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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bears Academy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 86-81
13-15 29-18 22-16 22-32
Position#7
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#11
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game87.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Bears Academy
10 Oct 2026
HOLB88
BEAR67
12 Apr 2026
HOLB85
BEAR101
28 Jan 2026
HOLB85
BEAR109
24 Apr 2025
HOLB77
BEAR73
04 Jan 2025
HOLB86
BEAR81
22 Mar 2024
HOLB71
BEAR109
09 Feb 2024
HOLB76
BEAR104
24 Mar 2023
HOLB73
BEAR70
03 Oct 2022
HOLB70
BEAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bears Academy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 64
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 64
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
59avg 64
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
69avg 64
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
67avg 64
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
72avg 64
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 64
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
52avg 64
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
82-103
82
103
-21
63avg 64
A30/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
15-17
18-28
22-18
24-25
29-27
19-32
19-25
18-23
14-27
21-32
19-28
16-16
19-35
26-29
28-14
19-24
18-24
19-30
29-29
20-17
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
22-21
12-26
23-25
18-24
16-26
25-27
21-26
20-24
175.6Avg total
80.6Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.194.2175.3-13.225%
Season at home (6)86.395.5181.8-9.233%
Season away (6)75.893.0168.8-17.217%
Last 10 (10)80.695.0175.6-14.420%
Last 5 (5)85.097.8182.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.595.6171.1-20.15%
vs Similar (9)85.984.4170.3+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademy
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
58avg 66
A19/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
49avg 66
H25/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 66
A03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
87-86
87
86
+1
80avg 66
H10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
63-100
63
100
-37
no box
A16/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
68avg 66
A04/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
59-96
59
96
-37
44avg 66
H07/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
78-91
78
91
-13
62avg 66
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
51avg 66
H21/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
49avg 66
A29/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
27-28
11-24
23-17
14-22
20-25
16-23
19-30
24-20
14-9
21-27
16-24
19-27
19-19
24-16
25-24
15-22
18-23
6-31
24-24
27-18
11-33
16-27
24-17
12-15
16-25
14-19
17-37
26-27
20-24
12-13
20-27
11-13
25-27
11-14
23-26
8-13
19-19
7-27
26-25
161.9Avg total
71.6Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.987.2161.1-13.314%
Season at home (8)73.885.9159.6-12.125%
Season away (6)74.289.0163.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)71.690.3161.9-18.710%
Last 5 (5)69.089.2158.2-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.485.6157.9-13.218%
vs Similar (4)72.583.5156.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (8)89.576.4165.9+13.162%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
Holbaek-StenhusBears Academy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H24/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
90.4Avg total
40.3Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.946.685.5-7.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.346.586.8-6.229%-
Last 30 away (16)37.746.684.3-8.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.350.190.4-9.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.652.493.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.848.886.6-11.116%-
vs Similar (9)42.342.985.2-0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Bears Academy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bears AcademyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A19/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A04/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H07/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A29/12
Basketligaen
79.2Avg total
36.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.077.9-4.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.339.274.5-3.913%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.781.2-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.143.179.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.877.8-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.841.976.7-7.112%-
vs Similar (4)37.043.280.2-6.20%-
vs Weaker (8)41.837.479.1+4.450%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.5
45.2%
51.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.89.3
26.7%
32.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.620.8
78.2%
70.2%20.8
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bears Academytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bears Academy: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.9
48.3%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.2
26.1%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.310.8
62.4%
70.2%10.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLLLLLWL
Bears Academy
LLLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#11
-15.1
Net rating
-16.0
98.5
Offensive rating
91.1
113.6
Defensive rating
107.1
42.7%
Effective FG%
44.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.7%
3-point %
26.1%
33.7%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 91.1Defence113.6 · 107.1Shooting42.7% · 44.6%3-point %26.7% · 26.1%Ball care19.1% · 20.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Bears Academy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AAmager82-103
19/12/24HSvendborg75-96
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
17/11/24AVaerlose86-100
14/11/24HHerlev Wolfpack92-102
07/11/24ARanders70-103
29/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved85-107
24/10/24HHorsens79-88
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ASvendborg60-84
21/12/24HVaerlose70-80
18/12/24HRanders78-91
07/12/24HCopenhagen59-96
04/12/24ATeam FOG Naestved78-95
16/11/24ASvendborg63-100
10/11/24HAmager87-86
03/11/24AHorsens75-80
25/10/24HBakken Bears69-100
19/10/24AHerlev Wolfpack77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game81.186.375.8
Allowed / game94.295.593.0
Point differential-13.2-9.2-17.2
Avg total175.3181.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bears Academy
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game73.973.874.2
Allowed / game87.285.989.0
Point differential-13.3-12.1-14.8
Avg total161.1159.6163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1413193%88.271.0+17.2
2 Team FOG Naestved1413193%95.987.6+8.3
3 Horsens1310377%89.379.8+9.5
4 Bakken Bears1410471%92.981.9+11.0
5 Randers159660%90.182.5+7.6
6 Vaerlose134931%77.586.8-9.2
7 Amager1441029%86.193.4-7.4
8 Herlev Wolfpack1441029%78.887.8-9.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus123925%81.194.2-13.2
10 Copenhagen1331023%81.785.9-4.2
11 Bears Academy1421214%73.987.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1329222286
Bears Academy1518163281
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