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Nicholls State vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-70
39-33 46-37
Position#138
Record14-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#290
Record10-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nicholls State v TX A&M Commerce
08 Feb 2025
NICH81
TX A65
11 Mar 2024
NICH72
TX A51
24 Feb 2024
NICH85
TX A70
23 Feb 2024
NICH v TX A
upcoming
20 Feb 2023
NICH71
TX A72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A23/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
47-74
47
74
-27
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
46-33
25-33
34-36
34-35
28-27
29-27
36-38
46-36
37-37
35-35
38-31
28-30
28-45
31-32
36-31
22-29
25-45
41-34
48-43
144.7Avg total
71.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.974.9147.8-2.054%
Season at home (11)74.570.2144.6+4.373%
Season away (15)71.878.3150.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)71.773.0144.7-1.370%
Last 5 (5)66.471.0137.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.476.1137.5-14.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.675.3148.9-1.750%
vs Weaker (11)79.173.1152.2+6.082%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-29
44-47
27-29
38-36
20-24
34-45
34-33
37-33
22-33
35-37
26-30
25-47
41-38
48-45
35-36
31-30
32-44
31-42
36-25
30-41
145.2Avg total
68.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.774.3146.0-2.637%
Season at home (13)85.372.8158.1+12.554%
Season away (14)59.175.7134.9-16.621%
Last 10 (10)68.776.5145.2-7.830%
Last 5 (5)71.279.4150.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.979.4140.3-18.614%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.374.7149.0-0.440%
vs Weaker (5)90.669.0159.6+21.660%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -5.0-5.0
Nicholls StateTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.666.2-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.434.467.9-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)29.934.864.7-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.365.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.063.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.035.063.0-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.432.163.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (11)33.836.970.7-3.127%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A20/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
29.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.067.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.571.7+4.847%-
Last 30 away (15)27.136.563.6-9.520%-
Last 10 (10)29.432.161.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.668.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)26.737.163.9-10.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.233.565.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker (5)44.234.078.2+10.260%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nicholls State wins
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/24ANew Orleans89-77
17/02/24HMcNeese State47-74
13/02/24HTexas A&M-CC67-63
11/02/24ALamar56-75
06/02/24HNorthwestern St.73-66
03/02/24HHouston Christian83-73
27/01/24ATX A&M Commerce87-84 OT
23/01/24AIncarnate Word78-74 OT
20/01/24ATexas A&M-CC59-69
16/01/24HNew Orleans78-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/24AIncarnate Word76-72 OT
17/02/24ATexas A&M-CC63-86
13/02/24HSE Louisiana77-79 OT
10/02/24HNew Orleans89-83
06/02/24AMcNeese State51-77
03/02/24ANorthwestern St.57-70
01/02/24HIncarnate Word71-66
30/01/24HTexas A&M-CC54-69
27/01/24HNicholls State84-87 OT
23/01/24ALamar65-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %54%73%40%
Points / game72.974.571.8
Allowed / game74.970.278.3
Point differential-2.0+4.3-6.5
Avg total147.8144.6150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)75% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %19%9%27%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game71.785.359.1
Allowed / game74.372.875.7
Point differential-2.6+12.5-16.6
Avg total146.0158.1134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %15%23%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2623388%80.460.8+19.5
2 Texas A&M-CC26161062%75.266.4+8.8
3 Lamar26151158%80.574.7+5.8
4 Stephen F. Austin26141254%75.871.0+4.9
5 Nicholls State26141254%72.974.9-2.0
6 SE Louisiana27131448%69.370.7-1.4
7 TX A&M Commerce27101737%71.774.3-2.6
8 Incarnate Word2681831%73.077.9-4.9
9 New Orleans2781930%74.980.5-5.7
10 Northwestern St.2781930%69.976.1-6.1
11 Houston Christian2461825%70.882.5-11.7
12 UTRGV2662023%73.080.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State394685
TX A&M Commerce333770
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