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Hogsbo vs Boras Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 59-63
14-16 16-16 14-17 15-14
Position#9
Record5-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Boras 🏆
Sweden
Position#2
Record17-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game78.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Boras
26 Jan 2027
HOGS v BORA
upcoming
29 Sep 2026
HOGS96
BORA90
27 Dec 2025
HOGS82
BORA96
13 Oct 2025
HOGS79
BORA87
28 Feb 2025
HOGS59
BORA63
14 Dec 2024
HOGS87
BORA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 80
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 80
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 80
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 80
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 80
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 80
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 80
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 80
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 80
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 80
A15/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
174.4Avg total
83.1Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.391.3174.5-8.022%
Season at home (11)81.089.2170.2-8.227%
Season away (12)85.393.2178.5-7.817%
Last 10 (10)83.191.3174.4-8.220%
Last 5 (5)88.092.4180.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.292.5174.7-10.315%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (10)90.178.7168.8+11.460%
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBoras
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
49avg 76
H27/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 76
A30/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 76
H03/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
100-75
100
75
+25
101avg 76
H10/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
70avg 76
A17/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
89avg 76
H24/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
99-102
99
102
-3
96avg 76
A04/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
68avg 76
A07/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
86avg 76
A11/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 76
H14/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
13-14
17-17
16-16
20-13
21-28
23-16
13-21
16-24
26-18
24-19
23-20
31-16
23-21
32-16
14-22
12-23
29-23
22-16
22-18
18-30
30-15
23-15
27-11
22-21
23-28
28-23
26-30
23-22
20-16
11-18
27-25
25-27
22-21
25-17
21-23
17-20
18-14
21-17
20-27
166.4Avg total
86.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.978.0164.8+8.974%
Season at home (11)89.875.4165.2+14.582%
Season away (12)84.280.3164.5+3.867%
Last 10 (10)86.579.9166.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)90.885.6176.4+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.084.4164.4-4.425%
vs Similar (5)87.877.8165.6+10.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.176.0162.1+10.182%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
HogsboBoras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
84.8Avg total
41.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.683.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.280.7+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.085.9-2.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.744.183.8-4.430%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (10)45.636.682.2+9.070%-
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#8
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H27/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H24/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A04/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A11/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/02
Basketligan
82.7Avg total
42.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.684.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.440.085.4+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.343.083.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.482.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.444.687.0-2.250%-
vs Similar (5)44.639.484.0+5.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.340.883.1+1.559%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.2
47.6%
52.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.618.4
78.0%
76.2%18.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boras: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
52.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.7
34.2%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
76.2%15.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLWLLLLLLW
Boras
LWLLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#2
-10.4
Net rating
+8.2
101.2
Offensive rating
112.9
111.5
Defensive rating
104.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
34.2%
65.2%
Assist %
55.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 112.9Defence111.5 · 104.7Shooting49.2% · 52.4%3-point %34.3% · 34.2%Ball care18.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Boras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
2
Boras wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Hogsbo v Boras87-95 OT
11/10/24Boras v Hogsbo90-63
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
Boraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HKoping Stars76-78
11/02/25AJamtland93-88
07/02/25ABC Lulea88-89 OT
04/02/25ANorrkoping99-102
24/01/25HUmea98-71
17/01/25ANassjo85-80
10/01/25HBC Lulea100-75
03/01/25HUppsala89-81
30/12/24AJamtland77-78
27/12/24HSodertalje60-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%27%17%
Points / game83.381.085.3
Allowed / game91.389.293.2
Point differential-8.0-8.2-7.8
Avg total174.5170.2178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Boras
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL74%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game86.989.884.2
Allowed / game78.075.480.3
Point differential+8.9+14.5+3.8
Avg total164.8165.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2318578%94.780.5+14.2
2 Boras2317674%86.978.0+8.9
3 Koping Stars2415962%89.787.2+2.4
4 BC Lulea2314961%88.484.0+4.4
5 Nassjo24131154%90.792.2-1.5
6 Sodertalje23121152%73.475.6-2.1
7 Uppsala23121152%80.182.3-2.2
8 Jamtland25101540%86.586.2+0.3
9 Hogsbo2351822%83.391.3-8.0
10 Umea231224%76.993.3-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1416141559
Boras1616171463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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