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Hottur vs Stjarnan Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
7.4/10
🔥 Hot
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game93.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hottur v Stjarnan
14 Jan 2027
HOTT v STJA
upcoming
13 Feb 2025
HOTT83
STJA86
23 Nov 2023
HOTT89
STJA72
21 Nov 2022
HOTT89
STJA92
07 Mar 2021
HOTT93
STJA94
05 Oct 2017
HOTT66
STJA92
03 Dec 2015
HOTT64
STJA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
no box
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
77-111
77
111
-34
63avg 87
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 87
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 87
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
99-112
99
112
-13
89avg 87
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
92-112
92
112
-20
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
26-26
17-31
15-24
19-30
23-18
27-28
31-20
22-32
28-25
27-29
27-18
26-24
28-35
29-25
17-18
25-34
22-23
17-23
18-24
16-10
23-21
22-29
33-32
14-30
189.2Avg total
91.2Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.0101.5193.5-9.533%
Season at home (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
Season away (4)92.8108.2201.0-15.525%
Last 10 (10)91.298.0189.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)95.099.6194.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)85.596.4182.0-10.923%
vs Similar (5)91.492.6184.0-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
101avg 95
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
88-103
88
103
-15
86avg 95
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 95
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 95
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 95
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
86avg 95
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 95
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 95
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
113-94
113
94
+19
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
17-28
29-8
19-21
23-30
13-27
25-22
27-24
26-20
29-26
21-27
21-30
22-30
17-29
26-21
26-20
22-22
19-24
18-23
18-21
18-23
28-27
20-31
32-22
24-29
22-23
22-25
24-21
21-22
23-15
37-26
21-33
27-22
25-13
24-22
27-22
25-29
30-22
35-18
23-25
193.5Avg total
96.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.593.3190.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Season away (3)90.789.0179.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)96.696.9193.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)101.694.0195.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar (11)98.497.6196.0+0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)105.995.6201.6+10.383%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
HotturStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A12/11
Premier league
96.6Avg total
47.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.947.590.4-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.589.0-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.349.591.7-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)47.149.596.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.251.2100.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.248.891.0-6.623%-
vs Similar (5)46.648.294.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/11
Premier league
94.4Avg total
45.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.248.3100.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.847.7102.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)49.349.098.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.194.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.093.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (11)47.549.296.6-1.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)55.647.3102.9+8.378%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
56.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.8
32.9%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
73.9%17.8
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
56.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.6
32.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.221.2
72.6%
73.9%21.2
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LLLWWLWLWL
Stjarnan
WWWLLLLLLW
#8
League position
#7
-9.0
Net rating
-4.1
101.3
Offensive rating
96.2
110.2
Defensive rating
100.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.9%
3-point %
32.6%
55.7%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 96.2Defence110.2 · 100.3Shooting49.4% · 50.5%3-point %32.9% · 32.6%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hottur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hottur wins
7
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
16/10/26Stjarnan v Hottur98-103
13/02/25Hottur v Stjarnan83-86
14/11/24Stjarnan v Hottur87-80
07/03/24Stjarnan v Hottur92-82
23/11/23Hottur v Stjarnan89-72
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AKR Basket92-112
05/11/26HTindastoll73-80
29/10/26AKeflavik99-112
22/10/26HIR Reykjavik108-96
16/10/26AStjarnan103-98
08/10/26AAlftanes77-111
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeflavik113-94
07/11/26ANjardvik103-79
29/10/26HIR Reykjavik102-96
22/10/26AGrindavik92-98
16/10/26HHottur98-103
08/10/26AValur77-90
06/05/26ATindastoll91-100
03/05/26HTindastoll97-103
29/04/26ATindastoll88-103
25/04/26HTindastoll105-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game92.090.592.8
Allowed / game101.588.0108.2
Point differential-9.5+2.5-15.5
Avg total193.5178.5201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game97.5104.390.7
Allowed / game93.397.789.0
Point differential+4.2+6.7+1.7
Avg total190.8202.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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