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Kvarner vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-71
29-10 22-24 25-16 18-21
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game75.5
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v Gorica
13 Apr 2024
KVAR93
GORI70
23 Dec 2023
KVAR94
GORI71
05 Jan 2017
KVAR73
GORI77
07 May 2016
KVAR88
GORI78
03 Oct 2015
KVAR81
GORI77
10 Jan 2015
KVAR93
GORI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
102-94
102
94
+8
102avg 89
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 89
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
92avg 89
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
88avg 89
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 89
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
103-89
103
89
+14
103avg 89
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 89
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
89avg 89
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 89
H09/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 89
A16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-39
32-7
25-30
24-18
17-18
19-18
21-17
26-24
29-20
21-25
21-9
24-23
35-18
27-15
17-20
24-20
24-21
20-25
26-16
13-29
32-26
23-26
26-19
22-18
23-24
24-25
20-13
21-23
23-11
22-21
26-25
16-9
18-10
25-22
16-16
14-11
29-20
25-22
20-17
17-18
169.6Avg total
90.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.875.5167.3+16.491%
Season at home (6)92.070.8162.8+21.2100%
Season away (5)91.681.0172.6+10.680%
Last 10 (10)90.878.8169.6+12.090%
Last 5 (5)88.475.2163.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.577.0150.5-3.533%
vs Similar (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.572.9160.4+14.585%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 74
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 74
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 74
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 74
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 74
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 74
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 74
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
62avg 74
H16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
21-16
13-17
16-17
18-9
152.5Avg total
76.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.672.3150.9+6.464%
Season at home (5)80.071.4151.4+8.680%
Season away (6)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)76.875.7152.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)76.470.6147.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.789.8164.5-15.20%
vs Similar (17)82.380.9163.2+1.453%
vs Weaker (6)80.269.0149.2+11.283%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
KvarnerGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H25/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/12
Prva Liga
90.2Avg total
48.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.180.7+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.237.380.5+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.181.0+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)48.941.390.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.841.490.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.239.377.5-1.233%-
vs Similar (3)40.741.782.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.136.680.7+7.580%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
76.2Avg total
39.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.778.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.439.278.6+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.276.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.243.278.3-8.017%-
vs Similar (17)42.137.980.0+4.165%-
vs Weaker (6)39.034.073.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.6
59.7%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.7
38.5%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
71.2%14.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.7
57.3%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.1
66.9%
71.2%11.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WWWWWLWWWW
Gorica
WLLWWWLLWW
#1
League position
#4
+16.0
Net rating
+9.5
119.6
Offensive rating
105.2
103.7
Defensive rating
95.8
58.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.5%
3-point %
30.6%
63.8%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 105.2Defence103.7 · 95.8Shooting58.8% · 52.7%3-point %38.5% · 30.6%Ball care14.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds24.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Kvarner   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kvarner wins
2
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
19/04/17Gorica v Kvarner92-82
05/01/17Kvarner v Gorica73-77
07/05/16Kvarner v Gorica88-78
16/04/16Gorica v Kvarner80-91
09/01/16Gorica v Kvarner70-94
03/10/15Kvarner v Gorica81-77
10/01/15Kvarner v Gorica93-69
30/12/14Gorica v Kvarner86-95
11/10/14Gorica v Kvarner67-84
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AStoja91-77
09/12/23HKastela73-59
02/12/23AMladost87-66
29/11/23HSamobor88-85
25/11/23HHermes103-89
18/11/23AOsijek83-91
11/11/23HCrikvenica103-73
05/11/23AJazine95-77
28/10/23HKK Zagreb83-77
22/10/23AMarsonia102-94
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HOmis68-59
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
02/12/23AStoja69-79
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game91.892.091.6
Allowed / game75.570.881.0
Point differential+16.4+21.2+10.6
Avg total167.3162.8172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game78.680.077.5
Allowed / game72.371.473.0
Point differential+6.4+8.6+4.5
Avg total150.9151.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
2 Kvarner1110191%91.875.5+16.4
3 KK Zagreb118373%82.571.9+10.5
4 Gorica117464%78.672.3+6.4
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
12 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner2922251894
Gorica1024162171
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