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Heidelberg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-86
22-18 17-26 12-18 37-24
Position#16
Record4-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#15
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game94.2
GermanyBBLRound 24· SNP Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Heidelberg v Rostock
05 Apr 2026
HEI70
ROS101
30 Nov 2024
HEI86
ROS81
16 Mar 2024
HEI88
ROS86
14 Apr 2023
HEI78
ROS75
14 Feb 2021
HEI78
ROS75
27 Oct 2019
HEI78
ROS72
09 Dec 2018
HEI81
ROS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
39avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
76-113
76
113
-37
59avg 74
H05/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 74
A14/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
90-111
90
111
-21
73avg 74
H22/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
77-99
77
99
-22
35avg 74
H27/01
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
87-109
87
109
-22
49avg 74
A04/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 74
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 74
A13/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 74
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 74
H10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-24
19-17
11-17
20-25
22-27
19-16
20-37
15-33
27-22
20-14
16-19
21-28
16-28
24-24
29-29
21-30
20-21
19-28
7-29
31-21
22-36
28-15
22-25
15-33
25-25
17-28
22-22
12-19
23-17
26-28
12-31
22-22
25-25
20-19
26-25
20-25
25-15
24-25
19-24
24-23
178.4Avg total
81.3Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.795.7178.3-13.017%
Season at home (12)81.196.5177.6-15.48%
Season away (11)84.594.7179.2-10.327%
Last 10 (10)81.397.1178.4-15.820%
Last 5 (5)85.896.4182.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.794.2173.9-14.516%
vs Similar (8)94.294.8189.0-0.538%
vs Weaker (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 79
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
94-111
94
111
-17
94avg 79
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 79
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 79
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 79
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 79
H10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
20-26
37-26
13-36
24-23
13-23
27-23
14-22
24-23
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
181.6Avg total
86.1Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.194.2184.3-4.027%
Season at home (12)92.494.2186.6-1.842%
Season away (10)87.494.2181.6-6.810%
Last 10 (10)86.195.5181.6-9.40%
Last 5 (5)86.694.6181.2-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.692.4178.0-6.914%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.783.6175.4+8.173%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
HeidelbergRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H05/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A14/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H22/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H27/01
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H09/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A03/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/03
BBL
88.2Avg total
42.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.287.8-4.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.545.185.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)42.547.189.6-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.693.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.245.785.9-5.632%-
vs Similar (8)45.845.190.9+0.675%-
vs Weaker (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
91.1Avg total
43.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.788.6-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.444.189.5+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)42.445.387.6-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.647.591.1-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.492.8-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.348.191.4-4.921%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.138.581.5+4.664%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.6
48.3%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.1
31.6%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.615.8
73.1%
76.0%15.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.8
54.5%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.6
40.2%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
76.0%15.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WLLLLLLWLL
Rostock
LLLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#15
-20.4
Net rating
-4.6
103.4
Offensive rating
117.1
123.8
Defensive rating
121.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
40.2%
59.9%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 117.1Defence123.8 · 121.7Shooting47.9% · 56.8%3-point %31.6% · 40.2%Ball care17.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Heidelberg wins
4
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Rostock v Heidelberg122-113 OT
14/04/23Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
27/11/22Rostock v Heidelberg84-91
14/02/21Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
09/12/20Rostock v Heidelberg91-88
27/10/19Heidelberg v Rostock78-72 OT
17/02/19Rostock v Heidelberg77-69
09/12/18Heidelberg v Rostock81-82
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HBonn92-87
03/03/24AGottingen91-94
13/02/24ABamberg83-98
09/02/24HBasketball Braunschweig76-94
04/02/24AVechta87-109
27/01/24HChemnitz77-99
22/01/24HSyntainics MBC90-111
14/01/24ABasketball Braunschweig84-83
05/01/24HVechta76-113
30/12/23ABayern57-83
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
20/01/24HWurzburg78-91
13/01/24HHamburg94-111
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW8%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %17%8%27%
Points / game82.781.184.5
Allowed / game95.796.594.7
Point differential-13.0-15.4-10.3
Avg total178.3177.6179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%42%10%
Points / game90.192.487.4
Allowed / game94.294.294.2
Point differential-4.0-1.8-6.8
Avg total184.3186.6181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2319483%87.376.9+10.4
2 Bayern2218482%90.077.6+12.4
3 Alba Berlin2015575%91.883.7+8.1
4 Wurzburg2317674%86.178.4+7.7
5 Vechta2315865%89.781.9+7.7
6 Ulm2315865%91.587.8+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg2415962%89.180.9+8.2
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg2112957%86.787.3-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig24111346%83.985.8-1.9
11 Bamberg23101343%88.189.3-1.2
12 Oldenburg23101343%83.185.0-2.0
13 Syntainics MBC2371630%85.591.4-6.0
14 Gottingen2371630%88.496.9-8.5
15 Rostock2261627%90.194.2-4.0
16 Tubingen2361726%85.895.8-10.0
17 Heidelberg2341917%82.795.7-13.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2341917%78.793.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg2217123788
Rostock1826182486
← all games of the day
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