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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 61-73
24-13 13-20 11-18 13-22
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game86.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby (Holbaek)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Herlev Wolfpack
07 Mar 2026
HOLB100
HERL85
05 Feb 2026
HOLB106
HERL94
16 Apr 2025
HOLB86
HERL73
14 Nov 2024
HOLB92
HERL102
26 Mar 2024
HOLB78
HERL74
02 Nov 2023
HOLB61
HERL73
14 Dec 2022
HOLB61
HERL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
no box
H01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
60-104
60
104
-44
no box
A12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
H17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
53-104
53
104
-51
36avg 52
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 52
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
61avg 52
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
63avg 52
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
56avg 52
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 52
A24/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
10-19
22-19
25-17
19-27
18-9
17-15
11-22
7-20
16-30
24-23
13-31
27-28
18-17
15-18
19-26
4-13
21-28
15-27
13-36
23-17
13-20
15-29
15-21
17-17
20-27
17-24
20-29
13-20
27-14
20-20
24-29
14-25
17-26
21-23
21-22
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
159.8Avg total
68.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.595.7164.2-27.217%
Season at home (2)69.591.5161.0-22.00%
Season away (4)68.097.8165.8-29.825%
Last 10 (10)68.891.0159.8-22.220%
Last 5 (5)71.694.0165.6-22.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)68.589.7158.1-21.27%
vs Similar ◀ (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 52
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 52
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 52
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 52
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 52
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 52
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 52
A27/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
156.5Avg total
65.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.486.3150.7-21.914%
Season at home (5)63.484.2147.6-20.820%
Season away (2)67.091.5158.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)65.990.6156.5-24.710%
Last 5 (5)65.690.4156.0-24.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.089.2158.2-20.212%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -8.2-8.2Q4: -7.2-7.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -8.2-8.2Q4: -7.2-7.2
Holbaek-StenhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
74.1Avg total
31.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.645.377.9-12.713%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.343.575.8-11.215%-
Last 30 away (17)32.846.879.6-13.912%-
Last 10 (10)31.942.274.1-10.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.643.275.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)32.345.377.6-13.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)40.034.074.0+6.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
77.2Avg total
32.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.543.478.9-7.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.742.477.1-7.720%-
Last 30 away (15)36.344.580.7-8.220%-
Last 10 (10)32.344.977.2-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)33.043.276.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.745.179.8-10.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.3
40.8%
51.8%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.5
24.5%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.3
61.5%
67.0%13.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 64.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.6
47.7%
51.8%33.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.3
24.2%
31.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.1
68.5%
67.0%12.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLLLLLLW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-33.2
Net rating
-26.7
81.6
Offensive rating
82.7
114.8
Defensive rating
109.4
39.3%
Effective FG%
42.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
25.4%
Turnover %
25.5%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.5%
3-point %
24.2%
48.3%
Assist %
56.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 82.7Defence114.8 · 109.4Shooting39.3% · 42.8%3-point %24.5% · 24.2%Ball care25.4% · 25.5%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
22/10/23HCopenhagen73-96
13/10/23AAmager84-83
08/10/23AHorsens74-97
01/10/23HSvendborg66-87
17/09/23ARanders53-104
17/04/23HAmager79-89
12/04/23AVaerlose60-104
01/04/23HCopenhagen65-73
24/03/23HBears Academy73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game68.569.568.0
Allowed / game95.791.597.8
Point differential-27.2-22.0-29.8
Avg total164.2161.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game64.463.467.0
Allowed / game86.384.291.5
Point differential-21.9-20.8-24.5
Avg total150.7147.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Bakken Bears660100%94.579.8+14.7
3 Horsens75271%87.972.7+15.1
4 Svendborg75271%85.681.3+4.3
5 Vaerlose74357%79.981.7-1.9
6 Randers84450%96.685.6+11.0
7 Copenhagen83538%82.683.4-0.8
8 Bears Academy62433%81.084.2-3.2
9 Holbaek-Stenhus61517%68.595.7-27.2
10 Herlev Wolfpack71614%64.486.3-21.9
11 Amager6060%72.892.8-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2413111361
Herlev Wolfpack1320182273
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