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Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record10-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#18
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Phoenix Suns
25 Nov 2026
HOU v PHX
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
HOU100
PHX97
05 Dec 2025
HOU117
PHX98
12 Mar 2025
HOU111
PHX104
12 Feb 2025
HOU119
PHX111
23 Feb 2024
HOU114
PHX110
27 Dec 2023
HOU113
PHX129
13 Dec 2022
HOU111
PHX97
16 Mar 2022
HOU112
PHX129
14 Nov 2021
HOU89
PHX115
05 Apr 2021
HOU130
PHX133
20 Jan 2021
HOU103
PHX109
13 Apr 2020
HOU v PHX
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
HOU115
PHX109
07 Apr 2019
HOU149
PHX113
15 Mar 2019
HOU108
PHX102
30 Mar 2018
HOU104
PHX103
28 Jan 2018
HOU113
PHX102
11 Feb 2017
HOU133
PHX102
26 Dec 2016
HOU131
PHX115
07 Apr 2016
HOU115
PHX124
21 Mar 2015
HOU102
PHX117
06 Dec 2014
HOU100
PHX95
05 Feb 2014
HOU122
PHX108
04 Dec 2013
HOU88
PHX97
09 Apr 2013
HOU101
PHX98
13 Mar 2013
HOU111
PHX81
13 Apr 2012
HOU105
PHX112
03 Feb 2012
HOU99
PHX81
14 Mar 2011
HOU95
PHX93
22 Nov 2010
HOU116
PHX123
31 Jan 2010
HOU111
PHX115
17 Nov 2009
HOU105
PHX111
06 Mar 2009
HOU116
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 107
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 107
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-108
115
108
+7
108avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
125-118
125
118
+7
117avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
35-20
21-31
29-28
30-29
27-27
36-26
29-36
33-29
220.9Avg total
114.7Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)116.2107.4223.5+8.877%
Season at home (8)116.6106.8223.4+9.988%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.7106.2220.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)111.2109.0220.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)114.0110.0224.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (12)106.5105.2211.7+1.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)120.8107.4228.2+13.588%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 101
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 101
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
101-96
101
96
+5
82avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
28-22
27-28
17-26
29-20
229.9Avg total
114.6Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.7116.1227.8-4.445%
Season at home (8)114.9114.0228.9+0.962%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)114.6115.3229.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)109.8106.2216.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (10)111.0110.9221.9+0.140%
vs Weaker (6)117.2105.8223.0+11.383%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Houston RocketsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H14/11
NBA
106.1Avg total
56.7Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.350.4107.8+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.951.7111.6+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)53.948.8102.7+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)56.749.4106.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)55.449.6105.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.059.0120.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (12)53.053.1106.1-0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)60.248.1108.2+12.188%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H13/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.8Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.658.6116.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.756.9115.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)55.961.2117.1-5.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.1113.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.051.2106.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (10)58.357.0115.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)61.553.7115.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.3
53.9%
54.0%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.7
35.5%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.321.3
81.0%
77.3%21.3
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.3
56.0%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.3
36.0%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
77.3%14.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWLLWWLWW
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWLLLLW
#4
League position
#18
+4.5
Net rating
-3.5
115.9
Offensive rating
110.0
111.4
Defensive rating
113.5
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.5%
3-point %
36.0%
63.2%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 110.0Defence111.4 · 113.5Shooting53.6% · 55.1%3-point %35.5% · 36.0%Ball care13.9% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Houston Rockets wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUtah Jazz125-118
12/11/26HGolden State Warriors115-108
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCharlotte Hornets101-96
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW77%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%88%60%
Points / game116.2116.6115.4
Allowed / game107.4106.8108.4
Point differential+8.8+9.9+7.0
Avg total223.5223.4223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game111.7114.9103.3
Allowed / game116.1114.0121.7
Point differential-4.4+0.9-18.3
Avg total227.8228.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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