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Nassjo vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 111-98
30-28 35-21 24-27 22-22
Position#7
Record9-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game91.7
Nassjo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#9
Record5-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game91.3
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nassjo v Hogsbo
05 Feb 2027
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
04 Dec 2026
NASS v HOGS
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
NASS111
HOGS98
10 Oct 2025
NASS95
HOGS104
13 Mar 2025
NASS121
HOGS80
12 Nov 2024
NASS111
HOGS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
L
96-104
96
104
-8
87avg 84
A01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 84
H04/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
78avg 84
A14/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
55avg 84
H17/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
94avg 84
H22/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 84
A05/12
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
107-83
107
83
+24
101avg 84
A13/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
70avg 84
H16/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
74-109
74
109
-35
63avg 84
A19/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
91-114
91
114
-23
90avg 84
A27/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-14
28-28
18-43
27-19
25-30
24-20
25-26
30-27
13-30
21-22
27-31
18-23
18-34
24-16
13-32
27-29
16-17
25-17
29-16
25-8
11-27
23-20
26-25
19-20
26-14
35-28
27-21
14-21
21-19
21-24
17-24
26-31
18-26
17-28
13-24
25-33
19-28
20-24
27-29
185.5Avg total
88.8Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.791.7178.3-5.050%
Season at home (8)89.689.5179.1+0.162%
Season away (10)84.393.4177.7-9.140%
Last 10 (10)88.896.7185.5-7.940%
Last 5 (5)86.094.8180.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.395.1177.4-12.842%
vs Similar ◀ (5)95.291.8187.0+3.460%
vs Weaker (6)103.287.8191.0+15.367%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#4
L
66-106
66
106
-40
53avg 75
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
100-109
100
109
-9
95avg 75
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 75
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 75
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
67avg 75
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
84avg 75
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
68avg 75
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 75
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 75
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 75
H05/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
16-26
14-20
15-27
31-25
19-32
21-23
29-29
13-27
22-18
16-15
28-10
23-17
17-24
13-29
23-17
16-21
26-20
23-17
10-28
21-22
28-35
24-25
22-25
13-24
11-18
23-26
26-29
15-25
13-26
19-26
35-19
26-22
23-23
16-18
18-19
19-22
23-19
21-25
32-17
174.7Avg total
82.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.991.3176.3-6.428%
Season at home (9)84.689.4174.0-4.933%
Season away (9)85.393.2178.6-7.922%
Last 10 (10)82.492.3174.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.693.0178.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.396.3178.5-14.09%
vs Similar ◀ (5)93.690.8184.4+2.860%
vs Weaker (3)90.779.7170.3+11.067%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
NassjoHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A01/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A14/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H17/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/12
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A19/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A27/12
Basketligan
89.7Avg total
42.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.789.9-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.345.892.1+0.562%-
Last 30 away (17)40.847.588.2-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.989.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.486.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.148.289.3-7.237%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.047.090.0-4.020%-
vs Weaker (6)50.041.891.8+8.283%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#4
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H03/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/01
Basketligan
87.5Avg total
39.6Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.989.4-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.344.384.6-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)44.749.494.1-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.647.987.5-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.285.6-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)41.648.690.2-7.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.442.289.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker (3)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.6
53.6%
54.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
74.6%16.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.8
50.0%
54.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.919.2
80.3%
74.6%19.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
LLLWWWLLWL
Hogsbo
WWLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#9
-10.6
Net rating
-13.0
112.9
Offensive rating
106.6
123.4
Defensive rating
119.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.5%
3-point %
32.0%
62.5%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 106.6Defence123.4 · 119.5Shooting55.3% · 49.2%3-point %38.5% · 32.0%Ball care16.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.3% · 25.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Nassjo   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nassjo wins
2
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Nassjo v Hogsbo95-104
24/03/25Hogsbo v Nassjo104-98
13/03/25Nassjo v Hogsbo121-80
02/12/24Hogsbo v Nassjo84-104
12/11/24Nassjo v Hogsbo111-103
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AJamtland91-114
19/12/25ABC Lulea74-109
16/12/25HSodertalje73-88
13/12/25ASloga Uppsala107-83
05/12/25AUppsala85-80
22/11/25HUmea97-79
17/11/25HBoras73-105
14/11/25ANorrkoping91-110
04/11/25HJamtland101-95
01/11/25AUmea96-104
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HKoping Stars95-83
30/12/25AUppsala83-82
27/12/25HBoras82-96
08/12/25ABC Lulea73-97
06/12/25AJamtland95-107
22/11/25HSodertalje75-86
19/11/25AUmea76-87
15/11/25HSloga Uppsala79-70
07/11/25AKoping Stars100-109
03/11/25HBC Lulea66-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game86.789.684.3
Allowed / game91.789.593.4
Point differential-5.0+0.1-9.1
Avg total178.3179.1177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW28%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game84.984.685.3
Allowed / game91.389.493.2
Point differential-6.4-4.9-7.9
Avg total176.3174.0178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1914574%93.884.1+9.7
2 Norrkoping1813572%95.484.0+11.4
3 BC Lulea1813572%92.784.2+8.4
4 Jamtland1812667%99.691.9+7.6
5 Sodertalje1912763%81.678.3+3.3
6 Uppsala1710759%88.385.1+3.2
7 Nassjo189950%86.791.7-5.0
8 Hogsbo1851328%84.991.3-6.4
9 Umea2051525%80.189.3-9.2
10 Koping Stars1841422%84.192.9-8.9
11 Sloga Uppsala1941521%76.489.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo30352422111
Hogsbo2821272298
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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