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Samobor vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-86
21-22 22-14 20-25 19-25
Position#5
Record7-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game74.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Kvarner
05 Mar 2027
SAMO v KVAR
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
SAMO92
KVAR81
07 Mar 2026
SAMO85
KVAR82
21 Jan 2024
SAMO82
KVAR86
01 Oct 2022
SAMO61
KVAR65
29 Mar 2022
SAMO74
KVAR53
16 Oct 2021
SAMO63
KVAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 72
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 72
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 72
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 72
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 72
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 72
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 72
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 72
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 72
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 72
A13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
165.2Avg total
80.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.483.5163.9-3.254%
Season at home (5)80.482.6163.0-2.260%
Season away (8)80.484.1164.5-3.850%
Last 10 (10)80.884.4165.2-3.650%
Last 5 (5)87.285.8173.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.191.3168.4-14.212%
vs Similar (4)72.284.5156.8-12.225%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.4169.2+10.389%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
92avg 89
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
88avg 89
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 89
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
103-89
103
89
+14
103avg 89
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 89
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
89avg 89
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 89
H09/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 89
A16/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
94-71
94
71
+23
94avg 89
H23/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 89
A13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
21-25
21-9
24-23
35-18
27-15
17-20
24-20
24-21
20-25
26-16
13-29
32-26
23-26
26-19
22-18
23-24
24-25
20-13
21-23
23-11
22-21
26-25
16-9
18-10
25-22
16-16
14-11
29-20
25-22
20-17
17-18
29-10
22-24
25-16
18-21
14-20
28-13
27-21
19-18
166.5Avg total
90.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.774.8166.5+16.892%
Season at home (7)92.370.9163.1+21.4100%
Season away (6)91.079.5170.5+11.583%
Last 10 (10)90.576.0166.5+14.590%
Last 5 (5)86.669.0155.6+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.577.0150.5-3.533%
vs Similar (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.873.3161.1+14.585%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
SamoborKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
82.1Avg total
39.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.983.6-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.542.181.5-2.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.945.285.1-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.282.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.447.085.4-8.625%-
vs Similar (4)35.046.581.5-11.525%-
vs Weaker (9)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H23/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/01
Prva Liga
89.1Avg total
49.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.181.2+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.537.280.7+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.439.481.8+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)49.339.889.1+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.034.681.6+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.239.377.5-1.233%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.782.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.636.781.3+7.980%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.4
47.2%
52.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.2%
71.2%11.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.4
60.7%
52.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.5
37.6%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
71.2%13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LWWWLLWLLW
Kvarner
WWWWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#1
-5.4
Net rating
+19.2
100.3
Offensive rating
118.7
105.8
Defensive rating
99.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
58.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
37.6%
57.2%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 118.7Defence105.8 · 99.5Shooting49.2% · 58.9%3-point %35.0% · 37.6%Ball care18.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 24.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Samobor   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
7
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Kvarner v Samobor88-85
08/10/23Kvarner v Samobor91-70
17/12/22Kvarner v Samobor76-68
01/10/22Samobor v Kvarner61-65
22/04/22Kvarner v Samobor83-72
29/03/22Samobor v Kvarner74-53
15/01/22Kvarner v Samobor92-70
16/10/21Samobor v Kvarner63-74
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AOmis88-72
23/12/23HGorica94-71
16/12/23AStoja91-77
09/12/23HKastela73-59
02/12/23AMladost87-66
29/11/23HSamobor88-85
25/11/23HHermes103-89
18/11/23AOsijek83-91
11/11/23HCrikvenica103-73
05/11/23AJazine95-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%60%50%
Points / game80.480.480.4
Allowed / game83.582.684.1
Point differential-3.2-2.2-3.8
Avg total163.9163.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game91.792.391.0
Allowed / game74.870.979.5
Point differential+16.8+21.4+11.5
Avg total166.5163.1170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1413193%90.376.5+13.8
2 Kvarner1312192%91.774.8+16.8
3 KK Zagreb1410471%82.471.1+11.3
4 Gorica149564%79.473.9+5.4
5 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
6 Jazine148657%84.986.9-1.9
7 Samobor137654%80.483.5-3.2
8 Hermes147750%92.690.0+2.6
9 Omis147750%78.478.9-0.5
10 Mladost1441029%78.283.3-5.1
11 Marsonia1441029%80.886.4-5.6
12 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
13 Stoja1421214%78.089.0-11.0
14 Crikvenica1421214%73.488.6-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2122201982
Kvarner2214252586
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