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Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-119
30-25 36-23 39-30 21-41
Position#8
Record19-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game111.7
vs
Position#29
Record6-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game119.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Indiana Pacers
13 Mar 2027
HOU v IND
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
HOU126
IND119
20 Nov 2024
HOU130
IND113
26 Dec 2023
HOU117
IND123
18 Nov 2022
HOU91
IND99
18 Mar 2022
HOU118
IND121
14 Apr 2021
HOU124
IND132
12 Aug 2020
HOU104
IND108
15 Nov 2019
HOU111
IND102
11 Nov 2018
HOU115
IND103
29 Nov 2017
HOU118
IND97
27 Feb 2017
HOU108
IND117
10 Jan 2016
HOU107
IND103
19 Jan 2015
HOU110
IND98
07 Mar 2014
HOU112
IND86
27 Mar 2013
HOU91
IND100
01 Apr 2012
HOU102
IND104
05 Mar 2011
HOU112
IND95
20 Feb 2010
HOU115
IND125
26 Nov 2008
HOU90
IND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
117-98
117
98
+19
118avg 108
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
109-122
109
122
-13
99avg 108
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 108
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 108
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
128-133 OT
128
133
-5
120avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
115-101
115
101
+14
115avg 108
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
119avg 108
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-96
119
96
+23
114avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-100
117
100
+17
115avg 108
H28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
44-27
29-14
20-26
26-29
31-28
20-37
32-28
29-29
22-25
27-28
37-31
30-24
21-34
35-31
31-28
33-24
34-21
32-38
20-36
26-29
27-16
29-21
33-35
31-30
37-27
23-25
21-30
35-29
23-34
24-35
26-30
37-25
26-28
29-21
27-22
32-24
28-22
30-17
27-37
232.1Avg total
117.7Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)120.3111.7232.1+8.666%
Season at home (11)120.8107.7228.5+13.182%
Season away (18)120.1114.2234.2+5.956%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.4232.1+3.350%
Last 5 (5)116.6110.0226.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.0125.0249.0-1.00%
vs Similar (15)115.3108.9224.2+6.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)123.2113.2236.4+10.071%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
120-105
120
105
+15
112avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
116-105
116
105
+11
108avg 107
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
105-115
105
115
-10
93avg 107
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
89-108
89
108
-19
76avg 107
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 107
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
96avg 107
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
78avg 107
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
94-111
94
111
-17
77avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
122-140
122
140
-18
109avg 107
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
116-142
116
142
-26
111avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
32-24
30-26
28-22
35-23
31-28
26-37
24-17
31-34
27-29
32-27
15-25
32-31
15-27
19-23
23-27
36-25
26-34
30-27
21-28
27-44
22-20
30-34
30-30
35-26
26-17
21-31
13-29
20-26
24-33
24-27
26-25
39-28
22-47
30-36
31-29
28-29
32-30
34-39
22-44
225.0Avg total
107.9Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)109.8119.2228.9-9.419%
Season at home (17)113.2118.3231.5-5.129%
Season away (15)105.9120.1226.0-14.37%
Last 10 (10)107.9117.1225.0-9.220%
Last 5 (5)107.2124.8232.0-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)109.2121.7230.8-12.511%
vs Similar (11)109.2112.0221.2-2.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
Houston RocketsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H06/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H12/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A19/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H28/12
NBA
113.2Avg total
59.6Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.554.1112.6+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.254.5112.8+3.858%-
Last 30 away (18)58.753.8112.5+4.961%-
Last 10 (10)59.653.6113.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)60.452.8113.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.051.0108.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (15)56.752.6109.3+4.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)60.655.9116.5+4.857%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A28/12
NBA
115.8Avg total
57.0Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.459.3114.6-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.860.2117.1-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)53.758.1111.9-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)57.058.8115.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.060.0115.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.960.6115.5-5.626%-
vs Similar (11)56.157.0113.1-0.955%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.132.5
55.0%
54.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.012.2
40.7%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
78.1%16.1
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.626.4
52.2%
54.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.5
32.9%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
78.1%17.2
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLWLLWLW
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#29
+3.3
Net rating
-9.5
118.0
Offensive rating
106.4
114.7
Defensive rating
115.9
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.7%
3-point %
32.9%
58.8%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 106.4Defence114.7 · 115.9Shooting57.0% · 51.0%3-point %40.7% · 32.9%Ball care16.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds37.0% · 22.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston Rockets wins
9
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-100
26/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-96
24/12/25ALos Angeles Clippers108-128
22/12/25ASacramento Kings124-125 OT
20/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-101
19/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans128-133 OT
16/12/25ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT
12/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers115-113
07/12/25ADallas Mavericks109-122
06/12/25HPhoenix Suns117-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AMiami Heat116-142
27/12/25HBoston Celtics122-140
24/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks94-111
23/12/25ABoston Celtics95-103
21/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-128
19/12/25HNew York Knicks113-114
14/12/25HWashington Wizards89-108
13/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers105-115
09/12/25HSacramento Kings116-105
06/12/25AChicago Bulls120-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW66%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %66%82%56%
Points / game120.3120.8120.1
Allowed / game111.7107.7114.2
Point differential+8.6+13.1+5.9
Avg total232.1228.5234.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %17%9%22%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %19%29%7%
Points / game109.8113.2105.9
Allowed / game119.2118.3120.1
Point differential-9.4-5.1-14.3
Avg total228.9231.5226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3026487%121.4107.7+13.7
2 Detroit Pistons3224875%118.8112.9+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs2921872%120.0113.6+6.4
4 New York Knicks2920969%120.2113.9+6.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers2920969%117.1116.4+0.8
6 Denver Nuggets32221069%125.7118.5+7.2
7 Houston Rockets29191066%120.3111.7+8.6
8 Minnesota Timberwolves32201262%118.8114.7+4.1
9 Boston Celtics31191261%116.5110.5+6.0
10 Phoenix Suns31191261%116.0112.5+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors33201361%114.5112.6+2.0
12 Miami Heat32181456%121.4117.6+3.8
13 Orlando Magic31171455%116.6114.8+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers30161453%115.7115.6+0.0
15 Golden State Warriors33171652%115.1113.1+2.0
16 Cleveland Cavaliers33171652%119.5117.8+1.8
17 Chicago Bulls31151648%118.8122.0-3.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies32151747%115.2115.8-0.6
19 Atlanta Hawks33151845%118.8120.1-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks33141942%113.0115.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers32131941%116.6120.1-3.5
22 Utah Jazz31121939%120.5127.1-6.6
23 Dallas Mavericks33122136%113.5117.5-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets32112134%115.5118.5-3.0
25 Brooklyn Nets30102033%109.7113.9-4.2
26 Los Angeles Clippers31102132%111.5114.8-3.3
27 Sacramento Kings3282425%111.7122.1-10.4
28 New Orleans Pelicans3382524%115.2122.6-7.3
29 Washington Wizards3172423%113.2125.0-11.9
30 Indiana Pacers3262619%109.8119.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets30363921126
Indiana Pacers25233041119
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