PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hokkaido vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 88-85
15-25 32-17 21-17 20-26
Position#20
Record13-35
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#17
Record19-29
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.6
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hokkaido v Nagasaki
12 Apr 2026
HOKK89
NAGA90
11 Apr 2026
HOKK82
NAGA80
13 Oct 2024
HOKK70
NAGA79
12 Oct 2024
HOKK59
NAGA68
07 Apr 2024
HOKK65
NAGA86
06 Apr 2024
HOKK88
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 66
A11/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
52-81
52
81
-29
40avg 66
H02/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
72-87
72
87
-15
65avg 66
H03/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
72avg 66
H06/03
B League
Sendai
#16
L
61-72
61
72
-11
43avg 66
A20/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 66
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
98-107
98
107
-9
90avg 66
H24/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 66
H27/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 66
A30/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
90-98
90
98
-8
73avg 66
A31/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
27-16
16-24
17-17
8-27
13-13
14-20
17-21
16-19
25-19
21-27
10-22
24-28
21-26
13-24
21-23
17-13
16-17
10-24
18-18
20-16
35-21
25-18
16-26
29-18
28-29
21-30
20-30
21-14
10-31
19-27
21-26
22-23
17-27
23-26
12-20
25-25
22-21
23-25
20-27
166.7Avg total
76.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)75.582.5158.0-7.027%
Season at home (23)78.084.2162.2-6.226%
Season away (25)73.280.9154.1-7.828%
Last 10 (10)76.690.1166.7-13.510%
Last 5 (5)85.896.0181.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.384.8156.1-13.512%
vs Similar (11)83.680.8164.5+2.855%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 73
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 73
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 73
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 73
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 73
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 73
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 73
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 73
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 73
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 73
H31/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-37
12-19
23-18
26-23
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
160.9Avg total
76.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)80.784.6165.4-3.940%
Season at home (27)77.582.9160.4-5.433%
Season away (21)84.986.9171.8-2.048%
Last 10 (10)76.884.1160.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.786.2163.9-8.529%
vs Similar (10)76.485.4161.8-9.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.074.7154.7+5.333%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
HokkaidoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H02/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H06/03
B League
Sendai
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A20/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H24/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A31/03
B League
83.5Avg total
40.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.178.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.440.580.9-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)37.838.075.8-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.683.5-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.090.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.539.474.9-3.941%-
vs Similar (11)43.338.581.8+4.764%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
80.3Avg total
39.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.682.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.241.579.7-3.337%-
Last 30 away (11)42.144.686.7-2.545%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.280.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.272.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.643.680.3-7.018%-
vs Similar (10)42.842.885.6+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.036.382.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.1
48.0%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.8
31.8%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.711.4
77.6%
72.0%11.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.6
30.0%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.210.4
68.4%
72.0%10.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLLWLLLLL
Nagasaki
LWLLWLWLLL
#20
League position
#17
-17.6
Net rating
-8.5
100.8
Offensive rating
99.2
118.4
Defensive rating
107.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
20.8%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
30.0%
57.0%
Assist %
61.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 99.2Defence118.4 · 107.7Shooting47.9% · 48.9%3-point %31.8% · 30.0%Ball care14.8% · 20.8%Off. rebounds24.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hokkaido wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24AOsaka90-98
30/03/24AOsaka74-96
27/03/24HAlvark71-98
24/03/24HIbaraki Robots98-107
23/03/24HIbaraki Robots96-81
20/03/24ASendai61-72
06/03/24HUtsunomiya Brex79-101
03/03/24HSaga72-87
02/03/24HSaga52-81
11/02/24ARyukyu73-80
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82
03/03/24HGunma78-91
02/03/24HGunma67-85
11/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL26%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %27%26%28%
Points / game75.578.073.2
Allowed / game82.584.280.9
Point differential-7.0-6.2-7.8
Avg total158.0162.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482721
Win %40%33%48%
Points / game80.777.584.9
Allowed / game84.682.986.9
Point differential-3.9-5.4-2.0
Avg total165.4160.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%7%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4841785%81.369.3+12.1
2 Alvark4839981%82.470.0+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix48381079%89.779.3+10.4
4 Ryukyu48351373%82.477.0+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins48311765%83.479.2+4.2
6 Chiba48311765%85.181.6+3.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa48291960%81.376.9+4.4
8 Shimane49292059%83.678.4+5.2
9 Hiroshima D.48272156%79.074.4+4.6
10 Brave Thunders48262254%80.477.8+2.6
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya48262254%74.973.9+1.0
12 Saga48262254%74.974.1+0.8
13 Gunma48262254%79.880.5-0.8
14 Akita48242450%73.774.3-0.6
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48242450%73.974.9-1.0
16 Yokohama48212744%77.181.4-4.3
17 Sendai49212843%78.580.6-2.1
18 Osaka48202842%78.682.0-3.4
19 Nagasaki48192940%80.784.6-3.9
20 Hokkaido48133527%75.582.5-7.0
21 Kyoto48133527%76.083.9-7.9
22 Ibaraki Robots4884017%75.786.2-10.6
23 Shinshu4864212%71.183.4-12.3
24 Toyama484448%73.686.4-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido1532212088
Nagasaki2517172685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.