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Hogsbo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 78-92
26-20 13-25 20-20 19-27
Position#9
Record6-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game92.8
Hogsbo
Sweden
vs
BC Lulea 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record18-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game81.6
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v BC Lulea
10 Jan 2027
HOGS v LUL
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
HOGS78
LUL92
03 Nov 2025
HOGS66
LUL106
07 Mar 2025
HOGS80
LUL107
08 Oct 2024
HOGS90
LUL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
68avg 77
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 77
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 77
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 77
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
91avg 77
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 77
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
83avg 77
A13/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
11-18
23-26
26-29
15-25
13-26
19-26
35-19
26-22
23-23
16-18
18-19
19-22
23-19
21-25
32-17
28-30
21-35
27-24
22-22
20-23
17-27
12-20
14-24
21-31
23-16
25-28
25-19
10-26
21-20
23-16
22-25
29-18
25-21
17-12
22-24
24-35
21-27
22-25
29-23
180.2Avg total
86.1Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.792.8178.5-7.125%
Season at home (12)82.888.4171.2-5.733%
Season away (12)88.797.2185.8-8.517%
Last 10 (10)86.194.1180.2-8.030%
Last 5 (5)86.094.4180.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.197.7179.8-15.611%
vs Similar (8)94.493.8188.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (3)88.087.3175.3+0.733%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
109-74
109
74
+35
109avg 83
H19/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H27/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
75avg 83
A30/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 83
A09/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H14/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
85avg 83
A27/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 83
H30/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 83
H03/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 83
H06/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
92avg 83
A14/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
26-18
28-17
24-13
22-15
22-25
23-18
23-19
17-16
24-28
18-21
25-24
21-15
24-25
16-23
17-26
18-15
24-21
19-9
19-21
26-11
18-24
18-19
25-11
21-10
30-11
21-17
19-23
19-22
26-27
24-28
21-18
20-14
24-24
19-14
9-15
20-17
27-19
22-24
22-20
163.5Avg total
87.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.381.6171.8+8.772%
Season at home (11)91.480.0171.4+11.482%
Season away (14)89.482.8172.2+6.664%
Last 10 (10)87.276.3163.5+10.970%
Last 5 (5)86.273.6159.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.0101.0181.0-21.00%
vs Similar (14)81.782.1163.9-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.776.3169.0+16.486%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
HogsboBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Basketligan
89.1Avg total
40.3Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.948.991.8-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.345.786.9-4.433%-
Last 30 away (15)44.552.196.6-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)40.348.889.1-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.891.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.349.991.3-8.616%-
vs Similar (8)48.147.195.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.785.7-7.70%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H19/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H27/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A09/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H30/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A14/02
Basketligan
84.3Avg total
46.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.084.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.039.083.0+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)43.842.886.6+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)46.038.384.3+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.882.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.049.095.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)42.041.283.2+0.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.439.785.1+5.764%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.1
54.3%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.7
34.9%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
74.6%18.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.5
57.3%
54.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.9
40.6%
35.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
74.6%15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWLLLLWWLL
BC Lulea
WWLWWWLLWW
#9
League position
#4
-7.9
Net rating
+13.5
105.2
Offensive rating
111.1
113.1
Defensive rating
97.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
40.6%
61.4%
Assist %
52.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 111.1Defence113.1 · 97.6Shooting53.3% · 58.6%3-point %34.9% · 40.6%Ball care14.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds21.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Hogsbo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
4
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
08/12/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo97-73
03/11/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea66-106
07/03/25Hogsbo v BC Lulea80-107
03/01/25BC Lulea v Hogsbo85-67
08/10/24Hogsbo v BC Lulea90-81
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AKoping Stars96-110
06/02/26HNassjo93-75
03/02/26HNorrkoping76-87
23/01/26ASloga Uppsala102-106 OT
17/01/26HNorrkoping63-94
09/01/26ANassjo98-111
05/01/26HKoping Stars95-83
30/12/25AUppsala83-82
27/12/25HBoras82-96
08/12/25ABC Lulea73-97
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ABoras91-80
06/02/26HSodertalje72-67
03/02/26HJamtland90-95
30/01/26HUppsala91-61
27/01/26AUmea87-65
14/01/26HSodertalje80-66
09/01/26ANorrkoping78-89
30/12/25ABoras84-89
27/12/25HUmea90-77
19/12/25HNassjo109-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game85.782.888.7
Allowed / game92.888.497.2
Point differential-7.1-5.7-8.5
Avg total178.5171.2185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %72%82%64%
Points / game90.391.489.4
Allowed / game81.680.082.8
Point differential+8.7+11.4+6.6
Avg total171.8171.4172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%45%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2619773%94.582.1+12.3
2 Jamtland2619773%98.390.8+7.5
3 BC Lulea2518772%90.381.6+8.7
4 Boras2416867%92.384.5+7.8
5 Sodertalje26151158%80.379.2+1.1
6 Uppsala26141254%86.383.4+2.9
7 Nassjo26121446%88.392.2-3.9
8 Koping Stars2691735%87.394.1-6.8
9 Hogsbo2461825%85.792.8-7.1
10 Sloga Uppsala2561924%78.991.2-12.3
11 Umea2662023%80.691.0-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2613201978
BC Lulea2025202792
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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