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Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-104
32-27 25-25 31-27 23-25
Position#4
Record39-24
FormLLWWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game109.2
vs
Position#22
Record30-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game116.5
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Phoenix Suns
25 Nov 2026
HOU v PHX
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
HOU100
PHX97
05 Dec 2025
HOU117
PHX98
12 Mar 2025
HOU111
PHX104
12 Feb 2025
HOU119
PHX111
23 Feb 2024
HOU114
PHX110
27 Dec 2023
HOU113
PHX129
13 Dec 2022
HOU111
PHX97
16 Mar 2022
HOU112
PHX129
14 Nov 2021
HOU89
PHX115
05 Apr 2021
HOU130
PHX133
20 Jan 2021
HOU103
PHX109
13 Apr 2020
HOU v PHX
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
HOU115
PHX109
07 Apr 2019
HOU149
PHX113
15 Mar 2019
HOU108
PHX102
30 Mar 2018
HOU104
PHX103
28 Jan 2018
HOU113
PHX102
11 Feb 2017
HOU133
PHX102
26 Dec 2016
HOU131
PHX115
07 Apr 2016
HOU115
PHX124
21 Mar 2015
HOU102
PHX117
06 Dec 2014
HOU100
PHX95
05 Feb 2014
HOU122
PHX108
04 Dec 2013
HOU88
PHX97
09 Apr 2013
HOU101
PHX98
13 Mar 2013
HOU111
PHX81
13 Apr 2012
HOU105
PHX112
03 Feb 2012
HOU99
PHX81
14 Mar 2011
HOU95
PHX93
22 Nov 2010
HOU116
PHX123
31 Jan 2010
HOU111
PHX115
17 Nov 2009
HOU105
PHX111
06 Mar 2009
HOU116
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
121-115
121
115
+6
112avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
115-124
115
124
-9
103avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
89avg 105
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
118-106
118
106
+12
110avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
128-137
128
137
-9
114avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
102-115
102
115
-13
89avg 105
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
109-97
109
97
+12
110avg 105
A07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
146-117
146
117
+29
144avg 105
H09/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
97-84
97
84
+13
91avg 105
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
48-38
20-29
30-26
23-22
28-29
34-27
28-31
25-37
30-25
27-34
28-26
15-12
34-20
30-26
37-29
17-31
21-25
38-38
23-26
21-24
31-30
31-33
27-39
39-35
30-30
27-37
26-23
19-25
31-34
25-25
33-15
20-23
39-28
35-30
35-25
37-34
23-19
28-27
24-16
22-22
224.4Avg total
113.9Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)113.5109.2222.7+4.362%
Season at home (31)112.1106.2218.3+5.968%
Season away (32)114.9112.1227.0+2.856%
Last 10 (10)113.9110.5224.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)116.4110.0226.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.5122.0243.5-0.575%
vs Similar (11)112.3113.7226.0-1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)112.5107.1219.7+5.460%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
120avg 109
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
109-127
109
127
-18
98avg 109
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
148-151 OT
148
151
-3
148avg 109
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-124
116
124
-8
113avg 109
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-108
125
108
+17
129avg 109
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
98-116
98
116
-18
100avg 109
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
119-117
119
117
+2
118avg 109
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
140avg 109
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
125-116
125
116
+9
132avg 109
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
118-120
118
120
-2
114avg 109
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
40-28
33-32
28-27
25-29
27-38
30-21
27-39
34-31
28-27
41-43
34-36
30-35
32-26
29-27
25-36
40-18
23-24
29-28
33-38
34-28
17-21
21-34
26-33
30-24
19-41
27-30
43-22
28-37
28-31
35-34
34-23
32-24
28-30
37-32
28-30
34-26
25-31
31-38
28-25
246.5Avg total
122.0Scored
124.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)114.5116.5231.0-2.046%
Season at home (31)113.9113.4227.3+0.658%
Season away (34)115.0119.4234.4-4.435%
Last 10 (10)122.0124.5246.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)120.2123.6243.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)116.6123.4239.9-6.829%
vs Similar (8)116.4120.6237.0-4.238%
vs Weaker (8)120.9111.8232.6+9.188%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Houston RocketsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H09/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/03
NBA
119.4Avg total
61.0Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.1113.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.555.6111.2-0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)58.456.5114.9+1.965%-
Last 10 (10)61.058.4119.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)60.058.6118.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.255.5116.8+5.875%-
vs Similar (11)61.459.7121.1+1.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)53.053.7106.7-0.747%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A11/03
NBA
115.3Avg total
57.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.257.4115.5+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.557.4116.8+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)57.257.4114.5-0.265%-
Last 10 (10)57.457.9115.3-0.570%-
Last 5 (5)55.058.6113.6-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)56.958.0114.9-1.164%-
vs Similar (8)56.460.6117.0-4.238%-
vs Weaker (8)62.253.0115.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.730.0
52.0%
54.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.3
37.6%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.0
68.3%
77.8%14.0
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 122.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.329.5
58.6%
54.3%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.815.2
41.3%
35.9%45.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.4
81.3%
77.8%17.4
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWLLLWWLW
Phoenix Suns
LWLWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#22
+3.4
Net rating
-2.5
112.3
Offensive rating
120.3
108.9
Defensive rating
122.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
60.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.6%
3-point %
41.3%
54.5%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 120.3Defence108.9 · 122.7Shooting53.7% · 60.0%3-point %37.6% · 41.3%Ball care14.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 21.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HOrlando Magic97-84
09/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans146-117
07/03/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-97
05/03/25AIndiana Pacers102-115
04/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder128-137
02/03/25HSacramento Kings103-113
27/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs118-106
26/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks100-97
23/02/25AUtah Jazz115-124
22/02/25HMinnesota Timberwolves121-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AMemphis Grizzlies118-120
09/03/25ADallas Mavericks125-116
08/03/25ADenver Nuggets141-149 OT
05/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
03/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves98-116
01/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-108
28/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans116-124
26/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies148-151 OT
23/02/25AToronto Raptors109-127
22/02/25AChicago Bulls121-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayLLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %62%68%56%
Points / game113.5112.1114.9
Allowed / game109.2106.2112.1
Point differential+4.3+5.9+2.8
Avg total222.7218.3227.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%39%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)62% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %5%3%6%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %46%58%35%
Points / game114.5113.9115.0
Allowed / game116.5113.4119.4
Point differential-2.0+0.6-4.4
Avg total231.0227.3234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)83% (6)33% (12)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers65551085%122.7111.4+11.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder64521281%119.8107.4+12.4
3 Boston Celtics66471971%116.8108.3+8.5
4 New York Knicks63412265%117.4112.7+4.7
5 Denver Nuggets65422365%121.5116.6+4.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers63402363%112.9111.1+1.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies65412463%122.6116.8+5.9
8 Houston Rockets63392462%113.5109.2+4.3
9 Golden State Warriors64372758%113.9111.6+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers64362856%116.4115.4+1.0
11 Minnesota Timberwolves66372956%112.8109.2+3.6
12 Detroit Pistons66372956%114.8112.9+1.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks62342855%114.7112.8+1.9
14 Los Angeles Clippers65353054%111.0108.9+2.0
15 Sacramento Kings64333152%116.6115.2+1.5
16 Dallas Mavericks65333251%115.0114.4+0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks64313348%117.8120.0-2.2
18 Orlando Magic65303546%104.2105.9-1.7
19 Phoenix Suns65303546%114.5116.5-2.0
20 Miami Heat64293545%110.0110.5-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers66283842%110.6114.7-4.0
22 Chicago Bulls65273842%116.6120.3-3.7
23 San Antonio Spurs63263741%113.7116.1-2.4
24 Toronto Raptors66234335%110.8115.7-4.8
25 Philadelphia 76ers65224334%109.4114.4-5.0
26 Brooklyn Nets65224334%105.2111.5-6.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans66184827%111.0119.1-8.0
28 Charlotte Hornets65164925%105.4113.0-7.5
29 Utah Jazz65155023%112.5119.8-7.2
30 Washington Wizards64135120%108.3120.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets32253123111
Phoenix Suns27252725104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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