allowed / game79.083.076.3
Point differential+2.4+0.5+3.7
Avg total160.4166.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.587.070.0
Allowed / game79.583.575.5
Point differential-1.0+3.5-5.5
Avg total158.0170.5145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm54180%77.878.6-0.8
2 Bonn43175%89.081.5+7.5
3 Basketball Braunschweig32167%84.073.3+10.7
4 Wurzburg32167%86.378.3+8.0
5 Heidelberg64267%85.584.0+1.5
6 Ludwigsburg53260%74.470.0+4.4
7 Bayern53260%78.875.4+3.4
8 Oldenburg53260%82.679.8+2.8
9 Rostock53260%81.479.0+2.4
10 Syntainics MBC63350%85.284.8+0.3
11 Chemnitz42250%78.579.5-1.0
12 Hamburg52340%84.885.2-0.4
13 Frankfurt52340%75.877.2-1.4
14 Alba Berlin41325%87.584.8+2.8
15 Bamberg41325%69.277.5-8.2
16 Vechta51420%76.881.6-4.8
17 Gottingen4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1720121160
Chemnitz1619122168
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