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Hogsbo vs Sodertalje Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 71-75
22-17 20-15 12-22 17-21
Position#9
Record5-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#8
Record10-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game76.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Sodertalje
05 Mar 2027
HOGS v SOD
upcoming
18 Dec 2026
HOGS v SOD
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
HOGS75
SOD86
11 Feb 2025
HOGS71
SOD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
90-99
90
99
-9
83avg 81
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 81
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 81
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 81
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 81
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 81
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 81
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 81
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 81
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 81
A07/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
22-24
26-24
18-26
15-18
24-17
22-24
18-20
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
175.7Avg total
83.9Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.191.0174.1-7.824%
Season at home (10)82.090.6172.6-8.630%
Season away (11)84.291.3175.5-7.118%
Last 10 (10)83.991.8175.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)84.294.6178.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.992.3174.2-10.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (12)92.182.3174.4+9.858%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
20avg 66
H10/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
59-76
59
76
-17
48avg 66
A13/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
43avg 66
A27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 66
H30/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
64avg 66
A03/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 66
H10/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 66
A17/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
66avg 66
H23/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 66
A04/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 66
H07/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
15-29
22-18
19-22
15-20
12-16
24-16
8-24
10-14
14-13
17-17
16-16
8-19
14-21
27-13
21-11
18-23
30-25
21-17
11-12
15-13
25-11
21-18
18-17
20-17
16-22
20-38
14-14
15-24
22-19
18-22
22-29
22-17
16-14
15-29
11-16
24-22
19-24
23-17
25-18
148.2Avg total
72.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.276.0149.3-2.848%
Season at home (11)78.876.8155.6+2.064%
Season away (10)67.175.2142.3-8.130%
Last 10 (10)72.176.1148.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)76.280.2156.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.684.3157.9-10.713%
vs Similar (9)75.874.2150.0+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.872.2154.0+9.7100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
HogsboSodertalje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
83.6Avg total
40.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.084.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.781.1+1.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.744.186.8-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.683.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.844.283.1-5.428%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (12)47.038.885.8+8.267%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H10/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A13/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H30/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A03/01
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H10/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/02
Basketligan
72.5Avg total
34.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.377.7-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.379.7+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)35.540.375.8-4.713%-
Last 10 (10)34.837.772.5-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.675.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.541.477.9-4.913%-
vs Similar (9)39.137.376.4+1.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.237.079.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.5
47.3%
52.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
76.2%17.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.1
54.1%
52.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.7
30.6%
34.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws13.29.0
68.2%
76.2%9.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WLLLLLLWLL
Sodertalje
WLLLWWWLLL
#9
League position
#8
-9.8
Net rating
-6.5
100.4
Offensive rating
107.4
110.2
Defensive rating
113.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.5%
3-point %
30.6%
64.3%
Assist %
38.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 107.4Defence110.2 · 113.8Shooting48.5% · 51.1%3-point %33.5% · 30.6%Ball care17.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds22.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Sodertalje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
2
Sodertalje wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo82-76
25/10/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo81-72
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
14/12/24HBoras87-95 OT
08/12/24AUppsala90-99
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HJamtland91-81
04/02/25AUppsala64-76
23/01/25HKoping Stars77-94
17/01/25ABC Lulea70-91
10/01/25HUmea79-59
03/01/25ANassjo80-77
30/12/24HUppsala70-64
27/12/24ABoras57-60
13/12/24ANorrkoping59-76
10/12/24HNorrkoping74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game83.182.084.2
Allowed / game91.090.691.3
Point differential-7.8-8.6-7.1
Avg total174.1172.6175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Sodertalje
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game73.278.867.1
Allowed / game76.076.875.2
Point differential-2.8+2.0-8.1
Avg total149.3155.6142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2116576%94.482.3+12.0
2 Boras2116576%87.177.5+9.6
3 BC Lulea2214864%89.384.4+4.9
4 Koping Stars2113862%89.988.2+1.7
5 Uppsala22121055%81.081.7-0.8
6 Nassjo22111150%89.892.8-3.0
7 Sodertalje21101148%73.276.0-2.8
8 Jamtland2291341%86.085.1+0.9
9 Hogsbo2151624%83.191.0-7.8
10 Umea211205%77.792.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2220121771
Sodertalje1715222175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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