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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 89-78
27-26 24-24 15-6 23-22
Position#17
Record22-31
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#6
Record31-22
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 73
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 73
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 73
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 73
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 73
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 73
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 73
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
78-82
78
82
-4
74avg 73
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
63-61
63
61
+2
54avg 73
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 73
A14/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
25-16
18-13
27-21
16-15
22-13
20-23
22-19
14-27
20-21
14-9
19-12
10-19
31-16
15-21
18-17
16-19
154.9Avg total
77.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)80.583.6164.1-3.142%
Season at home (27)77.582.9160.4-5.433%
Season away (26)83.684.4168.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.477.5154.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.473.8152.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.587.6166.1-9.129%
vs Similar (10)74.082.4156.4-8.430%
vs Weaker (6)81.576.5158.0+5.033%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 73
H23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 73
H24/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
67-81
67
81
-14
60avg 73
A27/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
92-86
92
86
+6
90avg 73
H30/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 73
H31/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
94-60
94
60
+34
94avg 73
A06/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
95avg 73
A07/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
61-70
61
70
-9
56avg 73
H10/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
84-46
84
46
+38
78avg 73
H13/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 73
H14/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
12-14
16-15
23-24
24-22
18-18
18-23
24-20
13-26
20-16
15-18
19-21
25-19
33-21
13-13
21-33
19-17
27-27
18-21
20-14
20-16
21-13
30-14
23-17
31-11
26-19
19-24
22-33
14-19
20-21
17-15
10-15
18-16
23-8
27-4
16-18
22-12
20-11
23-20
18-22
155.3Avg total
82.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)79.573.6153.1+5.958%
Season at home (26)78.574.4152.9+4.158%
Season away (27)80.572.7153.2+7.759%
Last 10 (10)82.672.7155.3+9.980%
Last 5 (5)84.065.6149.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)78.377.9156.2+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.070.5152.5+11.580%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/04
B League
74.9Avg total
38.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.182.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.141.981.1-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.384.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.574.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.244.681.9-7.414%-
vs Similar (10)42.741.784.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (6)44.236.881.0+7.383%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H30/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A07/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H10/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H14/04
B League
77.7Avg total
43.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.976.3+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.577.6+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.733.174.8+8.686%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.377.7+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.029.272.2+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.536.275.7+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.434.276.6+8.180%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.3
53.1%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.0
31.0%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.58.4
73.0%
72.0%8.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.1
52.6%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
33.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.312.9
70.5%
72.0%12.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWLLWLLW
Hiroshima D.
WWLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#6
-1.2
Net rating
+14.4
101.3
Offensive rating
112.6
102.5
Defensive rating
98.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.0%
3-point %
36.7%
63.5%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 112.6Defence102.5 · 98.2Shooting50.3% · 53.6%3-point %31.0% · 36.7%Ball care18.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
2
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki74-85
31/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ASaga80-73
13/04/24ASaga63-61
10/04/24AKyoto78-82
07/04/24AHokkaido86-65
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HToyama83-65
13/04/24HToyama84-46
10/04/24HShimane61-70
07/04/24ABrave Thunders98-87
06/04/24ABrave Thunders94-60
31/03/24HGunma84-79
30/03/24HGunma92-86
27/03/24AOsaka67-81
24/03/24HDiamond Dolphins84-83
23/03/24HDiamond Dolphins79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game80.577.583.6
Allowed / game83.682.984.4
Point differential-3.1-5.4-0.8
Avg total164.1160.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%7%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %58%58%59%
Points / game79.578.580.5
Allowed / game73.674.472.7
Point differential+5.9+4.1+7.7
Avg total153.1152.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%35%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5345885%81.569.5+12.0
2 Alvark53431081%81.569.6+11.9
3 NeoPhoenix53431081%90.379.3+11.1
4 Ryukyu53381572%82.477.2+5.2
5 Diamond Dolphins53351866%83.879.6+4.2
6 Chiba53332062%84.981.3+3.7
7 Hiroshima D.53312258%79.573.6+5.9
8 Shimane53312258%83.078.3+4.8
9 SeaHorses Mikawa53312258%80.476.2+4.2
10 Brave Thunders53292455%80.378.1+2.3
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya53292455%75.074.5+0.5
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles53282553%75.275.0+0.1
13 Gunma53282553%79.681.2-1.6
14 Saga53272651%74.874.5+0.3
15 Akita53262749%73.774.8-1.1
16 Sendai53233043%78.580.6-2.1
17 Nagasaki53223142%80.583.6-3.1
18 Yokohama53223142%77.982.4-4.5
19 Osaka53213240%79.083.2-4.2
20 Hokkaido53163730%75.582.2-6.7
21 Kyoto53153828%77.284.3-7.2
22 Ibaraki Robots5394417%75.986.3-10.4
23 Shinshu5374613%72.183.3-11.2
24 Toyama534498%72.786.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2724152389
Hiroshima D.262462278
← all games of the day
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