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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-109
24-24 14-24 13-24 34-37
Position#11
Record2-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#8
Record4-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game97.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Bears Academy
10 Oct 2026
HOLB88
BEAR67
12 Apr 2026
HOLB85
BEAR101
28 Jan 2026
HOLB85
BEAR109
24 Apr 2025
HOLB77
BEAR73
04 Jan 2025
HOLB86
BEAR81
22 Mar 2024
HOLB71
BEAR109
09 Feb 2024
HOLB76
BEAR104
24 Mar 2023
HOLB73
BEAR70
03 Oct 2022
HOLB70
BEAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bears Academy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
53avg 71
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 71
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 71
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 71
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 71
H11/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
80avg 71
A18/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
71-101
71
101
-30
56avg 71
H04/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
87-120
87
120
-33
72avg 71
H09/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
42-103
42
103
-61
no box
A16/01
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 71
A23/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
22-28
18-29
18-17
26-19
25-25
17-22
20-25
9-24
25-23
20-15
22-24
21-15
11-26
18-29
22-17
20-25
14-15
21-20
22-23
16-24
28-19
15-14
16-18
22-26
16-30
21-25
12-20
27-40
20-32
22-24
18-24
14-22
7-21
8-33
13-27
18-16
28-23
15-21
28-16
171.5Avg total
76.7Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.893.7170.5-16.811%
Season at home (9)77.492.6170.0-15.111%
Season away (9)76.294.8171.0-18.611%
Last 10 (10)76.794.8171.5-18.110%
Last 5 (5)75.899.2175.0-23.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.797.9174.5-21.213%
vs Similar (13)89.183.9173.0+5.246%
vs Weaker (2)83.578.0161.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
84-108
84
108
-24
71avg 64
A03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
93avg 64
H14/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 64
A19/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
78avg 64
A22/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 64
H10/12
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 64
H17/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
69-67
69
67
+2
57avg 64
H21/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-85
100
85
+15
88avg 64
A03/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 64
H09/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
83-110
83
110
-27
no box
H17/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
17-28
19-29
20-22
21-20
26-23
14-18
29-21
21-22
12-28
16-20
22-26
21-17
18-32
20-26
28-20
26-20
23-31
17-27
26-21
20-20
24-30
20-19
24-17
13-27
28-10
15-21
13-9
26-26
20-17
26-16
28-26
12-27
17-26
25-17
14-24
25-32
20-26
22-25
16-27
175.4Avg total
83.2Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.997.6176.5-18.722%
Season at home (9)79.094.0173.0-15.033%
Season away (9)78.8101.2180.0-22.411%
Last 10 (10)83.292.2175.4-9.040%
Last 5 (5)81.688.4170.0-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.1100.7175.8-25.60%
vs Similar (6)79.288.2167.3-9.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.483.6169.0+1.880%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Holbaek-StenhusBears Academy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H11/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H04/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H09/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/01
Basketligaen
87.0Avg total
38.6Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.148.089.1-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.348.588.8-8.333%-
Last 30 away (15)42.047.489.4-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.648.487.0-9.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.250.689.8-11.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.751.289.9-12.520%-
vs Similar (13)44.644.789.3-0.154%-
vs Weaker (2)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A19/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H17/12
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H09/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H17/01
Basketligaen
90.9Avg total
41.8Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.949.988.8-11.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.448.387.6-8.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.451.489.8-12.919%-
Last 10 (10)41.849.190.9-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.289.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.752.089.7-14.311%-
vs Similar (6)40.247.888.0-7.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.844.686.4-2.860%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.618.9
45.4%
54.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.0
30.7%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.4
70.2%
70.1%14.4
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.2
46.4%
54.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
32.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.2
68.9%
70.1%14.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLLLLLLLLL
Bears Academy
LLWWWLLLWL
#11
League position
#8
-13.6
Net rating
-18.5
91.7
Offensive rating
91.7
105.3
Defensive rating
110.2
45.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
24.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.7%
3-point %
33.4%
54.1%
Assist %
64.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 91.7Defence105.3 · 110.2Shooting45.7% · 48.2%3-point %30.7% · 33.4%Ball care18.6% · 24.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Bears Academy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AVejen89-76
16/01/26ASvendborg42-103
09/01/26HTeam FOG Naestved87-120
04/01/26HSvendborg71-101
18/12/25AAmager90-96 OT
11/12/25HAmager77-83
03/12/25AHorsens72-87
23/11/25HRanders76-86
19/11/25ACopenhagen88-91
14/11/25HBakken Bears75-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HCopenhagen83-110
09/01/26HRanders68-94
03/01/26AAmager100-85
21/12/25HBMS Herlev69-67
17/12/25HVejen88-86
10/12/25HHorsens92-99
22/11/25AVaerlose87-95
19/11/25ASvendborg71-96
14/11/25HAmager90-82
03/11/25ATeam FOG Naestved84-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%11%11%
Points / game76.877.476.2
Allowed / game93.792.694.8
Point differential-16.8-15.1-18.6
Avg total170.5170.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL22%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game78.979.078.8
Allowed / game97.694.0101.2
Point differential-18.7-15.0-22.4
Avg total176.5173.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1716194%104.872.9+31.9
2 Team FOG Naestved1715288%109.185.1+23.9
3 Randers1814478%94.782.4+12.3
4 Horsens1814478%87.375.3+12.0
5 Svendborg1713476%94.476.3+18.1
6 Copenhagen1811761%88.483.2+5.3
7 Vaerlose189950%76.188.5-12.4
8 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
9 Bears Academy1841422%78.997.6-18.7
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1821611%76.893.7-16.8
11 Vejen1821611%74.492.2-17.8
12 Amager1821611%79.097.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2414133485
Bears Academy24242437109
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