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Hokkaido vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 65-86
16-25 13-18 21-27 15-16
Position#20
Record14-35
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#17
Record19-30
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.7
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hokkaido v Nagasaki
12 Apr 2026
HOKK89
NAGA90
11 Apr 2026
HOKK82
NAGA80
13 Oct 2024
HOKK70
NAGA79
12 Oct 2024
HOKK59
NAGA68
07 Apr 2024
HOKK65
NAGA86
06 Apr 2024
HOKK88
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
52-81
52
81
-29
40avg 67
H02/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
72-87
72
87
-15
65avg 67
H03/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
72avg 67
H06/03
B League
Sendai
#16
L
61-72
61
72
-11
43avg 67
A20/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 67
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
98-107
98
107
-9
90avg 67
H24/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 67
H27/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 67
A30/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
90-98
90
98
-8
73avg 67
A31/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 67
H06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-27
13-13
14-20
17-21
16-19
25-19
21-27
10-22
24-28
21-26
13-24
21-23
17-13
16-17
10-24
18-18
20-16
35-21
25-18
16-26
29-18
28-29
21-30
20-30
21-14
10-31
19-27
21-26
22-23
17-27
23-26
12-20
25-25
22-21
23-25
20-27
15-25
32-17
21-17
20-26
168.7Avg total
78.1Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)75.782.5158.3-6.829%
Season at home (24)78.484.2162.6-5.829%
Season away (25)73.280.9154.1-7.828%
Last 10 (10)78.190.6168.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)84.296.8181.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.285.2157.4-13.018%
vs Similar (11)83.680.8164.5+2.855%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 74
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 74
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 74
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 74
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 74
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 74
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 74
A06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
160.9Avg total
77.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)80.884.7165.5-3.939%
Season at home (27)77.582.9160.4-5.433%
Season away (22)84.987.0171.8-2.145%
Last 10 (10)77.783.2160.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)75.483.6159.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.786.2163.9-8.529%
vs Similar (9)76.987.4164.3-10.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.278.0159.2+3.225%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
HokkaidoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H02/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H06/03
B League
Sendai
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A20/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H24/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/03
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/03
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A31/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/04
B League
84.5Avg total
41.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.681.5+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.738.476.1-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.984.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.090.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.940.075.9-4.141%-
vs Similar (11)43.338.581.8+4.764%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
80.9Avg total
40.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.183.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.441.980.3-3.633%-
Last 30 away (12)42.144.886.9-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.380.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.473.0-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.643.680.3-7.018%-
vs Similar (9)43.743.987.6-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.039.084.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.6
48.0%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.711.5
78.2%
72.0%11.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.4
51.6%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.6
30.1%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.710.5
71.4%
72.0%10.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
WLLLLWLLLL
Nagasaki
LLWLLWLWLL
#20
League position
#17
-15.7
Net rating
-6.1
102.6
Offensive rating
100.6
118.3
Defensive rating
106.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.0%
3-point %
30.1%
58.0%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 100.6Defence118.3 · 106.7Shooting48.0% · 48.9%3-point %32.0% · 30.1%Ball care14.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hokkaido wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki88-85
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HNagasaki88-85
31/03/24AOsaka90-98
30/03/24AOsaka74-96
27/03/24HAlvark71-98
24/03/24HIbaraki Robots98-107
23/03/24HIbaraki Robots96-81
20/03/24ASendai61-72
06/03/24HUtsunomiya Brex79-101
03/03/24HSaga72-87
02/03/24HSaga52-81
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82
03/03/24HGunma78-91
02/03/24HGunma67-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %29%29%28%
Points / game75.778.473.2
Allowed / game82.584.280.9
Point differential-6.8-5.8-7.8
Avg total158.3162.6154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492722
Win %39%33%45%
Points / game80.877.584.9
Allowed / game84.782.987.0
Point differential-3.9-5.4-2.1
Avg total165.5160.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%7%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4942786%81.468.9+12.5
2 Alvark49391080%81.970.0+11.9
3 NeoPhoenix49391080%89.879.3+10.6
4 Ryukyu49361373%82.477.0+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins49321765%83.579.1+4.4
6 Chiba49311863%85.081.7+3.2
7 SeaHorses Mikawa49301961%81.076.4+4.6
8 Shimane50292158%83.878.7+5.1
9 Hiroshima D.49282157%79.374.1+5.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%75.374.1+1.1
11 Gunma49272255%79.980.6-0.7
12 Brave Thunders49262353%80.078.1+1.9
13 Saga49262353%74.974.4+0.5
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles49252451%74.274.9-0.7
15 Akita49242549%73.274.5-1.3
16 Yokohama49222745%77.481.6-4.2
17 Sendai50222844%78.980.8-2.0
18 Osaka49202941%78.682.3-3.7
19 Nagasaki49193039%80.884.7-3.9
20 Hokkaido49143529%75.782.5-6.8
21 Kyoto49133627%76.284.1-7.9
22 Ibaraki Robots4984116%76.086.4-10.4
23 Shinshu4964312%71.383.4-12.1
24 Toyama494458%73.686.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido1613211565
Nagasaki2518271686
← all games of the day
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