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Hogsbo W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-83
26-11 26-30 26-17 21-25
Position#3
Record13-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game69.4
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#9
Record4-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game84.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lund W
05 Dec 2026
HOGS v LUND
upcoming
30 Nov 2025
HOGS95
LUND83
01 Mar 2025
HOGS99
LUND83
24 Feb 2024
HOGS103
LUND70
10 Dec 2022
HOGS74
LUND82
09 Mar 2022
HOGS77
LUND59
28 Nov 2020
HOGS101
LUND60
21 Dec 2019
HOGS73
LUND59
07 Apr 2019
HOGS70
LUND64
19 Jan 2019
HOGS64
LUND69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 82
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 82
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
97avg 82
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 82
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
79-47
79
47
+32
86avg 82
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
60avg 82
A18/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
123-57
123
57
+66
130avg 82
H25/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
72avg 82
H01/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
97-62
97
62
+35
106avg 82
A15/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 82
A22/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
20-14
19-22
28-24
10-26
27-11
20-22
22-15
28-17
21-16
15-21
31-6
21-19
19-16
22-17
19-23
20-10
19-13
19-10
21-14
25-15
5-15
13-21
23-26
32-7
31-22
40-12
20-16
21-29
21-24
19-20
17-23
28-12
27-19
22-16
20-15
23-17
22-19
16-23
13-11
156.7Avg total
86.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.769.4157.1+18.476%
Season at home (8)92.070.0162.0+22.075%
Season away (9)83.968.8152.7+15.178%
Last 10 (10)86.969.8156.7+17.180%
Last 5 (5)87.672.4160.0+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.080.0147.0-13.011%
vs Similar (3)77.789.0166.7-11.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.462.1153.5+29.494%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 58
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 58
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
59avg 58
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
49avg 58
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
77avg 58
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
79-117
79
117
-38
66avg 58
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 58
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
55avg 58
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 58
H15/02
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
73-85
73
85
-12
56avg 58
H22/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
20-30
14-20
22-19
24-28
17-20
8-24
20-29
31-20
12-19
14-17
17-21
21-18
12-9
22-14
27-11
20-23
19-27
21-34
16-31
23-25
17-10
27-33
31-17
23-24
19-17
14-18
18-23
14-26
21-5
17-16
22-24
20-21
21-23
22-15
13-14
17-33
158.9Avg total
76.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.784.4158.1-10.727%
Season at home (10)76.183.8159.9-7.730%
Season away (5)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 10 (10)76.282.7158.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)79.087.2166.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.992.5160.3-24.65%
vs Similar (3)74.775.0149.7-0.367%
vs Weaker (5)79.072.0151.0+7.060%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Hogsbo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A18/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H25/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H01/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A15/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A22/02
Basketligan W
79.1Avg total
45.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.234.275.4+7.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.035.480.4+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)37.833.271.0+4.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.034.179.1+10.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.035.882.8+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.837.869.6-6.011%-
vs Similar (3)45.043.388.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.230.976.1+14.389%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H15/02
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/02
Basketligan W
72.0Avg total
34.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.043.476.4-10.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.540.876.2-5.238%-
Last 30 away (14)30.146.476.5-16.47%-
Last 10 (10)34.137.972.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.947.179.0-15.29%-
vs Similar (3)35.735.070.7+0.733%-
vs Weaker (5)36.032.268.2+3.880%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.7
52.8%
46.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.4
36.4%
31.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
71.3%13.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.321.1
45.6%
46.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.6
29.3%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.1%
71.3%14.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWLWLWWWWW
Lund W
LWLWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+21.3
Net rating
-6.7
109.5
Offensive rating
90.0
88.1
Defensive rating
96.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
45.1%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
24.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.4%
3-point %
29.3%
77.2%
Assist %
46.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 90.0Defence88.1 · 96.7Shooting53.5% · 45.1%3-point %36.4% · 29.3%Ball care18.8% · 24.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo W wins
3
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Lund W v Hogsbo W80-97
24/02/24Hogsbo W v Lund W103-70
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
28/11/20Hogsbo W v Lund W101-60
21/12/19Hogsbo W v Lund W73-59
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ASodertalje W74-70
15/02/25AOstersund W97-62
01/02/25HNorrkoping W78-96
25/01/25HVisby W123-57
18/01/25ALulea W66-77
11/01/25HUppsala W79-47
05/01/25AAlvik W81-75
20/12/24HMarkSjuharad W95-60
14/12/24AAIK Basket W79-74
30/11/24ALund W97-80
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HMarkSjuharad W73-85
15/02/25HAIK Basket W80-66
01/02/25ASodertalje W65-84
26/01/25HOstersund W98-84
12/01/25HLulea W79-117
18/12/24HVisby W81-57
15/12/24HUppsala W64-75
07/12/24HAlvik W76-93
30/11/24HHogsbo W80-97
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game87.792.083.9
Allowed / game69.470.068.8
Point differential+18.4+22.0+15.1
Avg total157.1162.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeWLWWL30%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %27%30%20%
Points / game73.776.168.8
Allowed / game84.483.885.6
Point differential-10.7-7.7-16.8
Avg total158.1159.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W17170100%97.254.7+42.5
2 Norrkoping W1614288%85.969.4+16.6
3 Hogsbo W1713476%87.769.4+18.4
4 Sodertalje W1610662%78.971.7+7.2
5 Alvik W1610662%78.680.4-1.9
6 Uppsala W167944%63.269.6-6.4
7 AIK Basket W1661038%76.982.2-5.3
8 Lund W1541127%73.784.4-10.7
9 MarkSjuharad W1641225%67.182.0-14.9
10 Ostersund W1621412%63.283.2-20.0
11 Visby W1721512%59.887.9-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2626262199
Lund W1130172583
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