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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 126-121 (OT)
25-26 33-23 33-35 21-28 14-9
Position#5
Record57-32
FormWLWLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#2
Record63-27
FormWLWWW
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game111.3
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Toyota Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors
01 Mar 2027
HOU v GSW
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
HOU v GSW
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
HOU113
GSW115
04 May 2025
HOU89
GSW103
30 Apr 2025
HOU131
GSW116
23 Apr 2025
HOU109
GSW94
20 Apr 2025
HOU85
GSW95
13 Feb 2025
HOU98
GSW105
11 Dec 2024
HOU91
GSW90
02 Nov 2024
HOU121
GSW127
04 Apr 2024
HOU110
GSW133
29 Oct 2023
HOU95
GSW106
20 Mar 2023
HOU108
GSW121
20 Nov 2022
HOU120
GSW127
31 Jan 2022
HOU108
GSW122
01 May 2021
HOU87
GSW113
17 Mar 2021
HOU94
GSW108
02 Apr 2020
HOU v GSW
upcoming
06 Nov 2019
HOU129
GSW112
10 May 2019
HOU113
GSW118
06 May 2019
HOU112
GSW108
04 May 2019
HOU126
GSW121
13 Mar 2019
HOU104
GSW106
15 Nov 2018
HOU107
GSW86
28 May 2018
HOU92
GSW101
24 May 2018
HOU98
GSW94
16 May 2018
HOU127
GSW105
14 May 2018
HOU106
GSW119
20 Jan 2018
HOU116
GSW108
04 Jan 2018
HOU114
GSW124
28 Mar 2017
HOU106
GSW113
20 Jan 2017
HOU108
GSW125
24 Apr 2016
HOU94
GSW121
21 Apr 2016
HOU97
GSW96
31 Dec 2015
HOU110
GSW114
30 Oct 2015
HOU92
GSW112
25 May 2015
HOU128
GSW115
23 May 2015
HOU80
GSW115
17 Jan 2015
HOU106
GSW131
08 Nov 2014
HOU87
GSW98
06 Dec 2013
HOU105
GSW83
17 Mar 2013
HOU78
GSW108
05 Feb 2013
HOU140
GSW109
21 Apr 2012
HOU99
GSW96
22 Mar 2012
HOU109
GSW83
23 Mar 2011
HOU131
GSW112
24 Nov 2010
HOU111
GSW101
02 Feb 2010
HOU119
GSW97
31 Jan 2009
HOU110
GSW93
05 Dec 2008
HOU131
GSW112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
120-96
120
96
+24
no box
H06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
149-113
149
113
+36
148avg 100
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
111-112
111
112
-1
97avg 100
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
122-90
122
90
+32
113avg 100
H15/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
118-98
118
98
+20
110avg 100
H18/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
104-101
104
101
+3
92avg 100
A21/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
72avg 100
A23/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
90avg 100
H25/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
100-104
100
104
-4
no box
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 100
A01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
40-27
31-21
17-32
34-24
43-23
40-30
32-36
32-26
28-25
33-29
18-32
31-24
28-20
24-27
39-19
39-19
31-25
25-23
23-31
28-30
22-25
24-21
30-25
24-32
23-21
32-23
12-31
20-20
26-22
29-27
25-24
19-28
34-25
23-30
24-21
20-29
29-29
26-24
34-33
215.3Avg total
112.4Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)113.3108.5221.8+4.864%
Season at home (44)116.5108.6225.1+8.077%
Season away (45)110.2108.4218.6+1.751%
Last 10 (10)112.4102.9215.3+9.560%
Last 5 (5)100.8104.0204.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.0108.0202.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)107.9100.4208.4+7.564%
vs Weaker (15)120.5106.1226.5+14.493%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
112-103
112
103
+9
111avg 113
A10/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
117-132
117
132
-15
no box
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
121-104
121
104
+17
no box
H14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
131-135
131
135
-4
133avg 113
H16/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
132-105
132
105
+27
136avg 113
A19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
113-105
113
105
+8
110avg 113
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
121-129
121
129
-8
111avg 113
H25/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
129-110
129
110
+19
no box
A27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
no box
H28/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
115-109
115
109
+6
106avg 113
H01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
38-37
32-23
24-24
41-45
27-41
22-28
27-18
36-27
33-29
29-23
23-25
33-25
40-25
35-44
23-41
41-24
32-28
36-24
23-29
32-22
30-32
25-30
26-21
41-37
22-34
31-33
27-25
35-31
37-22
30-25
27-32
28-19
25-34
30-23
21-24
29-20
29-29
24-26
33-34
232.7Avg total
119.5Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)118.0111.3229.3+6.770%
Season at home (46)118.2111.9230.1+6.272%
Season away (44)117.7110.6228.4+7.168%
Last 10 (10)119.5113.2232.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)116.4110.6227.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)111.1104.7215.8+6.489%
vs Weaker (21)118.4112.2230.6+6.157%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
Houston RocketsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H07/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A10/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H15/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H18/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/05
NBA
107.3Avg total
58.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.1109.9+7.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.949.9110.7+11.073%-
Last 30 away (15)56.752.3109.0+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)58.349.0107.3+9.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.052.2101.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.058.0111.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.447.8104.1+8.664%-
vs Weaker (15)61.553.7115.1+7.867%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A10/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H14/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H16/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H25/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H28/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H01/05
NBA
122.7Avg total
64.7Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.856.0116.8+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.754.7115.3+6.073%-
Last 30 away (15)60.957.3118.3+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)64.758.0122.7+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.656.0117.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)56.852.9109.7+3.967%-
vs Weaker (21)62.557.3119.9+5.267%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.8
52.8%
51.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.717.5
37.5%
35.4%52.5
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
76.6%18.1
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.6
55.5%
51.7%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.0
38.6%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.120.1
83.4%
76.6%20.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLWLWWWLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLWWLWLW
#5
League position
#2
+9.4
Net rating
+6.3
111.2
Offensive rating
115.8
101.8
Defensive rating
109.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
38.6%
52.5%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 115.8Defence101.8 · 109.5Shooting54.6% · 56.4%3-point %37.5% · 38.6%Ball care13.0% · 14.2%Off. rebounds19.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/19AGolden State Warriors109-115
28/04/19AGolden State Warriors100-104
25/04/19HUtah Jazz100-93
23/04/19AUtah Jazz91-107
21/04/19AUtah Jazz104-101
18/04/19HUtah Jazz118-98
15/04/19HUtah Jazz122-90
10/04/19AOklahoma City Thunder111-112
07/04/19HPhoenix Suns149-113
06/04/19HNew York Knicks120-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/19HHouston Rockets115-109
28/04/19HHouston Rockets104-100
27/04/19ALos Angeles Clippers129-110
25/04/19HLos Angeles Clippers121-129
21/04/19ALos Angeles Clippers113-105
19/04/19ALos Angeles Clippers132-105
16/04/19HLos Angeles Clippers131-135
14/04/19HLos Angeles Clippers121-104
11/04/19AMemphis Grizzlies117-132
10/04/19ANew Orleans Pelicans112-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLLL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894445
Win %64%77%51%
Points / game113.3116.5110.2
Allowed / game108.5108.6108.4
Point differential+4.8+8.0+1.7
Avg total221.8225.1218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%48%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (27)64% (11)44% (16)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLLWW72%
AwayWLWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904644
Win %70%72%68%
Points / game118.0118.2117.7
Allowed / game111.3111.9110.6
Point differential+6.7+6.2+7.1
Avg total229.3230.1228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%39%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)60% (10)50% (14)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks89662374%118.1108.8+9.3
2 Golden State Warriors90632770%118.0111.3+6.7
3 Toronto Raptors90632770%113.4107.2+6.2
4 Portland Trail Blazers90593166%114.5110.4+4.2
5 Denver Nuggets92593364%110.4106.8+3.6
6 Houston Rockets89573264%113.3108.5+4.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers90573363%115.1111.9+3.2
8 Boston Celtics89543561%111.7107.4+4.4
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
11 San Antonio Spurs89513857%111.0109.6+1.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Houston Rockets2533332114126
Golden State Warriors262335289121
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