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Umea vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 87-77
22-15 15-17 24-22 26-23
Position#10
Record0-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game91.5
Umea 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#9
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game91.2
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Umea v Hogsbo
19 Feb 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
31 Jan 2027
UMEA v HOGS
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
UMEA87
HOGS76
07 Feb 2025
UMEA83
HOGS110
17 Jan 2025
UMEA87
HOGS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
76-93
76
93
-17
63avg 69
H16/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
61avg 69
A29/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
59avg 69
H03/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 69
A06/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
64-98
64
98
-34
54avg 69
A13/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
78-108
78
108
-30
68avg 69
H27/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
65-106
65
106
-41
53avg 69
A30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
75avg 69
H04/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
59-79
59
79
-20
53avg 69
A10/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
80-104
80
104
-24
74avg 69
H13/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
15-32
25-10
19-23
17-11
17-17
18-27
23-30
25-20
11-22
18-20
15-19
24-19
26-22
22-19
15-30
23-26
18-25
12-13
11-34
6-32
26-22
32-23
14-31
19-23
16-34
22-20
8-29
22-22
16-26
20-17
19-25
13-15
11-25
18-21
17-18
20-25
25-29
12-27
23-23
166.4Avg total
73.0Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.191.5168.5-14.40%
Season at home (8)77.991.5169.4-13.60%
Season away (9)76.391.4167.8-15.10%
Last 10 (10)73.093.4166.4-20.40%
Last 5 (5)71.897.4169.2-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.594.2172.7-15.84%
vs Similar (2)88.092.5180.5-4.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
103-111
103
111
-8
91avg 83
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 83
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 83
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 83
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
90-99
90
99
-9
83avg 83
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 83
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 83
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 83
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 83
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 83
H09/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-22
29-25
39-40
16-23
21-18
24-20
14-19
19-24
14-24
28-22
15-12
10-29
24-30
32-23
18-22
24-25
22-24
26-24
18-26
15-18
24-17
22-24
18-20
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
19-33
13-27
13-29
28-24
176.4Avg total
82.9Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.291.2173.4-8.924%
Season at home (9)82.990.8173.7-7.933%
Season away (8)81.591.6173.1-10.112%
Last 10 (10)82.993.5176.4-10.610%
Last 5 (5)80.291.8172.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.191.9174.0-9.919%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.681.4174.0+11.371%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -9.8-9.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -9.8-9.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
UmeaHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H16/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A29/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A06/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H27/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/01
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A10/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H13/01
Basketligan
84.2Avg total
36.7Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.146.187.2-4.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.646.688.3-5.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.745.686.2-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.747.584.2-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.850.685.4-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.446.687.0-6.236%-
vs Similar (2)51.538.089.5+13.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H09/01
Basketligan
84.6Avg total
39.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.585.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.638.481.0+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)44.744.188.8+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.484.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.143.682.7-4.631%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.039.088.0+10.079%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
52.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.1
30.5%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.3
76.0%
76.2%13.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.9
49.3%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
76.2%16.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
LLLLLLLLLL
Hogsbo
LLLWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-26.0
Net rating
-12.8
94.7
Offensive rating
103.1
120.8
Defensive rating
115.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.5%
3-point %
34.7%
56.8%
Assist %
61.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 103.1Defence120.8 · 115.9Shooting49.3% · 50.5%3-point %30.5% · 34.7%Ball care21.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds21.6% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)0% · 10%
■ Umea   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Umea wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HNorrkoping80-104
10/01/25ASodertalje59-79
04/01/25HJamtland77-90
30/12/24ABC Lulea65-106
27/12/24HNorrkoping78-108
13/12/24AKoping Stars64-98
06/12/24ANassjo87-90
03/12/24HBoras69-81
29/11/24AUppsala75-85
16/11/24HNassjo76-93
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HNorrkoping73-113
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
14/12/24HBoras87-95 OT
08/12/24AUppsala90-99
02/12/24HNassjo84-104
28/11/24ASodertalje76-82
16/11/24HUppsala75-80
12/11/24ANassjo103-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.177.976.3
Allowed / game91.591.591.4
Point differential-14.4-13.6-15.1
Avg total168.5169.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%33%12%
Points / game82.282.981.5
Allowed / game91.290.891.6
Point differential-8.9-7.9-10.1
Avg total173.4173.7173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1714382%85.875.6+10.2
2 Norrkoping1613381%94.979.4+15.5
3 BC Lulea1710759%90.686.1+4.5
4 Uppsala169756%79.080.8-1.8
5 Koping Stars179853%88.289.2-1.0
6 Sodertalje179853%72.773.8-1.1
7 Jamtland178947%85.883.4+2.4
8 Nassjo178947%89.794.4-4.6
9 Hogsbo1741324%82.291.2-8.9
10 Umea170170%77.191.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea2215242687
Hogsbo1517222377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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