Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

The Houston Rockets will host the Golden State Warriors on 11 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Rockets the model favourite as they hold a 62% chance of victory and a projected 114-110 score; the Warriors carry a 38% win probability. Houston has gone 8-3 this season, averaging 115.5 points and allowing 106.4, while Golden State is also 8-3, averaging 120.4 points and conceding 111.2, placing them 7th and 8th respectively. At home Houston is 5-1, scoring 115.5 and allowing 104.7, whereas Golden State is 2-2 on the road, scoring 120.0 and conceding 121.5. In the last five games Houston went 3-2, with a 110-100 win over Denver, a 99-102 loss to Phoenix, and a 107-117 defeat by Minnesota, while Golden State has won all five recent contests, including 138-87 over New Orleans, 126-119 over Orlando and 120-100 over Miami. Their head-to-head record is even 5-5, with Houston's last meeting ending 117-116 on 5 April 2026. The spread is -5.0 with a 49% chance of the Rockets covering, the total line is 223.0 with a 50% over probability, and the game has a 6% overtime likelihood.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon

61.9%fair 1.62

Best odds1.42

Implied68.9%

Edge-7.1pp

Golden State Warriors winLost

38.1%fair 2.62

Best odds3.20

Implied31.1%

Edge+7.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston Rockets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRockets

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

114-110

114

110

113avg 107

A24/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#14

121-114

121

114

116avg 107

A25/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#14

120-110

120

110

+10

126avg 107

H27/10

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

132-100

132

100

+32

127avg 107

A29/10

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#13

111-116

111

116

-5

98avg 107

A31/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#11

119-98

119

+21

110avg 107

H01/11

NBA

Boston Celtics

109-93

109

+16

109avg 107

H03/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

107-117

107

117

-10

97avg 107

H05/11

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

99-102

102

-3

81avg 107

A08/11

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

110-100

110

100

+10

107avg 107

H10/11

NBA

32-27

29-32

24-22

29-29

30-26

29-22

33-33

29-33

32-35

31-31

28-19

29-25

23-21

34-14

38-34

37-31

20-27

31-17

33-32

27-40

35-26

27-25

30-24

27-23

29-29

28-21

25-23

27-20

30-33

27-24

27-25

23-35

24-12

28-29

24-26

32-24

22-16

23-28

33-32

220.2Avg total

114.2Scored

106.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	115.5	106.4	221.8	+9.1	73%
Season at home (6)	115.5	104.7	220.2	+10.8	83%
Season away (5)	115.4	108.4	223.8	+7.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	114.2	106.0	220.2	+8.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	108.8	102.0	210.8	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	110.5	113.5	224.0	-3.0	50%
vs Similar (12)	107.8	105.6	213.4	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	121.1	108.2	229.3	+12.9	81%

This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Golden State Warriors USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormWarriors

Date

Competition

Memphis Grizzlies

108-111

108

111

-3

69avg 106

H24/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

122-131

122

131

-9

75avg 106

A25/10

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

134-114

134

114

+20

102avg 106

A27/10

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

119-114

119

114

93avg 106

A29/10

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

112-95

112

+17

102avg 106

H31/10

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#26

124-112

124

112

+12

88avg 106

H02/11

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

116-113

116

113

92avg 106

H03/11

NBA

Miami Heat

#16

120-100

120

100

+20

126avg 106

H06/11

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

126-119 OT

126

119

128avg 106

H08/11

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

138-87

138

+51

144avg 106

H10/11

NBA

34-33

22-27

34-24

18-27

25-22

29-35

38-45

30-29

28-32

32-24

40-28

34-30

30-23

34-25

29-33

26-33

15-38

38-15

32-27

27-15

29-37

34-20

29-28

32-27

19-31

32-26

42-36

23-20

26-29

27-24

38-23

29-24

31-19

26-22

20-37

33-32

35-20

37-23

40-22

26-22

231.5Avg total

121.9Scored

109.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	120.4	111.2	231.5	+9.2	73%
Season at home (7)	120.6	105.3	225.9	+15.3	86%
Season away (4)	120.0	121.5	241.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	121.9	109.6	231.5	+12.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	124.8	106.2	231.0	+18.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	106.9	117.0	223.9	-10.1	14%
vs Similar (11)	112.0	116.7	228.7	-4.7	27%
vs Weaker (12)	123.0	114.2	237.2	+8.8	83%

This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 224 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 220-224 (11%). The market's main line is 219.5.

Over/Under 214.5Actual: Over 214.5

Over 214.5

67.9%

@ 1.57+6.7pp

Under 214.5

32.1%

@ 2.55-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.57

1xBet

1.55

BetVictor

1.55

WilliamHill

1.53

Marathon Be

1.51

Under

Bet365

2.55

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.45

BetVictor

2.45

Betfair

2.42

Over/Under 219.5 · main lineActual: Over 219.5

Over 219.5

57.6%

@ 1.93+7.3pp

Under 219.5

42.4%

@ 2.02-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.93

1xBet

1.92

BetVictor

1.90

Betfair

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Under

Betano

2.02

Bet365

1.97

BetVictor

1.95

Pinnacle

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Over/Under 224.5Actual: Under 224.5

Over 224.5

46.9%

@ 2.38+3.0pp

Under 224.5

53.1%

@ 1.72-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.38

BetVictor

2.35

Betfair

2.32

WilliamHill

2.30

Bet365

2.30

Under

Pinnacle

1.72

Betano

1.62

Betfair

1.61

BetVictor

1.60

1xBet

1.57

📊 3. Team Totals

Houston Rockets total 110Actual: Houston Rockets over 110

Over 110

62.9%

Under 110

37.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Houston Rockets total 114 · main lineActual: Houston Rockets over 114

Over 114

49.2%

@ 1.92-0.0pp

Under 114

50.8%

@ 1.90+0.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.92

1xBet

1.90

Under

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.80

Houston Rockets total 118Actual: Houston Rockets under 118

Over 118

35.4%

Under 118

64.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Golden State Warriors total 104Actual: Golden State Warriors over 104

Over 104

68.6%

Under 104

31.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Golden State Warriors total 108 · main linePush

Over 108

55.4%

@ 1.96+6.9pp

Under 108

44.6%

@ 1.90-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.96

1xBet

1.90

Under

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.75

Golden State Warriors total 112Actual: Golden State Warriors under 112

Over 112

41.7%

Under 112

58.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Houston Rockets's side (positive = Houston Rockets win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.0; Houston Rockets win by 1+ in 55% of simulations.

Spread Houston Rockets -9.5Actual: Golden State Warriors +9.5

HOU -9.5

34.6%

@ 2.35-6.2pp

GSW +9.5

65.4%

@ 1.62+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

HOU

Betano

2.35

BetVictor

2.35

1xBet

2.31

Bet365

2.30

Betfair

2.25

GSW

1xBet

1.62

Betano

1.60

BetVictor

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Spread Houston Rockets -6.5 · main lineActual: Houston Rockets -6.5

HOU -6.5

43.9%

@ 1.93-6.7pp

GSW +6.5

56.1%

@ 1.97+6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

HOU

Pinnacle

1.93

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.90

Betfair

1.90

SBO

1.90

GSW

1xBet

1.97

Pinnacle

1.97

BetVictor

1.95

SBO

1.94

Marathon Be

1.93

Spread Houston Rockets -3.5Actual: Houston Rockets -3.5

HOU -3.5

54.1%

@ 1.62-6.9pp

GSW +3.5

45.9%

@ 2.49+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

HOU

Betano

1.62

BetVictor

1.60

Pinnacle

1.59

1xBet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

GSW

Pinnacle

2.49

1xBet

2.41

BetVictor

2.35

Marathon Be

2.31

Betano

2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Houston RocketsGolden State Warriors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 54
Last 30 (30)	28.4	28.6	57.0	-0.2	47%	77%
Last 30 at home (16)	31.2	27.3	58.5	+3.9	62%	81%
Last 30 away (14)	25.1	30.1	55.2	-4.9	29%	71%
Last 10 (10)	28.6	28.3	56.9	+0.3	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	29.8	29.4	59.2	+0.4	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	30.0	61.0	+1.0	50%	100%
vs Similar (12)	27.2	29.4	56.6	-2.2	25%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	28.9	27.8	56.8	+1.1	62%	81%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 54
Last 30 (30)	27.8	28.7	56.4	-0.9	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	27.4	29.2	56.6	-1.8	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	28.1	28.1	56.3	+0.0	60%	53%
Last 10 (10)	27.2	28.4	55.6	-1.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	27.2	55.2	+0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	28.4	26.4	54.9	+2.0	71%	57%
vs Similar (11)	26.0	31.8	57.8	-5.8	27%	55%
vs Weaker (12)	29.0	27.1	56.1	+1.9	50%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 53.5
Last 30 (30)	28.7	22.6	51.4	+6.1	80%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	29.1	25.1	54.1	+4.0	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	28.4	19.9	48.2	+8.5	93%	14%
Last 10 (10)	28.2	21.4	49.6	+6.8	80%	20%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.6	45.2	+6.0	100%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (12)	26.4	24.2	50.6	+2.2	67%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	30.6	20.8	51.4	+9.8	94%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 53.5
Last 30 (30)	27.6	27.8	55.4	-0.2	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	28.5	26.5	55.1	+2.0	53%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	26.7	29.0	55.7	-2.3	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	31.1	24.1	55.2	+7.0	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	31.2	23.0	54.2	+8.2	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	24.9	28.4	53.3	-3.6	29%	57%
vs Similar (11)	26.0	26.1	52.1	-0.1	45%	27%
vs Weaker (12)	30.7	28.9	59.6	+1.8	50%	75%

Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

61-59

A24/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#14

59-48

+11

A25/10

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#14

63-66

-3

H27/10

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

#30

57-35

+22

A29/10

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#13

51-44

A31/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#11

62-51

+11

H01/11

NBA

Boston Celtics

57-50

H03/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

57-57

H05/11

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

47-47

A08/11

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

54-40

+14

H10/11

NBA

106.5Avg total

56.8Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 107
Last 30 (30)	57.1	51.2	108.3	+5.9	67%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	60.2	52.4	112.6	+7.9	75%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	53.5	49.9	103.4	+3.6	57%	36%
Last 10 (10)	56.8	49.7	106.5	+7.1	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	55.4	49.0	104.4	+6.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	59.0	58.0	117.0	+1.0	50%	100%
vs Similar (12)	53.6	53.6	107.2	+0.0	50%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	59.5	48.6	108.1	+10.9	81%	56%

This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Memphis Grizzlies

56-60

-4

H24/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

54-57

-3

A25/10

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

60-56

A27/10

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

64-48

+16

A29/10

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

53-53

H31/10

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#26

63-57

H02/11

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

51-57

-6

H03/11

NBA

Miami Heat

#16

53-53

H06/11

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

57-41

+16

H08/11

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

72-43

+29

H10/11

NBA

110.8Avg total

58.3Scored

52.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 107
Last 30 (30)	55.4	56.4	111.8	-1.1	33%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	55.9	55.7	111.7	+0.2	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	54.8	57.1	111.9	-2.3	33%	67%
Last 10 (10)	58.3	52.5	110.8	+5.8	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	59.2	50.2	109.4	+9.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	53.3	54.9	108.1	-1.6	43%	57%
vs Similar (11)	52.0	57.9	109.9	-5.9	9%	55%
vs Weaker (12)	59.7	56.0	115.7	+3.7	50%	83%

This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Houston Rockets win

HOU win

57.7%

@ 1.55-5.2pp

GSW win

42.3%

@ 2.61+5.2pp

1st half Spread Houston Rockets -3.5 · main lineActual: Houston Rockets -3.5

HOU -3.5

45.1%

@ 1.99-3.7pp

GSW +3.5

54.9%

@ 1.91+3.7pp

1st half Over/Under 107 · main linePush

Over

67.3%

@ 1.94+17.7pp

Under

32.7%

@ 1.91-17.7pp

Houston Rockets 1st half total 55.5 · main lineActual: Houston Rockets over 55.5

Over

57.8%

@ 2.00+9.8pp

Under

42.2%

@ 1.90-9.8pp

Golden State Warriors 1st half total 51.5 · main lineActual: Golden State Warriors under 51.5

Over

66.7%

@ 1.86+15.7pp

Under

33.3%

@ 2.05-15.7pp

1st half: HOU + total 107.5

HOU & over

36.0%

@ 2.95+6.7pp

HOU & under

19.9%

@ 2.85-10.4pp

1st half: Draw + total 107.5

Draw & over

2.2%

@ 26.00-1.1pp

Draw & under

1.0%

@ 26.00-2.3pp

1st half: GSW + total 107.5

GSW & over

27.1%

@ 5.25+10.6pp

GSW & under

13.8%

@ 5.00-3.5pp

1st half Over/Under 105.5Actual: Over 105.5

Over

70.9%

@ 1.76+16.1pp

Under

29.1%

@ 2.20-16.1pp

1st half Over/Under 108.5Actual: Under 108.5

Over

62.1%

@ 2.17+17.8pp

Under

37.9%

@ 1.91-17.8pp

1st half Spread Houston Rockets -4.5Actual: Houston Rockets -4.5

HOU -4.5

41.5%

@ 2.18-2.8pp

GSW +4.5

58.5%

@ 1.75+2.8pp

1st half Spread Houston Rockets -2.5Actual: Houston Rockets -2.5

HOU -2.5

48.8%

@ 1.88-4.4pp

GSW +2.5

51.2%

@ 2.07+4.4pp

1st half Over/Under 110Actual: Under 110

Over

57.6%

@ 2.32+16.1pp

Under

42.4%

@ 1.65-16.1pp

1st half Spread Houston Rockets -5.5Actual: Golden State Warriors +5.5

HOU -5.5

38.3%

@ 2.37-2.4pp

GSW +5.5

61.7%

@ 1.63+2.4pp

1st half Spread Houston Rockets -1.5Actual: Houston Rockets -1.5

HOU -1.5

52.2%

@ 1.70-4.6pp

GSW +1.5

47.8%

@ 2.24+4.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Houston Rockets (regulation)

HOU

55.8%

@ 1.60-3.9pp

Draw

3.3%

@ 21.00-2.2pp

GSW

40.9%

@ 2.70+6.3pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	28.8	26.7	55.5	+2.0	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	28.4	25.5	53.9	+2.9	69%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	29.1	28.1	57.3	+1.0	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	28.9	26.9	55.8	+2.0	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	26.6	25.8	52.4	+0.8	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	23.5	49.0	+2.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (12)	25.2	24.0	49.2	+1.2	50%	8%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	31.8	29.2	61.0	+2.6	56%	69%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	29.7	30.5	60.2	-0.8	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	29.3	60.0	+1.3	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	28.7	31.7	60.3	-3.0	40%	67%
Last 10 (10)	34.2	30.3	64.5	+3.9	70%	80%
Last 5 (5)	33.8	29.2	63.0	+4.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	26.4	32.9	59.3	-6.4	14%	71%
vs Similar (11)	29.5	30.1	59.6	-0.5	64%	73%
vs Weaker (12)	31.7	29.5	61.2	+2.2	58%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 55.5
Last 30 (30)	28.6	28.7	57.2	-0.1	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	27.4	28.2	55.6	-0.8	50%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	29.9	29.2	59.1	+0.7	36%	64%
Last 10 (10)	28.5	29.4	57.9	-0.9	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.8	27.2	54.0	-0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	32.0	58.0	-6.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (12)	27.3	25.8	53.2	+1.5	42%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	29.8	30.4	60.2	-0.6	50%	69%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 55.5
Last 30 (30)	29.3	28.4	57.7	+0.9	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	29.3	26.5	55.7	+2.8	73%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	29.3	30.3	59.6	-1.1	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	27.8	25.9	53.7	+1.9	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	28.6	25.0	53.6	+3.6	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	27.1	29.3	56.4	-2.1	14%	71%
vs Similar (11)	30.5	28.7	59.2	+1.7	55%	73%
vs Weaker (12)	29.4	27.6	57.0	+1.8	75%	58%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 113.5
Last 30 (30)	57.3	55.4	112.7	+1.9	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	55.8	53.7	109.5	+2.1	50%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	59.1	57.4	116.4	+1.7	57%	50%
Last 10 (10)	57.4	56.3	113.7	+1.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	53.4	53.0	106.4	+0.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	51.5	55.5	107.0	-4.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (12)	52.6	49.8	102.4	+2.8	58%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	61.6	59.6	121.2	+2.1	50%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 113.5
Last 30 (30)	58.9	58.9	117.8	+0.0	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	59.9	55.8	115.7	+4.1	67%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	57.9	62.0	119.9	-4.1	33%	67%
Last 10 (10)	62.0	56.2	118.2	+5.8	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	54.2	116.6	+8.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	53.6	62.1	115.7	-8.6	29%	57%
vs Similar (11)	60.0	58.8	118.8	+1.2	45%	64%
vs Weaker (12)	61.1	57.1	118.2	+4.0	67%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

HOU win + total 219.5

🔒 Pro

GSW win + total 219.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: HOU leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: GSW leads at half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: close (1-10 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
1st half: Over 106	70.1%	1.81	Pinnacle 1.81	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 105.5	70.9%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.76	1xBet 1.64	Bet365 1.64	WilliamHill 1.62	Betano 1.60	+16.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 103.5	76.1%	1.50	Betano 1.53	WilliamHill 1.50	1xBet 1.48	Bet365 1.47	-	+13.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 50.5	70.9%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Betano 1.55	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 49.5	74.7%	1.49	1xBet 1.53	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.45	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
1st half: Over 104.5	73.6%	1.51	WilliamHill 1.57	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.48	Bet365 1.47	-	+11.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 101.5	81.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Q1: Over 52	70.2%	1.62	Pinnacle 1.62	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 48.5	78.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 47.5	81.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 99.5	84.8%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 45.5	87.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 46.5	84.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
1st half: Over 97.5	88.6%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Q1: Over 51.5	71.5%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
1st half: Over 102.5	78.7%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 52.5	71.5%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 100.5	83.0%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 44.5	89.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 51.5	75.6%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 95.5	89.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.14	Betano 1.12	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 96.5	87.5%	1.15	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 101.5	75.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 97.5	84.7%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.18	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 99.5	80.3%	1.26	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Over 98.5	86.8%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 102.5	72.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 43.5	91.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 100.5	77.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 49.5	82.8%	1.24	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 98.5	82.6%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.21	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 47.5	88.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 41.5	94.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +14.5	78.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.33	Betfair 1.29	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.26	+6.5pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 42.5	93.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 212.5	71.7%	1.43	Betfair 1.50	1xBet 1.45	WilliamHill 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.42	Betano 1.40	+6.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +15.5	80.2%	1.25	1xBet 1.29	Betano 1.25	Betfair 1.22	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 89.5	95.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +18.5	85.6%	1.17	1xBet 1.20	Betano 1.16	Betfair 1.14	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +17.5	84.0%	1.19	1xBet 1.23	Betano 1.18	Betfair 1.17	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +27.5	95.3%	1.04	1xBet 1.05	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Over 212	73.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Over 210.5	75.3%	1.35	Betfair 1.40	1xBet 1.37	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.30	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 206.5	81.7%	1.24	Betfair 1.26	1xBet 1.24	Betano 1.22	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +19.5	87.2%	1.15	1xBet 1.17	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.13	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 211.5	73.5%	1.39	Betfair 1.43	1xBet 1.40	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.36	-	+6.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +20.5	88.6%	1.13	1xBet 1.15	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 209.5	77.0%	1.33	Betfair 1.36	1xBet 1.33	Betano 1.30	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +23.5	92.0%	1.08	1xBet 1.10	Betano 1.07	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +24.5	92.9%	1.08	1xBet 1.09	Betano 1.06	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Over 204.5	84.5%	1.19	Betfair 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Betano 1.17	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Over 208.5	78.7%	1.27	Betfair 1.33	1xBet 1.30	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.18	-	+5.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 93.5	92.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 91.5	94.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +22.5	91.0%	1.09	1xBet 1.12	Betano 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +16.5	82.2%	1.21	1xBet 1.26	Betano 1.21	Betfair 1.20	Bet365 1.18	-	+5.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +25.5	93.8%	1.06	1xBet 1.07	Betano 1.05	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Over 207.5	80.2%	1.24	Betfair 1.29	1xBet 1.27	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.16	-	+5.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +13.5	75.9%	1.32	1xBet 1.37	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.31	Betfair 1.30	+5.8pp	Won
Over 205.5	83.1%	1.20	Betfair 1.23	1xBet 1.22	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.16	-	+5.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 87.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 90.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +21.5	89.8%	1.10	1xBet 1.13	Betano 1.10	Betfair 1.10	Bet365 1.07	-	+5.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 94.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +12.5	73.5%	1.37	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.36	Bet365 1.35	Betfair 1.33	+5.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +11.5	71.0%	1.43	1xBet 1.47	BetVictor 1.45	Betano 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.41	+5.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 85.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 86.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +26.5	94.6%	1.04	1xBet 1.06	Betano 1.04	Bet365 1.03	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 203.5	85.8%	1.15	Betfair 1.18	1xBet 1.17	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.09	-	+5.5pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors +6.5	73.8%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Golden State Warriors over 88.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 202.5	87.0%	1.13	Betfair 1.16	1xBet 1.15	Betano 1.14	Bet365 1.08	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 201.5	88.1%	1.14	Betfair 1.14	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.13	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 135.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +28.5	95.9%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Over 213	71.2%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.44	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 45.5	92.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 92.5	93.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q1: Over 50.5	75.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors over 22.5	80.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 39.5	96.9%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q1: Over 48.5	82.6%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +11	70.2%	1.43	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors over 16.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Over 200.5	89.2%	1.11	1xBet 1.12	Betfair 1.12	Bet365 1.08	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets over 39.5	98.5%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 134.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +14	77.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets over 18.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 92.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 93.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 94.5	95.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors over 18.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +12	72.8%	1.36	Marathon Bet 1.38	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 199.5	90.2%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	Betfair 1.10	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 133.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 96.5	93.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +13	75.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Over 198.5	91.1%	1.07	1xBet 1.09	Betfair 1.08	Bet365 1.04	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 131.5	93.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 132.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 195.5	93.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets or Golden State Warriors	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.04	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 95.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +31.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets over 24.5	76.9%	1.29	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 125.5	84.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.15	Betano 1.13	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 102.5	83.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 129.5	91.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors over 20.5	88.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Q1: Houston Rockets over 20.5	92.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 130.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 126.5	86.1%	1.11	Betano 1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 98.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Houston Rockets +15.5	91.8%	1.04	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 127.5	87.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 97.5	91.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets under 38.5	95.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets over 22.5	85.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 101.5	85.1%	1.12	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 103.5	80.8%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets under 39.5	96.5%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 100.5	87.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 104.5	78.4%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors +7.5	77.7%	1.23	1xBet 1.24	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Houston Rockets under 124.5	82.0%	1.15	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 121.5	74.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 128.5	89.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 197.5	92.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 129.5	94.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	93.7%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.03	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 106.5	73.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Q2: Houston Rockets or Golden State Warriors	95.1%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 123.5	79.7%	1.18	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 122.5	77.2%	1.22	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 69.5	95.6%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 99.5	88.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets +16.5	92.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 105.5	75.9%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Under 248.5	90.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 128.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors under 36.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets under 36.5	90.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Houston Rockets under 120.5	71.7%	1.30	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 127.5	92.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets +14.5	90.7%	1.04	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Under 247.5	89.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +11.5	79.6%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Houston Rockets over 107.5	70.3%	1.32	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Under 245.5	87.9%	1.07	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.08	Bet365 1.04	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Houston Rockets +18.5	94.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +9.5	74.4%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 126.5	91.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +13.5	84.5%	1.11	1xBet 1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Under 244.5	86.9%	1.08	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets under 69.5	93.1%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Houston Rockets +12.5	88.2%	1.06	Betano 1.06	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +8.5	71.4%	1.32	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 125.5	90.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets +10.5	85.1%	1.08	Betano 1.08	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +10.5	77.1%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 121.5	83.6%	1.09	Betano 1.11	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 243.5	85.8%	1.09	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.09	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-0.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 124.5	88.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Houston Rockets +11.5	86.7%	1.06	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Houston Rockets +13.5	89.5%	1.04	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +12.5	82.1%	1.12	1xBet 1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets under 32.5	74.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Lost
Under 238.5	79.3%	1.16	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.16	Betfair 1.16	1xBet 1.14	-	-1.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets +9.5	83.4%	1.10	Betano 1.10	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets under 34.5	83.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.11	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Lost
Under 242.5	84.6%	1.10	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.09	Betfair 1.09	1xBet 1.08	-	-1.7pp	Won
Under 241.5	83.4%	1.11	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 123.5	87.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 120.5	81.5%	1.11	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Under 237.5	77.8%	1.17	Betano 1.18	Betfair 1.18	Bet365 1.16	1xBet 1.15	-	-1.9pp	Won
Under 239.5	80.8%	1.14	Betano 1.15	Betfair 1.14	1xBet 1.12	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets +7.5	79.3%	1.14	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.14	1xBet 1.13	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets +4.5	75.6%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Under 233.5	71.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.27	Betfair 1.27	1xBet 1.24	-	-2.2pp	Won
Under 236.5	76.2%	1.19	Betano 1.20	Betfair 1.20	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Houston Rockets +6.5	77.0%	1.16	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.16	1xBet 1.16	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors under 34.5	88.1%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Under 234.5	72.9%	1.24	Betfair 1.26	Betano 1.25	1xBet 1.22	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Under 240.5	82.1%	1.11	Betano 1.13	Betfair 1.13	1xBet 1.11	Bet365 1.09	-	-2.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 122.5	85.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 119.5	79.3%	1.12	Betano 1.13	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Houston Rockets +5.5	74.5%	1.19	Betfair 1.20	Betano 1.19	1xBet 1.19	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Q1: Houston Rockets +3.5	71.7%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 118.5	76.9%	1.15	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Houston Rockets +8.5	81.4%	1.10	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	1xBet 1.11	Bet365 1.08	-	-3.3pp	Won
Under 235.5	74.6%	1.20	Betano 1.23	Betfair 1.23	1xBet 1.19	Bet365 1.16	-	-3.5pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets under 65.5	84.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Won
Houston Rockets +4.5	71.8%	1.20	Betano 1.22	Betfair 1.22	1xBet 1.22	Marathon Bet 1.15	-	-3.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 117.5	74.3%	1.17	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets +5.5	75.4%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets +7.5	80.9%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Q1: Golden State Warriors under 32.5	80.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 116.5	71.6%	1.21	Betano 1.21	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets under 63.5	77.6%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets +6.5	78.1%	1.12	1xBet 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Won
1st half: Houston Rockets +4.5	72.4%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-6.5pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 62.5	81.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-7.1pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 61.5	77.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-9.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 60.5	74.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-10.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 59.5	70.4%	1.15	1xBet 1.16	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-11.4pp	Won
Houston Rockets +4	70.9%	1.16	Marathon Bet 1.16	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.3	27.3	52.2%	54.0%	54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	11.1	33.8%	35.1%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	25.9	20.8	80.3%	77.2%	20.8

They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	25.1	56.5%	54.0%	50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	35.1%	48.0
🏀 Free throws	26.1	21.6	82.8%	77.2%	21.6

They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.3	28.7	55.9%	54.0%	57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.7	11.3	32.6%	35.1%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	22.6	15.7	69.5%	77.2%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.2	26.5	55.0%	54.0%	53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.8	14.1	35.4%	35.1%	42.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	18.0	81.8%	77.2%	18.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.0	29.9	54.4%	54.0%	59.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.5	11.7	35.0%	35.1%	35.2
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.9	78.5%	77.2%	18.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.2	26.0	56.3%	54.0%	52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.3	14.7	36.4%	35.1%	44.1
🏀 Free throws	22.7	18.3	80.8%	77.2%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.6	28.6	55.4%	54.0%	57.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.6	11.6	34.4%	35.1%	34.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.3%	77.2%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.4	29.0	57.6%	54.0%	58.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.8	13.6	37.0%	35.1%	40.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	17.5	82.1%	77.2%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Houston Rockets

WLLWWLWWWW

Golden State Warriors

WWWWWWWWLL

League position

#10

+1.7

Net rating

+6.3

110.6

Offensive rating

115.9

108.9

Defensive rating

109.6

51.6%

Effective FG%

58.9%

53.1%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

14.2%

Turnover %

15.7%

30.1%

Off. rebound %

19.5%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.31

33.8%

3-point %

41.0%

64.1%

Assist %

70.1%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Houston Rockets ■ Golden State Warriors

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Houston Rockets wins

Golden State Warriors wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/26	Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets	116-117
06/03/26	Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors	113-115 OT
27/11/25	Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets	100-104
05/05/25	Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors	89-103
03/05/25	Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets	107-115
30/04/25	Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors	131-116
29/04/25	Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets	109-106
27/04/25	Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets	104-93
24/04/25	Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors	109-94
21/04/25	Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors	85-95

Houston Rocketslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	H	Denver Nuggets	110-100
08/11/26	A	Phoenix Suns	99-102
05/11/26	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	107-117
03/11/26	H	Boston Celtics	109-93
01/11/26	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	119-98
31/10/26	A	Dallas Mavericks	111-116
29/10/26	A	Milwaukee Bucks	132-100
27/10/26	H	Atlanta Hawks	120-110
25/10/26	A	Atlanta Hawks	121-114
24/10/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	114-110

Golden State Warriorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	H	New Orleans Pelicans	138-87
08/11/26	H	Orlando Magic	126-119 OT
06/11/26	H	Miami Heat	120-100
03/11/26	H	Phoenix Suns	116-113
02/11/26	H	Los Angeles Clippers	124-112
31/10/26	H	Los Angeles Lakers	112-95
29/10/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	119-114
27/10/26	A	Denver Nuggets	134-114
25/10/26	A	Phoenix Suns	122-131
24/10/26	H	Memphis Grizzlies	108-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	73%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	115.5	115.5	115.4
Allowed / game	106.4	104.7	108.4
Point differential	+9.1	+10.8	+7.0
Avg total	221.8	220.2	223.8
Over 219.5	64%	50%	80%
Win by 10+	55%	83%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Golden State Warriors

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	73%	86%	50%
Points / game	120.4	120.6	120.0
Allowed / game	111.2	105.3	121.5
Point differential	+9.2	+15.3	-1.5
Avg total	231.5	225.9	241.5
Over 219.5	82%	71%	100%
Win by 10+	45%	57%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Los Angeles Lakers	13	11	2	85%	122.2	114.2	+7.9
2	Boston Celtics	12	10	2	83%	114.2	103.1	+11.2
3	San Antonio Spurs	12	10	2	83%	119.2	108.0	+11.2
4	Philadelphia 76ers	12	9	3	75%	110.2	109.2	+1.0
5	Minnesota Timberwolves	11	8	3	73%	118.1	107.0	+11.1
6	Golden State Warriors	11	8	3	73%	120.4	111.2	+9.2
7	Houston Rockets	11	8	3	73%	115.5	106.4	+9.1
8	Oklahoma City Thunder	11	8	3	73%	111.4	105.9	+5.5
9	Detroit Pistons	10	7	3	70%	112.7	104.6	+8.1
10	Portland Trail Blazers	10	7	3	70%	119.7	112.7	+7.0
11	Memphis Grizzlies	11	7	4	64%	117.9	111.9	+6.0
12	Dallas Mavericks	11	7	4	64%	114.9	110.3	+4.6
13	Denver Nuggets	10	6	4	60%	114.5	113.3	+1.2
14	Atlanta Hawks	12	7	5	58%	118.2	116.2	+2.1
15	New York Knicks	11	6	5	55%	110.3	103.5	+6.8
16	Cleveland Cavaliers	12	6	6	50%	116.4	114.3	+2.1
17	Toronto Raptors	11	5	6	45%	114.5	111.9	+2.5
18	Miami Heat	11	5	6	45%	115.7	120.0	-4.3
19	Phoenix Suns	10	4	6	40%	112.8	118.1	-5.3
20	Orlando Magic	11	4	7	36%	108.5	114.0	-5.5
21	Charlotte Hornets	11	4	7	36%	98.8	110.4	-11.5
22	Indiana Pacers	12	4	8	33%	111.6	114.0	-2.4
23	Washington Wizards	12	4	8	33%	107.5	113.4	-5.9
24	New Orleans Pelicans	12	4	8	33%	116.9	124.2	-7.3
25	Brooklyn Nets	11	3	8	27%	110.2	115.3	-5.1
26	Los Angeles Clippers	10	2	8	20%	112.2	118.1	-5.9
27	Chicago Bulls	10	1	9	10%	113.3	128.8	-15.5
28	Sacramento Kings	11	1	10	9%	108.3	121.0	-12.7
29	Utah Jazz	12	1	11	8%	106.6	118.1	-11.5
30	Milwaukee Bucks	12	1	11	8%	106.8	121.3	-14.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Houston Rockets	35	21	29	30	115
Golden State Warriors	20	31	28	29	108

← all games of the day

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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