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Hogsbo vs BC Lulea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:04
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game90.6
Hogsbo
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
BC Lulea
Sweden
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game81.6
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo v BC Lulea
10 Jan 2027
HOGS v LUL
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
HOGS78
LUL92
03 Nov 2025
HOGS66
LUL106
07 Mar 2025
HOGS80
LUL107
08 Oct 2024
HOGS90
LUL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 73
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 73
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 73
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 73
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 73
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 73
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 73
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
79-105
79
105
-26
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
20-33
10-21
17-37
24-17
20-20
21-18
20-27
21-19
18-26
26-23
17-16
18-15
16-20
18-22
18-14
17-28
27-25
17-30
26-27
9-23
171.5Avg total
80.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Season at home (5)81.485.6167.0-4.240%
Season away (5)80.495.6176.0-15.20%
Last 10 (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.893.9172.7-15.215%
vs Similar (8)88.289.4177.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 83
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 83
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 83
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 83
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 83
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
108-71
108
71
+37
100avg 83
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
81avg 83
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 83
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
33-20
21-10
37-17
17-24
21-25
20-20
24-23
16-13
28-16
20-27
18-13
26-24
32-22
27-22
16-20
29-15
20-20
16-18
22-13
24-20
177.0Avg total
96.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.281.6177.8+14.582%
Season at home (6)98.077.2175.2+20.8100%
Season away (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 10 (10)96.380.7177.0+15.680%
Last 5 (5)96.478.8175.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Similar (5)83.479.6163.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.980.7174.6+13.279%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
HogsboBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/11
Basketligan
87.6Avg total
40.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.848.087.8-8.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.784.1-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.351.391.5-11.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.587.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.648.586.2-10.920%-
vs Similar (8)45.447.192.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/11
Basketligan
88.3Avg total
47.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.938.885.7+8.259%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.387.0+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.488.3+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.087.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.540.783.2+1.833%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.484.4+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.839.987.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.319.3
73.4%
74.1%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.3
57.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.2
39.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
74.1%17.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLLLWLW
BC Lulea
WWWWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#1
-11.6
Net rating
+13.2
89.0
Offensive rating
108.4
100.6
Defensive rating
95.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
58.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.8%
3-point %
39.7%
66.0%
Assist %
47.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 108.4Defence100.6 · 95.2Shooting49.7% · 58.5%3-point %30.8% · 39.7%Ball care16.3% · 12.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Hogsbo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
6
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26BC Lulea v Hogsbo108-71
16/02/26Hogsbo v BC Lulea78-92
08/12/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo97-73
03/11/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea66-106
07/03/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea80-107
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AJamtland79-105
06/11/26HNorrkoping69-84
03/11/26ASloga Uppsala79-80
27/10/26HKoping Stars82-84
23/10/26ABC Lulea71-108
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSodertalje82-71
06/11/26HUppsala104-79
30/10/26ANorrkoping92-80
27/10/26AUmea96-93 OT
23/10/26HHogsbo108-71
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.981.480.4
Allowed / game90.685.695.6
Point differential-9.7-4.2-15.2
Avg total171.5167.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game96.298.094.0
Allowed / game81.677.287.0
Point differential+14.5+20.8+7.0
Avg total177.8175.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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