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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-83
20-25 14-15 21-20 22-23
Position#11
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Amager 🏆
Denmark
Position#13
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game102.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Amager
11 Mar 2026
HOLB75
AMAG83
11 Dec 2025
HOLB77
AMAG83
06 Apr 2025
HOLB104
AMAG93
04 Oct 2024
HOLB106
AMAG98
10 Mar 2024
HOLB91
AMAG80
07 Jan 2024
HOLB69
AMAG47
17 Apr 2023
HOLB79
AMAG89
08 Jan 2023
HOLB71
AMAG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
76-102
76
102
-26
58avg 67
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 67
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 67
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-119
57
119
-62
34avg 67
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 67
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
53avg 67
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 67
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 67
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 67
A03/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
23-23
21-21
11-24
25-28
16-28
25-25
23-11
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
23-24
20-22
25-27
15-14
17-32
9-27
16-24
15-36
25-19
15-18
13-21
20-16
17-31
22-28
18-29
18-17
26-19
25-25
17-22
20-25
9-24
25-23
20-15
22-24
21-15
11-26
18-29
22-17
170.3Avg total
77.9Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.292.2169.5-15.08%
Season at home (6)77.088.2165.2-11.217%
Season away (6)77.596.3173.8-18.80%
Last 10 (10)77.992.4170.3-14.510%
Last 5 (5)76.888.6165.4-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.796.6173.2-19.912%
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.784.2173.9+5.545%
vs Weaker (3)84.379.0163.3+5.3100%
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-122
71
122
-51
57avg 76
A03/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 76
H11/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
63avg 76
H17/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
54avg 76
A25/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
A28/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
91-98
91
98
-7
79avg 76
H01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
90-110
90
110
-20
87avg 76
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 76
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 76
H20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
64-100
64
100
-36
59avg 76
A23/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
18-22
15-35
18-33
21-29
17-25
13-18
28-18
19-30
21-22
15-29
23-31
18-34
19-19
20-18
9-29
12-21
18-29
16-32
24-21
22-30
22-24
26-20
21-24
10-19
21-25
36-32
23-34
20-21
23-26
18-14
21-29
16-13
22-31
18-28
24-19
17-26
14-28
13-19
20-27
178.7Avg total
77.1Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.6102.8181.3-24.20%
Season at home (6)84.5101.2185.7-16.70%
Season away (6)72.7104.3177.0-31.70%
Last 10 (10)77.1101.6178.7-24.50%
Last 5 (5)81.497.8179.2-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.9106.8187.6-25.90%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.394.7171.0-18.30%
vs Weaker (13)92.282.1174.2+10.177%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
Holbaek-StenhusAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/12
Basketligaen
88.3Avg total
39.6Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.447.587.9-7.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.346.185.4-6.843%-
Last 30 away (16)41.448.890.1-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.648.788.3-9.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.450.087.4-12.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.345.690.9-0.445%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.079.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A03/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H11/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A25/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A28/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H20/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A23/11
Basketligaen
87.6Avg total
37.0Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.047.590.5-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.547.692.1-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.247.588.7-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.050.687.6-13.60%-
Last 5 (5)37.448.686.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.952.692.5-12.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.349.384.7-14.00%-
vs Weaker (13)48.041.789.7+6.385%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.2
45.1%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.4
26.7%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
70.1%14.2
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.9
50.8%
54.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.6%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
70.1%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLLWLL
Amager
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#13
-20.5
Net rating
-26.9
90.9
Offensive rating
93.5
111.4
Defensive rating
120.4
43.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
23.0%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.7%
3-point %
32.6%
50.0%
Assist %
47.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 93.5Defence111.4 · 120.4Shooting43.1% · 50.0%3-point %26.7% · 32.6%Ball care18.1% · 23.0%Off. rebounds26.2% · 22.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
4
Amager wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AHorsens72-87
23/11/25HRanders76-86
19/11/25ACopenhagen88-91
14/11/25HBakken Bears75-105
04/11/25HCopenhagen73-74
02/11/25ABakken Bears57-119
29/10/25AVaerlose83-87
23/10/25HVejen90-81
06/10/25ABMS Herlev89-92
02/10/25ARanders76-102
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ASvendborg64-100
20/11/25HVaerlose80-91
14/11/25ABears Academy82-90
06/11/25HTeam FOG Naestved90-110
01/11/25HRanders91-98
28/10/25ABMS Herlev70-103
25/10/25ARanders66-100
17/10/25HCopenhagen78-112
11/10/25HVejen79-90
03/10/25ABakken Bears71-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game77.277.077.5
Allowed / game92.288.296.3
Point differential-15.0-11.2-18.8
Avg total169.5165.2173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.684.572.7
Allowed / game102.8101.2104.3
Point differential-24.2-16.7-31.7
Avg total181.3185.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1211192%110.984.2+26.7
2 Bakken Bears1110191%106.273.2+33.0
3 Horsens1311285%87.874.0+13.8
4 Randers1310377%94.583.1+11.4
5 Svendborg118373%93.877.8+16.0
6 Copenhagen128467%88.385.1+3.2
7 Vaerlose128467%78.485.3-6.9
8 BMS Herlev113827%83.094.0-11.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus121118%77.292.2-15.0
10 Vejen121118%71.892.5-20.7
11 Bears Academy131128%77.8101.2-23.3
12 Amager120120%78.6102.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2014212277
Amager2515202383
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