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Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 93-114
17-18 25-31 21-36 30-29
Position#8
Record31-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#5
Record32-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics
02 Nov 2026
HOU109
BOS93
04 Feb 2026
HOU93
BOS114
03 Jan 2025
HOU86
BOS109
21 Jan 2024
HOU107
BOS116
13 Mar 2023
HOU111
BOS109
24 Oct 2021
HOU97
BOS107
14 Mar 2021
HOU107
BOS134
28 Jul 2020
HOU137
BOS112
11 Feb 2020
HOU116
BOS105
27 Dec 2018
HOU127
BOS113
03 Mar 2018
HOU123
BOS120
05 Dec 2016
HOU107
BOS106
16 Nov 2015
HOU95
BOS111
01 Nov 2014
HOU104
BOS90
19 Nov 2013
HOU109
BOS85
14 Dec 2012
HOU101
BOS89
18 Mar 2011
HOU93
BOS77
19 Mar 2010
HOU87
BOS94
04 Nov 2008
HOU99
BOS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
110-105
110
105
+5
96avg 107
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 107
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
111-107
111
107
+4
101avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
118-114
118
114
+4
113avg 107
A03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
24-21
28-27
29-23
32-30
32-24
23-26
32-30
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
36-26
26-28
24-30
13-27
23-23
20-19
35-24
26-20
31-28
28-23
28-31
24-25
24-28
39-28
24-31
31-27
218.3Avg total
111.3Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)116.0110.0226.0+6.065%
Season at home (21)115.4107.8223.1+7.681%
Season away (27)116.5111.8228.3+4.752%
Last 10 (10)111.3107.0218.3+4.380%
Last 5 (5)108.0103.4211.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)111.6105.6217.2+6.077%
vs Weaker (16)114.6112.2226.9+2.450%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
132-106
132
106
+26
132avg 106
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
87avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
119-104
119
104
+15
117avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
116avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
111-114
111
114
-3
98avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
89avg 106
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
100avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-93
112
93
+19
101avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
107-79
107
79
+28
101avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-100
110
100
+10
103avg 106
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
52-28
35-23
15-32
29-26
22-33
31-25
21-20
30-20
36-26
25-32
28-26
28-28
21-27
29-26
26-23
28-30
30-22
27-36
26-26
32-11
20-26
23-28
27-29
18-38
28-22
30-27
30-30
40-25
32-21
17-20
23-27
26-26
30-16
22-19
29-18
32-29
20-15
34-23
24-33
216.9Avg total
113.2Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)116.0108.9224.9+7.164%
Season at home (24)115.4108.1223.5+7.367%
Season away (26)116.5109.7226.2+6.862%
Last 10 (10)113.2103.7216.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)107.496.6204.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)107.2109.4216.6-2.220%
vs Weaker (25)118.6107.2225.8+11.480%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Houston RocketsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A03/02
NBA
112.4Avg total
56.8Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.554.3110.8+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.455.1112.5+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)55.653.6109.2+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)56.855.6112.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.4107.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.054.6110.6+1.446%-
vs Weaker (16)57.454.0111.4+3.450%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
82-51
82
51
+31
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H01/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A04/02
NBA
107.6Avg total
58.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.153.8113.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.050.1108.1+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)61.956.9118.9+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)58.449.2107.6+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)55.645.8101.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)55.854.4110.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker (25)61.053.6114.6+7.372%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.730.6
49.6%
54.8%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.0
37.2%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.217.1
70.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.127.3
53.4%
54.8%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.915.2
36.3%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
78.1%13.0
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWLWWLWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWLWLWWLW
#8
League position
#5
+4.3
Net rating
+9.6
111.1
Offensive rating
114.2
106.8
Defensive rating
104.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
13.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.2%
3-point %
36.3%
60.6%
Assist %
58.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 114.2Defence106.8 · 104.6Shooting51.6% · 53.9%3-point %37.2% · 36.3%Ball care13.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AIndiana Pacers118-114
01/02/26HDallas Mavericks111-107
30/01/26AAtlanta Hawks104-86
29/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs99-111
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
19/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans119-110
17/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves110-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ADallas Mavericks110-100
01/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-79
31/01/26HSacramento Kings112-93
29/01/26HAtlanta Hawks106-117
27/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers102-94
25/01/26AChicago Bulls111-114
24/01/26ABrooklyn Nets130-126 OT
22/01/26HIndiana Pacers119-104
20/01/26ADetroit Pistons103-104
18/01/26AAtlanta Hawks132-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482127
Win %65%81%52%
Points / game116.0115.4116.5
Allowed / game110.0107.8111.8
Point differential+6.0+7.6+4.7
Avg total226.0223.1228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)75% (8)29% (7)
Overtime %12%5%19%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game116.0115.4116.5
Allowed / game108.9108.1109.7
Point differential+7.1+7.3+6.8
Avg total224.9223.5226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)33% (6)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder49391080%120.3108.0+12.3
2 Detroit Pistons49371276%117.5109.9+7.5
3 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
4 Houston Rockets48311765%116.0110.0+6.0
5 Boston Celtics50321864%116.0108.9+7.1
6 Denver Nuggets52331963%120.1116.2+3.9
7 New York Knicks49311863%117.9112.2+5.7
8 Los Angeles Lakers48301862%116.2115.9+0.4
9 Phoenix Suns50311962%114.6111.1+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves52322062%119.6114.8+4.9
11 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
12 Toronto Raptors51302159%114.1112.4+1.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers50292158%116.8115.3+1.6
14 Golden State Warriors51272453%116.2114.0+2.3
15 Miami Heat51272453%120.1118.0+2.1
16 Orlando Magic47242351%114.8115.7-0.9
17 Atlanta Hawks52252748%117.4118.3-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls51242747%117.2120.2-3.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers49232647%112.7112.9-0.2
20 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers51232845%115.3118.1-2.9
22 Memphis Grizzlies48192940%115.0116.8-1.8
23 Milwaukee Bucks48192940%111.5115.6-4.1
24 Dallas Mavericks50193138%113.8116.5-2.7
25 Utah Jazz51163531%118.3126.9-8.6
26 Brooklyn Nets49133627%107.1114.9-7.8
27 Washington Wizards49133627%112.1122.7-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers51133825%110.9118.7-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans52133925%114.0120.6-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets1725213093
Boston Celtics18313629114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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