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Hogsbo vs Boras Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 79-87
13-19 25-17 15-23 26-28
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Boras 🏆
Sweden
Position#2
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game79.4
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Boras
26 Jan 2027
HOGS v BORA
upcoming
29 Sep 2026
HOGS96
BORA90
27 Dec 2025
HOGS82
BORA96
13 Oct 2025
HOGS79
BORA87
28 Feb 2025
HOGS59
BORA63
14 Dec 2024
HOGS87
BORA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 76
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 76
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 76
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 76
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 76
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 76
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 76
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 76
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 76
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 76
A10/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
19-27
24-22
18-25
16-15
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
188.9Avg total
89.1Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.893.2184.0-2.420%
Season at home (2)96.098.5194.5-2.50%
Season away (3)87.389.7177.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)89.199.8188.9-10.720%
Last 5 (5)90.893.2184.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)83.595.9179.4-12.48%
vs Similar (1)104.095.0199.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (4)88.883.8172.5+5.050%
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBoras
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 74
A09/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 74
A11/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
57avg 74
H14/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 74
H16/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
60avg 74
A19/05
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 74
H19/09
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
106-73
106
73
+33
102avg 74
A23/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
89avg 74
H26/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
97avg 74
A03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
50avg 74
H10/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-19
25-22
16-15
23-17
19-22
16-19
21-15
24-17
16-15
14-19
16-36
24-20
12-19
20-11
16-24
11-22
22-13
18-17
15-14
23-16
22-16
15-19
20-18
30-16
32-25
26-15
18-17
20-16
27-18
23-22
26-15
15-25
23-22
23-14
27-27
15-21
14-19
14-22
24-17
160.4Avg total
81.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Season at home (3)81.073.0154.0+8.067%
Season away (2)102.089.0191.0+13.050%
Last 10 (10)81.778.7160.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.879.8154.7-5.017%
vs Similar (9)80.078.2158.2+1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.172.8155.9+10.380%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
HogsboBoras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
95.1Avg total
44.7Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.887.2-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.443.582.9-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.448.191.5-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)44.750.495.1-5.710%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.696.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.447.288.6-5.820%-
vs Similar (1)51.042.093.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A09/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H14/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/05
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/05
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H19/09
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A23/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H10/10
Basketligan
79.1Avg total
40.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.678.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.336.175.4+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.939.481.3+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.479.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.038.275.2-1.233%-
vs Similar (9)38.338.276.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.237.180.3+6.180%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.0
53.9%
54.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
74.6%15.5
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boras: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
54.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.3
31.9%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.8
80.5%
74.6%17.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WLLLLLWLLL
Boras
LLWWWLLLWL
#9
League position
#2
-12.9
Net rating
+3.1
108.7
Offensive rating
104.2
121.6
Defensive rating
101.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
31.9%
61.3%
Assist %
48.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 104.2Defence121.6 · 101.1Shooting51.6% · 47.6%3-point %32.0% · 31.9%Ball care14.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Boras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
3
Boras wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25Hogsbo v Boras59-63
14/12/24Hogsbo v Boras87-95 OT
11/10/24Boras v Hogsbo90-63
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ANassjo104-95
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111
19/09/25ANorrkoping77-89
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
Boraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HSodertalje67-79
03/10/25ABC Lulea98-105 OT
26/09/25HKoping Stars96-71
23/09/25AUmea106-73
19/09/25HNassjo80-69
19/05/25ANorrkoping73-74 OT
16/05/25HNorrkoping72-74
14/05/25HNorrkoping70-87
11/05/25ANorrkoping79-73
09/05/25ANorrkoping76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game90.896.087.3
Allowed / game93.298.589.7
Point differential-2.4-2.5-2.3
Avg total184.0194.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boras
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game89.481.0102.0
Allowed / game79.473.089.0
Point differential+10.0+8.0+13.0
Avg total168.8154.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping440100%90.574.0+16.5
2 Sodertalje43175%76.575.2+1.2
3 Boras53260%89.479.4+10.0
4 Jamtland53260%97.289.0+8.2
5 Nassjo53260%82.681.6+1.0
6 BC Lulea53260%90.890.2+0.6
7 Uppsala53260%84.884.6+0.2
8 Koping Stars41325%85.088.5-3.5
9 Hogsbo51420%90.893.2-2.4
10 Umea51420%80.493.6-13.2
11 Sloga Uppsala51420%75.291.0-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1325152679
Boras1917232887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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