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Hogsbo W vs Lund W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
4.5/10
Below normal
Lund W
Sweden
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game78.3
SwedenBasketligan WRound 9· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lund W
05 Dec 2026
HOGS v LUND
upcoming
30 Nov 2025
HOGS95
LUND83
01 Mar 2025
HOGS99
LUND83
24 Feb 2024
HOGS103
LUND70
10 Dec 2022
HOGS74
LUND82
09 Mar 2022
HOGS77
LUND59
28 Nov 2020
HOGS101
LUND60
21 Dec 2019
HOGS73
LUND59
07 Apr 2019
HOGS70
LUND64
19 Jan 2019
HOGS64
LUND69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 66
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 66
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 66
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 66
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 66
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 66
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 66
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 66
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 63
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 63
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 63
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 63
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 63
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 63
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 63
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 63
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
12-26
15-23
11-17
15-14
8-21
23-18
14-29
20-21
144.0Avg total
67.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.578.3137.8-18.80%
Season at home (3)58.781.7140.3-23.00%
Season away (3)60.375.0135.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)67.576.5144.0-9.020%
Last 5 (5)58.479.2137.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.781.4150.1-12.711%
vs Similar (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.766.5151.2+18.283%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Hogsbo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
34.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.975.4-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.871.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.141.575.5-7.421%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.832.771.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.7
40.1%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
71.1%12.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
Lund W
LLLLLLWLWL
#10
League position
#11
-13.8
Net rating
-7.5
74.5
Offensive rating
72.5
88.3
Defensive rating
80.0
41.6%
Effective FG%
40.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.0%
3-point %
27.3%
63.9%
Assist %
56.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 72.5Defence88.3 · 80.0Shooting41.6% · 40.4%3-point %26.0% · 27.3%Ball care20.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo W wins
3
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Lund W v Hogsbo W77-83
30/11/25Hogsbo W v Lund W95-83
01/03/25Hogsbo W v Lund W99-83
30/11/24Lund W v Hogsbo W80-97
24/02/24Hogsbo W v Lund W103-70
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOnsala W65-89
01/11/26ANorrkoping W53-80
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.558.760.3
Allowed / game78.381.775.0
Point differential-18.8-23.0-14.7
Avg total137.8140.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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