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Umea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 83-110
18-22 15-27 26-35 24-26
Position#10
Record1-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#9
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game91.3
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Umea v Hogsbo
19 Feb 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
31 Jan 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
UMEA87
HOGS76
07 Feb 2025
UMEA83
HOGS110
17 Jan 2025
UMEA87
HOGS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 68
A06/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
64-98
64
98
-34
54avg 68
A13/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
78-108
78
108
-30
68avg 68
H27/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
65-106
65
106
-41
53avg 68
A30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
75avg 68
H04/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
59-79
59
79
-20
53avg 68
A10/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
80-104
80
104
-24
74avg 68
H13/01
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 68
H17/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 68
A24/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
81-105
81
105
-24
70avg 68
H04/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-22
22-19
15-30
23-26
18-25
12-13
11-34
6-32
26-22
32-23
14-31
19-23
16-34
22-20
8-29
22-22
16-26
20-17
19-25
13-15
11-25
18-21
17-18
20-25
25-29
12-27
23-23
22-15
15-17
24-22
26-23
30-18
15-30
15-23
11-27
16-22
21-33
17-20
27-30
170.4Avg total
74.9Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.591.8169.2-14.35%
Season at home (10)79.191.4170.5-12.310%
Season away (10)75.892.1167.9-16.30%
Last 10 (10)74.995.5170.4-20.610%
Last 5 (5)75.692.6168.2-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.593.7171.1-16.24%
vs Similar (2)88.092.5180.5-4.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 81
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
90-99
90
99
-9
83avg 81
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 81
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 81
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 81
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 81
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 81
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 81
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 81
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 81
A04/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
24-30
32-23
18-22
24-25
22-24
26-24
18-26
15-18
24-17
22-24
18-20
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
175.2Avg total
81.3Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.891.3173.1-9.520%
Season at home (10)82.090.6172.6-8.630%
Season away (10)81.692.1173.7-10.510%
Last 10 (10)81.393.9175.2-12.610%
Last 5 (5)75.695.0170.6-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.992.3174.2-10.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.482.2172.6+8.258%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -9.9-9.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -9.9-9.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
UmeaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A06/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H27/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A10/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H13/01
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H17/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/01
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H04/02
Basketligan
86.4Avg total
38.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.686.4-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.146.787.9-5.640%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.585.0-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.448.086.4-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.883.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.146.186.2-6.136%-
vs Similar (2)51.538.089.5+13.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
84.7Avg total
39.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.184.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.781.1+1.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.844.287.0-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.484.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.447.482.8-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.844.283.1-5.428%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.238.986.1+8.267%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
52.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.5
31.1%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
76.2%14.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.4
46.8%
52.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.9
76.8%
76.2%16.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
LLWLLLLLLL
Hogsbo
LLLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-25.6
Net rating
-15.2
96.5
Offensive rating
98.8
122.1
Defensive rating
114.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
21.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.1%
3-point %
32.4%
62.7%
Assist %
63.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 98.8Defence122.1 · 114.1Shooting50.6% · 47.6%3-point %31.1% · 32.4%Ball care21.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Umea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Umea wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Umea v Hogsbo87-77
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HJamtland81-105
24/01/25ABoras71-98
17/01/25HHogsbo87-77
13/01/25HNorrkoping80-104
10/01/25ASodertalje59-79
04/01/25HJamtland77-90
30/12/24ABC Lulea65-106
27/12/24HNorrkoping78-108
13/12/24AKoping Stars64-98
06/12/24ANassjo87-90
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
14/12/24HBoras87-95 OT
08/12/24AUppsala90-99
02/12/24HNassjo84-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL5%
HomeLLLWL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game77.579.175.8
Allowed / game91.891.492.1
Point differential-14.3-12.3-16.3
Avg total169.2170.5167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game81.882.081.6
Allowed / game91.390.692.1
Point differential-9.6-8.6-10.5
Avg total173.2172.6173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2016480%94.581.5+13.1
2 Boras2016480%87.076.9+10.2
3 BC Lulea2013765%90.084.3+5.7
4 Koping Stars2012860%89.087.7+1.3
5 Uppsala2011955%80.080.8-0.8
6 Nassjo21101148%89.492.9-3.5
7 Sodertalje2091145%72.375.8-3.5
8 Jamtland2191243%86.384.9+1.4
9 Hogsbo2041620%81.891.3-9.6
10 Umea201195%77.591.8-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea1815262483
Hogsbo22273526110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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