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Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-97
33-22 44-28 31-26 20-21
Position#8
Record35-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#27
Record13-46
FormLLLLW
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game121.0
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Sacramento Kings
07 Apr 2027
HOU v SAC
upcoming
11 Feb 2027
HOU v SAC
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
HOU128
SAC97
03 Dec 2025
HOU121
SAC95
01 Mar 2025
HOU103
SAC113
06 Nov 2023
HOU122
SAC97
04 Nov 2023
HOU107
SAC89
08 Feb 2023
HOU128
SAC130
06 Feb 2023
HOU120
SAC140
01 Apr 2022
HOU117
SAC122
30 Mar 2022
HOU118
SAC121
02 Jan 2021
HOU102
SAC94
31 Dec 2020
HOU122
SAC119
09 Dec 2019
HOU118
SAC119
30 Mar 2019
HOU119
SAC108
17 Nov 2018
HOU132
SAC112
14 Feb 2018
HOU100
SAC91
31 Jan 2017
HOU105
SAC83
14 Dec 2016
HOU132
SAC98
13 Apr 2016
HOU116
SAC81
05 Dec 2015
HOU120
SAC113
01 Apr 2015
HOU115
SAC111
26 Nov 2014
HOU102
SAC89
22 Jan 2014
HOU119
SAC98
31 Dec 2013
HOU106
SAC110
14 Apr 2013
HOU121
SAC100
26 Mar 2012
HOU113
SAC106
13 Jan 2012
HOU103
SAC89
05 Apr 2011
HOU101
SAC104
14 Dec 2010
HOU118
SAC105
03 Mar 2010
HOU81
SAC84
21 Nov 2009
HOU113
SAC106
11 Feb 2009
HOU94
SAC82
19 Dec 2008
HOU107
SAC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
111-107
111
107
+4
101avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
118-114
118
114
+4
113avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
99-109
99
109
-10
91avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-106
112
106
+6
104avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
102-95
102
95
+7
96avg 107
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-105
102
105
-3
98avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
105-101
105
101
+4
95avg 107
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
106-108
106
108
-2
102avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
125-105
125
105
+20
134avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
28-23
28-31
24-25
24-28
39-28
24-31
31-27
17-18
25-31
21-36
30-29
26-29
23-32
26-30
24-18
28-28
18-24
34-22
32-32
27-26
24-26
27-20
24-23
29-22
27-24
20-24
26-35
24-33
29-19
27-26
25-23
21-27
33-26
37-22
15-33
38-22
30-25
32-28
25-30
213.7Avg total
107.3Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)114.5109.4223.9+5.162%
Season at home (26)113.2107.3220.6+5.973%
Season away (30)115.6111.1226.7+4.553%
Last 10 (10)107.3106.4213.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)108.0102.8210.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)101.5108.5210.0-7.050%
vs Similar (15)105.7104.3210.1+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)113.6109.7223.3+3.962%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
93-112
93
112
-19
83avg 102
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
112-116
112
116
-4
101avg 102
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
125-129
125
129
-4
115avg 102
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 102
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
126-132
126
132
-6
119avg 102
H08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
94-120
94
120
-26
77avg 102
A10/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
93-121
93
121
-28
78avg 102
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
94-131
94
131
-37
86avg 102
H20/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
122-139
122
139
-17
113avg 102
A22/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
123-114
123
114
+9
117avg 102
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-40
21-32
20-17
27-23
14-23
34-30
34-35
30-28
31-28
26-30
34-31
34-40
27-17
22-31
28-31
34-35
31-25
24-32
41-36
30-39
26-31
20-30
21-31
27-28
20-39
24-32
22-29
27-21
28-18
27-46
29-38
10-29
31-35
34-38
29-32
28-34
33-25
30-36
29-28
31-25
232.1Avg total
109.3Scored
122.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)110.3121.0231.3-10.722%
Season at home (29)111.3119.1230.4-7.831%
Season away (30)109.3122.8232.1-13.513%
Last 10 (10)109.3122.8232.1-13.510%
Last 5 (5)105.2125.0230.2-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)108.1120.5228.6-12.317%
vs Similar (6)113.2118.3231.5-5.233%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Houston RocketsSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H06/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H24/02
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.1Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.953.8108.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.253.9110.1+2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)53.453.8107.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.151.9106.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)56.450.0106.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.053.5100.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (15)54.053.9107.9+0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)57.253.8111.0+3.354%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A10/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
44-71
44
71
-27
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H20/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A22/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A24/02
NBA
114.6Avg total
52.8Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.0116.6-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.857.1113.9-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)54.465.4119.7-11.014%-
Last 10 (10)52.861.8114.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)54.666.0120.6-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.161.0117.1-4.833%-
vs Similar (6)53.861.0114.8-7.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.428.2
51.8%
54.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.6
37.3%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
78.1%16.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.430.9
51.2%
54.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.3
29.6%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.619.6
83.1%
78.1%19.6
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLWLWWLLWW
Sacramento Kings
WLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#27
+0.9
Net rating
-13.1
110.1
Offensive rating
106.2
109.2
Defensive rating
119.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
29.6%
60.1%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.2Defence109.2 · 119.3Shooting53.3% · 48.9%3-point %37.3% · 29.6%Ball care15.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 33.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26HUtah Jazz125-105
22/02/26ANew York Knicks106-108
20/02/26ACharlotte Hornets105-101
12/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers102-105
11/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers102-95
07/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-106
06/02/26HCharlotte Hornets99-109
05/02/26HBoston Celtics93-114
03/02/26AIndiana Pacers118-114
01/02/26HDallas Mavericks111-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-114
22/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs122-139
20/02/26HOrlando Magic94-131
12/02/26AUtah Jazz93-121
10/02/26ANew Orleans Pelicans94-120
08/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers126-132
07/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers111-114
05/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies125-129
01/02/26AWashington Wizards112-116
31/01/26ABoston Celtics93-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLLWLW73%
AwayWWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562630
Win %62%73%53%
Points / game114.5113.2115.6
Allowed / game109.4107.3111.1
Point differential+5.1+5.9+4.5
Avg total223.9220.6226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)67% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %11%4%17%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLLLLW13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %22%31%13%
Points / game110.3111.3109.3
Allowed / game121.0119.1122.8
Point differential-10.7-7.8-13.5
Avg total231.3230.4232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)50% (8)29% (7)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder58441476%119.2108.3+10.9
2 Detroit Pistons57431475%117.4109.5+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs56401671%118.2111.7+6.5
4 Boston Celtics57381967%115.0107.6+7.4
5 Cleveland Cavaliers59372263%119.5115.0+4.5
6 Houston Rockets56352162%114.5109.4+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets58362262%120.8116.3+4.5
8 New York Knicks57352261%116.8111.8+5.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves59362361%119.6115.1+4.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers56342261%115.5115.7-0.1
11 Toronto Raptors58342459%113.8111.7+2.2
12 Phoenix Suns58332557%112.5110.9+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers58322655%116.6115.9+0.6
14 Orlando Magic55302555%115.0114.4+0.5
15 Miami Heat58312753%120.2117.1+3.1
16 Golden State Warriors59312853%115.8113.8+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks60293148%117.0118.0-1.1
18 Charlotte Hornets59283147%115.9113.4+2.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers59283147%115.8118.3-2.6
20 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%112.1112.6-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks56253145%112.2115.4-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls59243541%115.8120.4-4.6
23 Memphis Grizzlies57213637%115.4118.1-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks57213637%114.4117.6-3.2
25 Utah Jazz58184031%118.0125.9-7.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans59174229%114.8120.4-5.6
27 Washington Wizards57164128%112.2122.8-10.5
28 Brooklyn Nets57154226%106.9114.8-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers59154425%111.5119.2-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings59134622%110.3121.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets33443120128
Sacramento Kings2228262197
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