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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-113
20-37 32-23 23-26 31-27
Position#3
Record51-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game108.8
vs
Position#1
Record59-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors
01 Mar 2027
HOU v GSW
upcoming
11 Nov 2026
HOU v GSW
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
HOU113
GSW115
04 May 2025
HOU89
GSW103
30 Apr 2025
HOU131
GSW116
23 Apr 2025
HOU109
GSW94
20 Apr 2025
HOU85
GSW95
13 Feb 2025
HOU98
GSW105
11 Dec 2024
HOU91
GSW90
02 Nov 2024
HOU121
GSW127
04 Apr 2024
HOU110
GSW133
29 Oct 2023
HOU95
GSW106
20 Mar 2023
HOU108
GSW121
20 Nov 2022
HOU120
GSW127
31 Jan 2022
HOU108
GSW122
01 May 2021
HOU87
GSW113
17 Mar 2021
HOU94
GSW108
02 Apr 2020
HOU v GSW
upcoming
06 Nov 2019
HOU129
GSW112
10 May 2019
HOU113
GSW118
06 May 2019
HOU112
GSW108
04 May 2019
HOU126
GSW121
13 Mar 2019
HOU104
GSW106
15 Nov 2018
HOU107
GSW86
28 May 2018
HOU92
GSW101
24 May 2018
HOU98
GSW94
16 May 2018
HOU127
GSW105
14 May 2018
HOU106
GSW119
20 Jan 2018
HOU116
GSW108
04 Jan 2018
HOU114
GSW124
28 Mar 2017
HOU106
GSW113
20 Jan 2017
HOU108
GSW125
24 Apr 2016
HOU94
GSW121
21 Apr 2016
HOU97
GSW96
31 Dec 2015
HOU110
GSW114
30 Oct 2015
HOU92
GSW112
25 May 2015
HOU128
GSW115
23 May 2015
HOU80
GSW115
17 Jan 2015
HOU106
GSW131
08 Nov 2014
HOU87
GSW98
06 Dec 2013
HOU105
GSW83
17 Mar 2013
HOU78
GSW108
05 Feb 2013
HOU140
GSW109
21 Apr 2012
HOU99
GSW96
22 Mar 2012
HOU109
GSW83
23 Mar 2011
HOU131
GSW112
24 Nov 2010
HOU111
GSW101
02 Feb 2010
HOU119
GSW97
31 Jan 2009
HOU110
GSW93
05 Dec 2008
HOU131
GSW112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-112
110
112
-2
98avg 106
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
94avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
115-94
115
94
+21
110avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
117-112
117
112
+5
106avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
139-100
139
100
+39
142avg 106
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
112-128
112
128
-16
96avg 106
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
125-124
125
124
+1
115avg 106
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
117-107
117
107
+10
117avg 106
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
137-125
137
125
+12
140avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-23
15-24
28-34
28-31
22-30
31-34
24-20
31-31
23-33
33-16
36-14
23-31
33-26
25-41
32-19
27-26
37-26
29-26
27-23
46-25
23-36
27-32
31-31
31-29
26-26
25-30
29-18
29-31
35-28
27-37
32-32
31-27
28-33
21-17
31-29
37-28
37-31
42-28
34-29
24-37
231.1Avg total
118.9Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.8108.8224.6+7.070%
Season at home (37)117.8107.9225.7+9.876%
Season away (36)113.7109.7223.4+4.064%
Last 10 (10)118.9112.2231.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)120.0117.8237.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)113.2112.4225.6+0.840%
vs Weaker (24)118.2109.5227.8+8.771%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
80avg 110
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
102-103
102
103
-1
94avg 110
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
85-107
85
107
-22
68avg 110
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-104
106
104
+2
93avg 110
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
122-92
122
92
+30
125avg 110
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
117-92
117
92
+25
124avg 110
H19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-95
111
95
+16
110avg 110
A21/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
112-87
112
87
+25
120avg 110
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
114-100
114
100
+14
116avg 110
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
110avg 110
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
22-21
24-26
12-27
24-34
29-28
23-26
26-15
22-33
22-31
19-22
22-21
35-34
23-25
20-31
28-14
34-20
33-30
36-21
19-21
27-29
36-15
31-26
23-22
25-22
34-17
33-27
19-29
28-30
34-20
29-21
21-16
27-20
30-30
35-22
22-28
25-28
31-26
27-27
23-13
203.4Avg total
106.1Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.9104.3220.2+11.681%
Season at home (35)119.3102.8222.1+16.589%
Season away (38)112.8105.7218.5+7.274%
Last 10 (10)106.197.3203.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)112.093.6205.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)113.0103.2216.2+9.873%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Houston RocketsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H26/03
NBA
115.5Avg total
57.8Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.254.8113.0+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.554.2113.7+5.259%-
Last 30 away (13)56.555.5112.0+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)57.857.7115.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.6117.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)58.657.6116.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker (24)58.153.9112.0+4.254%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A11/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A21/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H27/03
NBA
108.7Avg total
56.9Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.153.0110.1+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)59.451.1110.5+8.375%-
Last 30 away (18)55.654.3109.9+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)56.951.8108.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)59.447.4106.8+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)57.153.0110.1+4.163%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.227.8
56.5%
50.2%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.614.0
36.3%
35.7%42.0
🏀 Free throws28.021.3
76.1%
77.0%21.3
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.5
52.9%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.9
39.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
77.0%14.4
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWLWWWLL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#1
+6.5
Net rating
+9.0
114.9
Offensive rating
108.7
108.4
Defensive rating
99.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.3%
3-point %
39.4%
61.0%
Assist %
70.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 108.7Defence108.4 · 99.7Shooting55.6% · 54.9%3-point %36.3% · 39.4%Ball care13.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder137-125
25/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-107
21/03/17HDenver Nuggets125-124
19/03/17ADenver Nuggets109-105
18/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans112-128
16/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers139-100
13/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-112
11/03/17AChicago Bulls115-94
09/03/17HUtah Jazz108-115
07/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs110-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies106-94
25/03/17HSacramento Kings114-100
22/03/17ADallas Mavericks112-87
21/03/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-95
19/03/17HMilwaukee Bucks117-92
17/03/17HOrlando Magic122-92
15/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers106-104
12/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs85-107
11/03/17AMinnesota Timberwolves102-103
09/03/17HBoston Celtics86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %70%76%64%
Points / game115.8117.8113.7
Allowed / game108.8107.9109.7
Point differential+7.0+9.8+4.0
Avg total224.6225.7223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%49%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)70% (10)78% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %81%89%74%
Points / game115.9119.3112.8
Allowed / game104.3102.8105.7
Point differential+11.6+16.5+7.2
Avg total220.2222.1218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%74%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors73591481%115.9104.3+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs73571678%106.298.1+8.2
3 Houston Rockets73512270%115.8108.8+7.0
4 Boston Celtics74482665%107.8105.1+2.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73472664%110.0106.8+3.2
6 Washington Wizards73452862%109.2106.8+2.4
7 Toronto Raptors74452961%107.2102.9+4.3
8 Utah Jazz74452961%100.496.7+3.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers75443159%107.9104.5+3.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder73423158%107.0106.1+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies74403454%100.7100.2+0.5
12 Milwaukee Bucks74383651%104.6104.2+0.4
13 Atlanta Hawks74383651%103.0104.3-1.3
14 Indiana Pacers74373750%104.4105.3-0.9
15 Miami Heat74363849%102.7102.0+0.7
16 Denver Nuggets73353848%111.4111.1+0.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers73353848%108.0109.0-1.0
18 Chicago Bulls74353947%102.4103.4-0.9
19 Detroit Pistons75344145%101.1102.4-1.3
20 Charlotte Hornets74334145%105.1104.3+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks73314242%97.7100.1-2.4
22 New Orleans Pelicans74314342%103.7105.6-2.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves73294440%105.0105.9-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings74294539%102.6106.3-3.7
25 New York Knicks74284638%105.1108.5-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers74284638%102.5107.6-5.2
27 Orlando Magic74274736%100.5106.6-6.1
28 Phoenix Suns75225329%106.9112.8-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers73215229%104.6112.1-7.4
30 Brooklyn Nets74165822%105.9113.2-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets20322331106
Golden State Warriors37232627113
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