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Hokkaido vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 82-80
17-15 27-18 22-20 16-27
Position#9
Record31-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#1
Record40-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game79.2
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hokkaido v Nagasaki
12 Apr 2026
HOKK89
NAGA90
11 Apr 2026
HOKK82
NAGA80
13 Oct 2024
HOKK70
NAGA79
12 Oct 2024
HOKK59
NAGA68
07 Apr 2024
HOKK65
NAGA86
06 Apr 2024
HOKK88
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Hokkaido
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.1
85.6▼ 0.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.2
85.4▲ 0.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.2
17.8▼ 1.4
🔥 Form · Nagasaki
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.9
92.2▲ 3.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.5
84.0▲ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
64%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.9
24.2▲ 2.3
HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H11/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A14/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A15/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H28/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H29/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H01/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A04/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A05/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
25-20
23-11
25-26
22-22
22-27
23-25
17-16
23-22
20-22
12-24
18-22
15-18
24-29
23-25
19-23
24-34
23-28
24-20
28-22
25-24
30-20
33-19
20-26
21-18
30-22
20-20
17-25
13-24
17-20
20-19
24-20
29-14
15-25
18-22
20-30
25-21
15-13
17-26
19-19
173.5Avg total
85.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)87.985.8173.6+2.162%
Season at home (21)91.887.2179.0+4.671%
Season away (29)85.084.7169.8+0.355%
Last 10 (10)85.787.8173.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)85.685.4171.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
vs Similar (13)87.389.9177.2-2.631%
vs Weaker (14)90.184.6174.7+5.671%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
18-18
34-19
26-15
19-31
24-16
22-24
25-27
28-21
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
170.7Avg total
86.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)91.579.2170.7+12.280%
Season at home (26)91.979.7171.6+12.385%
Season away (24)91.078.8169.8+12.275%
Last 10 (10)86.983.8170.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)92.284.0176.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.881.9172.7+8.971%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
HokkaidoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H11/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H28/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H29/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A04/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/04
B League
87.5Avg total
43.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.889.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.343.691.9+4.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.986.8-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.887.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.743.082.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (13)44.945.490.3-0.546%-
vs Weaker (14)47.142.589.6+4.650%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
88.2Avg total
46.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.587.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.542.389.8+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.140.784.8+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.288.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.643.493.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.441.688.0+4.868%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.6
53.3%
53.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.7
38.2%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
73.1%13.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.120.4
61.6%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.0
34.1%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.715.1
80.7%
73.1%15.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLWWLLLLW
Nagasaki
LWWWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#1
-3.1
Net rating
+2.4
101.5
Offensive rating
98.6
104.6
Defensive rating
96.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
11.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
34.1%
54.3%
Assist %
76.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 98.6Defence104.6 · 96.2Shooting54.7% · 56.7%3-point %38.2% · 34.1%Ball care11.8% · 17.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hokkaido wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki70-79
12/10/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki59-68
07/04/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki65-86
06/04/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki88-85
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26ASaga76-79
05/04/26ARyukyu82-91
04/04/26ARyukyu74-83
01/04/26HIbaraki Robots88-85
29/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex108-89
28/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex99-104
15/03/26ANeoPhoenix81-95
14/03/26ANeoPhoenix73-90
11/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya84-90
08/03/26AYokohama92-72
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
05/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles99-88
04/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles97-83
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeLLLWW71%
AwayLLLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502129
Win %62%71%55%
Points / game87.991.885.0
Allowed / game85.887.284.7
Point differential+2.1+4.6+0.3
Avg total173.6179.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)67% (9)67% (9)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game91.591.991.0
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential+12.2+12.3+12.2
Avg total170.7171.6169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%65%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki50401080%91.579.2+12.2
2 Diamond Dolphins50381276%84.072.9+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex50371374%86.280.6+5.5
4 Ryukyu50351570%81.574.8+6.7
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50351570%83.877.6+6.2
6 Gunma50341668%82.473.0+9.3
7 Chiba51341767%82.776.4+6.3
8 Alvark50331766%80.777.8+2.9
9 Hokkaido50311962%87.985.8+2.1
10 NeoPhoenix50302060%85.482.6+2.8
11 Sendai50302060%81.679.3+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.51292257%86.783.5+3.2
13 Saga51272453%82.082.3-0.3
14 Shimane50232746%80.180.9-0.8
15 Yokohama50212942%79.282.1-2.8
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya51213041%77.180.5-3.5
17 Shiga51213041%80.484.0-3.6
18 Osaka51203139%80.182.5-2.4
19 Kyoto51173433%73.280.6-7.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas51173433%74.682.2-7.6
21 Altiri Chiba50163432%79.084.4-5.4
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51163531%80.283.5-3.4
23 Ibaraki Robots50153530%75.980.8-5.0
24 Brave Thunders50143628%75.783.2-7.5
25 Toyama50123824%80.889.4-8.6
26 Akita5194218%73.785.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido1727221682
Nagasaki1518202780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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