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Hogsbo vs Sodertalje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:04
Final 75-86
16-21 26-20 23-17 10-28
Position#9
Record3-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.8
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Sodertalje
05 Mar 2027
HOGS v SOD
upcoming
18 Dec 2026
HOGS v SOD
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
HOGS75
SOD86
11 Feb 2025
HOGS71
SOD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 75
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
90avg 75
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 75
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 75
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
66-106
66
106
-40
53avg 75
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
100-109
100
109
-9
95avg 75
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 75
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 75
A19/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
21-30
26-20
15-16
19-19
23-22
28-20
28-26
25-27
13-19
25-17
15-23
26-28
21-21
27-28
23-13
8-26
21-19
33-11
15-28
24-22
21-33
16-26
14-20
15-27
31-25
19-32
21-23
29-29
13-27
22-18
16-15
28-10
23-17
17-24
13-29
23-17
173.3Avg total
84.0Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.591.1176.6-5.625%
Season at home (6)84.890.0174.8-5.233%
Season away (6)86.292.2178.3-6.017%
Last 10 (10)84.089.3173.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)82.890.4173.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.095.9177.8-13.99%
vs Similar (4)93.292.8186.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)87.281.5168.8+5.850%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
L
63-79
63
79
-16
33avg 63
H28/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 63
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
79-67
79
67
+12
69avg 63
A10/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
65avg 63
A14/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
68-72
68
72
-4
58avg 63
H17/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 63
H23/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
95-80
95
80
+15
76avg 63
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 63
H04/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 63
A08/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H14/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-21
13-17
15-23
30-21
20-26
16-15
19-19
21-15
19-14
22-14
17-24
20-18
9-16
25-20
20-17
20-22
19-12
16-18
13-20
27-12
19-30
20-21
12-16
24-23
28-19
30-18
13-20
20-17
16-24
23-25
29-26
25-28
19-29
24-17
21-27
29-20
28-22
19-15
14-25
161.3Avg total
80.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.779.8160.5+0.955%
Season at home (6)78.780.8159.5-2.233%
Season away (5)83.278.6161.8+4.680%
Last 10 (10)80.980.4161.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)88.086.8174.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.482.4155.8-9.015%
vs Similar (9)80.380.3160.7+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.073.9153.9+6.175%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
HogsboSodertalje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A10/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/11
Basketligan
89.5Avg total
43.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.988.6-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.483.7-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)45.048.493.4-3.420%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.789.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.489.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.347.589.8-5.123%-
vs Similar (4)48.842.591.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (4)38.540.879.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A10/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H23/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A08/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Basketligan
83.5Avg total
42.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.777.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.179.7+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)36.138.474.5-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.783.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.891.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.537.272.7-1.646%-
vs Similar (9)40.442.282.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.637.478.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.3
49.3%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.0
31.2%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.318.6
79.8%
74.6%18.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.7
53.8%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.3
32.7%
35.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.3
66.8%
74.6%13.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWLLWLLWLL
Sodertalje
WLLWLLWWWL
#9
League position
#5
-6.8
Net rating
+2.4
107.4
Offensive rating
112.9
114.3
Defensive rating
110.5
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
32.7%
60.4%
Assist %
53.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 112.9Defence114.3 · 110.5Shooting48.4% · 52.0%3-point %31.2% · 32.7%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Sodertalje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
4
Sodertalje wins
DateGameScore
02/10/25Sodertalje v Hogsbo85-81
11/02/25Hogsbo v Sodertalje71-75
28/11/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo82-76
25/10/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo81-72
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AUmea76-87
15/11/25HSloga Uppsala79-70
07/11/25AKoping Stars100-109
03/11/25HBC Lulea66-106
23/10/25HUmea93-80
17/10/25AUppsala79-88
13/10/25HBoras79-87
10/10/25ANassjo104-95
02/10/25ASodertalje81-85
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HJamtland90-82
08/11/25AJamtland89-101
04/11/25HNorrkoping88-92
27/10/25ASloga Uppsala95-80
23/10/25HBC Lulea78-79
17/10/25HUmea68-72
14/10/25AKoping Stars74-71
10/10/25ABoras79-67
02/10/25HHogsbo85-81
28/09/25HNassjo63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game85.584.886.2
Allowed / game91.190.092.2
Point differential-5.6-5.2-6.0
Avg total176.6174.8178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%33%80%
Points / game80.778.783.2
Allowed / game79.880.878.6
Point differential+0.9-2.2+4.6
Avg total160.5159.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1210283%95.979.9+16.0
2 Norrkoping1210283%96.584.8+11.7
3 BC Lulea118373%87.984.4+3.5
4 Uppsala128467%89.083.2+5.8
5 Sodertalje116555%80.779.8+0.9
6 Jamtland126650%96.493.3+3.1
7 Nassjo126650%86.191.4-5.3
8 Umea124833%80.488.6-8.2
9 Hogsbo123925%85.591.1-5.6
10 Koping Stars1221017%85.892.8-7.1
11 Sloga Uppsala1221017%75.389.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1626231075
Sodertalje2120172886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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