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Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-129
24-30 31-43 29-31 29-25
Position#19
Record15-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#9
Record14-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game114.8
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Phoenix Suns
25 Nov 2026
HOU v PHX
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
HOU100
PHX97
05 Dec 2025
HOU117
PHX98
12 Mar 2025
HOU111
PHX104
12 Feb 2025
HOU119
PHX111
23 Feb 2024
HOU114
PHX110
27 Dec 2023
HOU113
PHX129
13 Dec 2022
HOU111
PHX97
16 Mar 2022
HOU112
PHX129
14 Nov 2021
HOU89
PHX115
05 Apr 2021
HOU130
PHX133
20 Jan 2021
HOU103
PHX109
13 Apr 2020
HOU v PHX
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
HOU115
PHX109
07 Apr 2019
HOU149
PHX113
15 Mar 2019
HOU108
PHX102
30 Mar 2018
HOU104
PHX103
28 Jan 2018
HOU113
PHX102
11 Feb 2017
HOU133
PHX102
26 Dec 2016
HOU131
PHX115
07 Apr 2016
HOU115
PHX124
21 Mar 2015
HOU102
PHX117
06 Dec 2014
HOU100
PHX95
05 Feb 2014
HOU122
PHX108
04 Dec 2013
HOU88
PHX97
09 Apr 2013
HOU101
PHX98
13 Mar 2013
HOU111
PHX81
13 Apr 2012
HOU105
PHX112
03 Feb 2012
HOU99
PHX81
14 Mar 2011
HOU95
PHX93
22 Nov 2010
HOU116
PHX123
31 Jan 2010
HOU111
PHX115
17 Nov 2009
HOU105
PHX111
06 Mar 2009
HOU116
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
114-106
114
106
+8
104avg 104
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 104
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
114avg 104
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
103-96
103
96
+7
91avg 104
A16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
119-128
119
128
-9
110avg 104
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
124avg 104
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
127-134
127
134
-7
118avg 104
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
122-96
122
96
+26
118avg 104
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-104
106
104
+2
96avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
117-123
117
123
-6
102avg 104
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
25-26
40-26
22-32
19-21
32-26
18-15
24-20
29-23
28-20
25-38
35-23
14-29
31-26
30-19
28-22
28-33
32-38
31-29
28-28
34-33
25-24
39-42
24-23
29-39
36-38
35-21
27-36
23-17
33-22
33-21
33-36
26-24
21-27
32-33
27-20
33-33
34-31
23-37
27-22
225.6Avg total
114.8Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)111.8108.3220.0+3.554%
Season at home (15)112.9101.8214.7+11.180%
Season away (13)110.5115.8226.2-5.323%
Last 10 (10)114.8110.8225.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)120.4118.4238.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)112.0105.0217.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)111.7110.1221.8+1.645%
vs Weaker (6)112.3103.0215.3+9.383%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
111-119
111
119
-8
104avg 107
H02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 107
H03/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
99avg 107
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
119-116
119
116
+3
113avg 107
H13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
112-116
112
116
-4
112avg 107
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-139
122
139
-17
114avg 107
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 107
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 107
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
105-120
105
120
-15
92avg 107
A23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
114-128
114
128
-14
108avg 107
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-41
33-29
28-24
20-25
27-27
23-24
34-21
32-37
26-24
33-26
12-33
35-31
25-25
28-31
35-31
31-29
22-31
34-33
32-22
24-30
30-31
38-32
31-34
23-42
21-29
25-29
35-31
31-19
36-20
25-29
20-38
23-22
30-35
24-30
30-38
21-17
24-36
30-28
38-27
22-37
229.9Avg total
112.1Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)114.9114.8229.7+0.150%
Season at home (16)116.7116.9233.6-0.244%
Season away (12)112.5112.1224.6+0.458%
Last 10 (10)112.1117.8229.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)111.4120.8232.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0111.0210.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.8117.2229.0-5.438%
vs Weaker (13)117.8113.2231.0+4.562%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
Houston RocketsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A16/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
111.1Avg total
55.9Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.9108.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.150.8107.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)51.956.9108.9-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)55.955.2111.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)58.857.6116.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.058.5113.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.254.5109.6+0.755%-
vs Weaker (6)51.850.2102.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H26/12
NBA
115.4Avg total
56.4Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.456.7115.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.958.1117.0+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)57.854.9112.8+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)56.459.0115.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)56.659.8116.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.054.0113.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.257.2115.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (13)58.656.3114.9+2.354%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.529.0
50.4%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.2
34.6%
36.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws28.223.2
82.3%
78.2%23.2
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.030.8
54.0%
54.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.4
31.3%
36.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.822.3
80.2%
78.2%22.3
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWLLLWWWW
Phoenix Suns
LLLWLLWLWL
#19
League position
#9
+3.9
Net rating
-5.7
111.9
Offensive rating
111.2
108.0
Defensive rating
116.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
31.3%
56.7%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 111.2Defence108.0 · 116.9Shooting50.9% · 51.6%3-point %34.6% · 31.3%Ball care12.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
8
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HIndiana Pacers117-123
24/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans106-104
23/12/23HDallas Mavericks122-96
21/12/23HAtlanta Hawks127-134
19/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers130-135 OT
18/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks119-128
16/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies103-96
14/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies117-104
12/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs93-82
09/12/23ADenver Nuggets114-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23HDallas Mavericks114-128
23/12/23ASacramento Kings105-120
20/12/23APortland Trail Blazers104-109
18/12/23HWashington Wizards112-108
16/12/23HNew York Knicks122-139
14/12/23HBrooklyn Nets112-116
13/12/23HGolden State Warriors119-116
09/12/23HSacramento Kings106-114
03/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies116-109
02/12/23HDenver Nuggets111-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%80%23%
Points / game111.8112.9110.5
Allowed / game108.3101.8115.8
Point differential+3.5+11.1-5.3
Avg total220.0214.7226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %50%44%58%
Points / game114.9116.7112.5
Allowed / game114.8116.9112.1
Point differential+0.1-0.2+0.4
Avg total229.7233.6224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%19%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)40% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2823582%120.4109.5+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2922776%113.3107.3+5.9
3 Milwaukee Bucks2922776%124.7118.8+5.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers3021970%121.6110.6+11.0
5 Denver Nuggets32221069%115.1110.2+5.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2819968%121.0113.4+7.6
7 New York Knicks28171161%114.8111.2+3.6
8 Sacramento Kings28171161%117.4117.5-0.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers30181260%116.6112.4+4.2
10 Orlando Magic30181260%112.9110.7+2.2
11 Dallas Mavericks30181260%119.3117.8+1.6
12 Miami Heat30181260%113.4111.9+1.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers30171357%112.0111.9+0.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans29161355%116.2112.6+3.7
15 Houston Rockets28151354%111.8108.3+3.5
16 Golden State Warriors30151550%117.1115.9+1.2
17 Phoenix Suns28141450%114.9114.8+0.1
18 Brooklyn Nets31151648%116.2116.3-0.1
19 Los Angeles Lakers29141548%113.7115.9-2.2
20 Indiana Pacers27131448%126.4126.2+0.2
21 Chicago Bulls32141844%110.2112.4-2.2
22 Utah Jazz31131842%113.5119.3-5.8
23 Atlanta Hawks30121840%122.3122.8-0.4
24 Toronto Raptors30121840%113.1114.4-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies29101934%107.3112.4-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers2982128%108.7114.7-5.9
27 Charlotte Hornets2872125%110.2120.6-10.4
28 Washington Wizards3052517%116.6126.8-10.2
29 San Antonio Spurs2942514%110.9123.2-12.3
30 Detroit Pistons302287%109.3120.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets24312929113
Phoenix Suns30433125129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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