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Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 118-72
27-10 30-26 30-22 31-14
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game79.8
Bakken Bears 🏆
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose
Denmark
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game81.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen (Aarhus)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose
13 Feb 2027
BBE v VAER
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BBE114
VAER70
19 Oct 2024
BBE96
VAER81
15 Apr 2024
BBE103
VAER86
05 Nov 2023
BBE118
VAER72
17 Dec 2022
BBE101
VAER45
09 Dec 2022
BBE108
VAER78
19 Feb 2022
BBE96
VAER87
09 Jan 2021
BBE108
VAER68
17 Nov 2019
BBE102
VAER81
31 Mar 2019
BBE90
VAER71
22 Mar 2019
BBE107
VAER81
15 Dec 2018
BBE113
VAER74
04 Jan 2015
BBE88
VAER66
07 Nov 2014
BBE100
VAER70
15 Feb 2014
BBE108
VAER88
27 Jan 2013
BBE107
VAER65
29 Nov 2012
BBE82
VAER62
16 Feb 2012
BBE93
VAER69
30 Jan 2011
BBE61
VAER53
10 Oct 2010
BBE87
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 79
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
103-79
103
79
+24
112avg 79
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 79
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 79
A04/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 79
A07/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
110-85
110
85
+25
116avg 79
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
102avg 79
H21/10
Basketligaen
FC Porto
#12
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 79
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Norrkoping
#43
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 79
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
30-17
19-24
20-28
23-16
25-9
29-30
26-24
19-15
16-20
16-19
17-24
16-27
20-27
21-13
27-16
30-23
19-20
17-17
18-10
31-11
28-23
26-20
25-31
20-21
22-22
18-19
16-20
28-14
24-16
25-16
25-28
16-26
18-22
19-23
25-18
22-22
16-16
12-18
19-19
167.0Avg total
86.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.579.8174.3+14.7100%
Season at home (3)96.380.3176.7+16.0100%
Season away (3)92.779.3172.0+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)86.880.2167.0+6.660%
Last 5 (5)87.081.0168.0+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.574.9164.4+14.685%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 70
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 70
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 70
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 70
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 70
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 70
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 70
A29/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
161.6Avg total
81.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.981.7161.6-1.957%
Season at home (3)80.077.0157.0+3.067%
Season away (4)79.885.2165.0-5.550%
Last 10 (10)81.180.5161.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.280.4160.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.791.9167.6-16.114%
vs Similar (11)76.080.1156.1-4.145%
vs Weaker (11)85.375.5160.7+9.864%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Bakken BearsVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/09
Basketligaen
Peja
#50
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H25/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/09
Champions League
Randers
#6
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A07/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A13/10
Basketligaen
Manisa
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Amager
#11
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H21/10
Basketligaen
FC Porto
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Norrkoping
#43
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.3Avg total
44.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.282.9+6.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.336.181.4+9.367%-
Last 30 away (12)43.841.385.1+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.583.3+6.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.683.6+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.048.082.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.138.183.2+7.063%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
78.6Avg total
40.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.7-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.139.880.8+1.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.039.475.4-3.441%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.378.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.677.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.946.186.0-6.343%-
vs Similar (11)36.538.474.9-1.836%-
vs Weaker (11)41.035.576.5+5.573%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
31.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.113.8
68.7%
67.0%13.8
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.0
49.0%
51.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.3
27.3%
31.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.8%
67.0%16.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
LLWLWWWLWW
Vaerlose
LLWWWWLLLW
#1
League position
#7
+8.5
Net rating
-2.3
108.1
Offensive rating
98.3
99.5
Defensive rating
100.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
46.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
27.3%
65.7%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 98.3Defence99.5 · 100.6Shooting52.9% · 46.3%3-point %35.0% · 27.3%Ball care18.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bakken Bears wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose101-45
09/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose108-78
01/10/22Vaerlose v Bakken Bears84-75
19/02/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose96-87
21/11/21Vaerlose v Bakken Bears64-90
09/01/21Bakken Bears v Vaerlose108-68
06/10/20Vaerlose v Bakken Bears74-106
10/01/20Vaerlose v Bakken Bears71-85
17/11/19Bakken Bears v Vaerlose102-81
31/03/19Bakken Bears v Vaerlose90-71
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HNorrkoping69-75
24/10/23AFC Porto78-89
21/10/23HAmager102-74
18/10/23HManisa76-82
13/10/23ASvendborg110-85
07/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack84-70
04/10/23ARanders84-83
27/09/23HNorrkoping68-78
25/09/23HPeja103-79
19/09/23HHorsens94-87
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
28/09/23AAmager102-83
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.596.392.7
Allowed / game79.880.379.3
Point differential+14.7+16.0+13.3
Avg total174.3176.7172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game79.980.079.8
Allowed / game81.777.085.2
Point differential-1.9+3.0-5.5
Avg total161.6157.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Bakken Bears660100%94.579.8+14.7
3 Horsens75271%87.972.7+15.1
4 Svendborg75271%85.681.3+4.3
5 Vaerlose74357%79.981.7-1.9
6 Randers84450%96.685.6+11.0
7 Copenhagen94544%82.280.3+1.9
8 Bears Academy72529%77.483.4-6.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack82625%65.583.1-17.6
10 Holbaek-Stenhus71614%67.492.4-25.0
11 Amager6060%72.892.8-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears27303031118
Vaerlose1026221472
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